Isuzu Pick Up At ASP Commercial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Perth

16:15

Date 2024-09-09

Distance 2m4f35y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,961

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	League Clash Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Rex Dingle T:Robbie Llewellyn	143	t	8-97P3	74	99	87	18d	—	—	-6	11	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Ran a positive first race for this yard with the tongue-tie added at Newton Abbot (3m2f)
9	Gavin Bay J:James Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:James Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	153	t	5-7908	84	100	83	23d	—	—	-4	13.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Four-time 2m winner on good ground but this year hasn't been going well under either code
6	Winds Of Winter Chestnut J:Brian Hughes T:Iain Jardine	J:Brian Hughes T:Iain Jardine	157	—	000-66	88	97	44	67d	—	—	-2	13.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
0-6 in Ireland, beaten about 11l and 9l in her two handicaps (2m3f/3m)
3	Yakaleo Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	163	h	6-6877	94	83	42	57d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Down the field in his three hurdles but the bumper runs were promising; h'cap debut
7	Sassified Chestnut J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	156	p	76-698	87	103	75	18d	—	—	+3	11.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Potentially well handicapped and the signs were more encouraging 18 days ago
4	Nakassama Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Noel C Kelly	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Noel C Kelly	159	—	9-00	93	98	62	—	—	—	+4	13.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Fair run on the Flat in Ireland last time; interesting now handicapping over hurdles
8	Shantou Lucky Chestnut J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Jessica Bedi	J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Jessica Bedi	155	tp	P-4955	86	108	76	16d	—	—	+4	10.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Mark continues to fall but has yet to be closer than 10l in six runs for this yard
5	Solway Molly Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lisa Harrison	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lisa Harrison	158	—	26P-P2	89	99	90	73d	—	—	+5	11.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Narrowly missed out at Cartmel and she's capable of following one good run with another
1	Gina Moon Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sean Bowen T:Gordon Elliott	168	—	0-U45	99	96	70	14d	—	—	+9	13.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Last two maiden efforts offered some promise with a view to handicaps
2	Right Now Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	164	p	8-1378	98	100	85	13d	—	—	+9	13	8.25/1	33/1 3%
2m winner and recent signs suggest that he may appreciate this longer distance
11	Don't Look Back Grey J:Derek Fox T:William Young Jnr	J:Derek Fox T:William Young Jnr	142	p	-56085	73	104	81	16d	—	—	+4	6.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
15-race maiden hurdler who is 1-34 overall; well held last time at Cartmel

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
League Clash	4/1	4/1	4/1
Gavin	4/1	4/1	9/2
Winds Of Winter	9/2	9/2	5/1
Yakaleo	6/1	6/1	6/1
Sassified	10/1	9/1	9/1
Nakassama	9/1	9/1	10/1
Shantou Lucky	12/1	11/1	12/1
Solway Molly	14/1	12/1	12/1
Gina Moon	16/1	16/1	16/1
Right Now	33/1	25/1	25/1
Don't Look Back	40/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Yakaleo

14.3

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

2nd

Winds Of Winter

13.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Gina Moon

13.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Gavin

13.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Nakassama

13.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Right Now

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Sassified

11.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Solway Molly

11.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

League Clash

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Shantou Lucky

10.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Don't Look Back

6.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gina Moon	99	96	70
Right Now	98	100	85
Yakaleo	94	83	42
Nakassama	93	98	62
Solway Molly	89	99	90
Winds Of Winter	88	97	44
Sassified	87	103	75
Shantou Lucky	86	108	76
Gavin	84	100	83
League Clash	74	99	87
Don't Look Back	73	104	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Right Now	13d ago	Quick return
Gina Moon	14d ago	Fit
Shantou Lucky	16d ago	Fit
Don't Look Back	16d ago	Fit
League Clash	18d ago	Fit
Sassified	18d ago	Fit
Gavin	23d ago	Fit
Yakaleo	57d ago	Fresh
Winds Of Winter	67d ago	Fresh
Solway Molly	73d ago	Fresh
Nakassama	—	—