Quickstep Supporting Andersons Autumn Flooring Offers Handicap

Carlisle

17:03

Date 2024-09-11

Distance 7f173y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (3)	Makalu Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	133	—	213422	62	78	62	7d	—	—	+4	18.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Three wins and four places this term; short-head second on heavy last week; chance
5 (2)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	136	h	544240	65	80	67	20d	—	—	-2	9.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two wins in 2023; good second at Ayr in July but not so good last twice; could bounce back
6 (14)	Isle Of Wolves Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	136	—	452221	65	76	69	13d	—	—	+11	25.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Off the mark for the season over C&D last time; goes well on soft; should go well again
14 (6)	Braes Of Doune Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	131	p	423118	60	77	68	14d	—	—	+8	19.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won over 7f and 1m last month; could go well again if the ground doesn't get too soft
8 (12)	Colorada Dancer Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	135	p	1-4680	69	78	57	41d	—	—	+5	14.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Maiden winner on soft in 2023; no progress but on a good mark; the softer ground will suit
1 (11)	William Dewhirst Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	140	h	6-9906	69	75	39	21d	—	—	-2	7.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won at 7f here last term; close 6th here last time (7f); first run at about 1m
2 (7)	Strongbowe Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	140	p	960024	69	80	54	13d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
C&D winner off 7lb higher last term; good 2nd at Thirsk two runs back; lesser run latest
12 (9)	Epidavros Bay J:P J McDonald T:Katie Scott	J:P J McDonald T:Katie Scott	133	—	623733	67	76	63	14d	—	—	+5	13.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Third in handicaps on last two starts; a possible but below par on her only run on soft
15 (15)	Mighty Power Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	130	—	368044	59	75	61	39d	—	—	-2	4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Sound efforts on last two starts (6f/7f); this stiff 1m on soft ground may not be ideal
9 (8)	Chatty Grey J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	p	532297	67	76	64	32d	—	—	+5	10.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Runner-up three times in the summer but not so good in cheekpieces (on again) last twice
3 (5)	Distinction Bay J:Connor Beasley T:John Mackie	J:Connor Beasley T:John Mackie	140	v	115104	69	76	59	13d	—	—	+8	13.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won four this year, latest at Pontefract in July; not so good since; soft ground suits.
4 (10)	She's Got Bottle Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Lizzie Quinlan	J:Tom Eaves T:Lizzie Quinlan	139	—	611376	68	77	69	13d	—	—	+9	11.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two wins in May (soft/good to soft) but hasn't fared as well since; bit to prove now
11 (13)	Medici Pass Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	133	—	011639	62	74	46	14d	—	—	+8	11	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two AW wins in March; not quite as good since; softer ground not sure to suit
NR (1)	Manigordo b/br J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	135	tp	086875	64	74	62	23d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Has won five races at up to 7.5f; should stay 1m but not in best of form; others stronger
NR (4)	Shahnaz Bay J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	133	p	7-5115	62	75	54	39d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Two wins for this new yard this term; not so good last time; soft going not ideal

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Makalu	5/1	5/1	5/1
Alpine Sierra	13/2	13/2	13/2
Isle Of Wolves	6/1	6/1	6/1
Braes Of Doune	11/2	11/2	11/2
Colorada Dancer	17/2	17/2	17/2
William Dewhirst	17/2	17/2	17/2
Strongbowe	10/1	9/1	10/1
Epidavros	12/1	12/1	12/1
Mighty Power	14/1	12/1	14/1
Chatty	14/1	14/1	14/1
Distinction	18/1	16/1	16/1
She's Got Bottle	33/1	28/1	28/1
Medici Pass	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Isle Of Wolves

25.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 17.5 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

Braes Of Doune

19.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 13.9 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Makalu

18.4

OR: 3 Form: 11.4 Odds: 4

5/1

Colorada Dancer

14.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Epidavros

13.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Distinction

13.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

18/1

She's Got Bottle

11.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Medici Pass

OR: 3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Strongbowe

10.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Chatty

10.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Alpine Sierra

9.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

William Dewhirst

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Mighty Power

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Manigordo

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Shahnaz

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Colorada Dancer	69	78	57
William Dewhirst	69	75	39
Strongbowe	69	80	54
Distinction	69	76	59
She's Got Bottle	68	77	69
Epidavros	67	76	63
Chatty	67	76	64
Alpine Sierra	65	80	67
Isle Of Wolves	65	76	69
Manigordo	64	74	62
Makalu	62	78	62
Medici Pass	62	74	46
Shahnaz	62	75	54
Braes Of Doune	60	77	68
Mighty Power	59	75	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Makalu	7d ago	Quick return
Isle Of Wolves	13d ago	Quick return
Strongbowe	13d ago	Quick return
Distinction	13d ago	Quick return
She's Got Bottle	13d ago	Quick return
Braes Of Doune	14d ago	Fit
Epidavros	14d ago	Fit
Medici Pass	14d ago	Fit
Alpine Sierra	20d ago	Fit
William Dewhirst	21d ago	Fit
Manigordo	23d ago	Fit
Chatty	32d ago	Fit
Mighty Power	39d ago	Fit
Shahnaz	39d ago	Fit
Colorada Dancer	41d ago	Fit