National Racehorse Week 7th-15th September Apprentice Handicap

Lingfield (AW)

14:05

Date 2024-09-11

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 11.03s (slow by 1.63s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Master Dandy (IRE) Jack Doughty · James Fanshawe	7/4	Won
2nd	Honour Your Dreams (FR) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	6/4F	1
3rd	Savannah Smiles (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Grace Harris	11/4	1.75
4th	Mary Of Modena (GB) Kaiya Fraser · Michael Attwater	33/1	6
5th	El Montejean (GB) Mikkel Mortensen · Ben Lund	66/1	2.5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Honour Your Dreams Bay J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	134	—	2U5831	68	81	-	7d	—	—	-7	26.9	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Winning yard debut at Bath last week; remains of interest despite penalty; Polytrack debut
2 (4)	Master Dandy Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(3) T:James Fanshawe	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:James Fanshawe	133	—	295822	67	84	65	16d	—	—	-8	21.8	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Not yet looked ahead of his mark but could improve for the switch to Polytrack
7 (7)	Savannah Smiles Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Grace Harris	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Grace Harris	130	p	152721	64	83	44	8d	—	—	+2	25.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Gaining 4th win of the year when scuttling clear latest; every chance under penalty
5 (5)	Mary Of Modena Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Michael Attwater	131	—	2-2057	65	83	-	19d	—	—	+5	8.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has C&D form but hasn't run on AW since June 2023 and recent turf runs haven't encouraged
6 (1)	El Montejean Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Ben Lund	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Ben Lund	130	—	007586	64	76	40	8d	—	—	+2	4.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Off the mark at Pontefract (6f) in August 2023 but he's been out of sorts in 2024
NR (6)	Recon Mission Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	131	—	226342	65	84	76	20d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Front-runs; nailed late over 5f here on latest; needs more back over 6f
NR (2)	Abolish Bay J:Molly Gunn(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(5) T:Tony Carroll	131	v	264136	65	81	75	33d	—	—	—	10.9	—	—
0-19 on AW but shade unlucky not to win at Kempton in March; not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Honour Your Dreams	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Master Dandy	7/4	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4
Savannah Smiles	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Mary Of Modena	33/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1
El Montejean	66/1	40/1	33/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Honour Your Dreams

26.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 11.8 Odds: 10.6

6/4

2nd

Savannah Smiles

25.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 15 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Master Dandy

21.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 9.1

15/8

Recon Mission

11.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0

—

Abolish

10.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0

—

Mary Of Modena

8.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

El Montejean

4.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Honour Your Dreams	68	81	—
Master Dandy	67	84	65
Mary Of Modena	65	83	—
Recon Mission	65	84	76
Abolish	65	81	75
Savannah Smiles	64	83	44
El Montejean	64	76	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Honour Your Dreams	7d ago	Quick return
Savannah Smiles	8d ago	Quick return
El Montejean	8d ago	Quick return
Master Dandy	16d ago	Fit
Mary Of Modena	19d ago	Fit
Recon Mission	20d ago	Fit
Abolish	33d ago	Fit

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
El Montejean	Front Runner
Recon Mission	Front Runner

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 7 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.