Believe Money 'Confined' Nursery Handicap (For horses With No More Than One Win)

Doncaster

17:20

Date 2024-09-13

Distance 6f2y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £11,597

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Artagnan Bay J:James Doyle T:K R Burke	J:James Doyle T:K R Burke	137	—	20512	87	92	76	23d	—	—	+9	28	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Performed well in nurseries at Glorious Goodwood (won) and the York Ebor festival (second)
4 (10)	Shout Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Robert Havlin T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	513	83	87	68	30d	—	—	+7	22.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Spoiled his chance by proving a difficult ride last time when bidding for Salisbury double
8 (4)	Far Above The Law Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	126	—	463133	76	92	83	23d	—	—	+7	21.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Form figures of 133 since being gelded; ties in with Artagnan on York running last time
9 (8)	Rare Change Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hughes	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hughes	125	b	064334	75	91	84	28d	—	—	-8	17.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Ties in with Artagnan and Far Above The Law; possibilities if taking well to headgear
3 (1)	Wheels Of Fire Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	134	—	4331	84	89	84	13d	—	—	+13	25.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Took advantage of a good opportunity on AW last time; has proved consistent thus far
7 (7)	Shazani Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Charlie Johnston	J:Connor Beasley T:Charlie Johnston	127	—	417902	77	96	89	9d	—	—	+8	16.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Clear best form at Hamilton; has something to prove away from that venue
6 (5)	Blinky Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Ed Walker	J:P J McDonald T:Ed Walker	127	—	519653	77	93	84	14d	—	—	+6	14	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Latest 5f effort suggests he's ready for a crack at this new trip; could go well
10 (6)	Equalised Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Charles Hills	J:Rob Hornby T:Charles Hills	121	—	848	71	92	50	63d	—	—	+2	6.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
May be capable of better in handicaps but this looks a difficult opening task
NR (9)	Diligently Bay J:TBC T:Clive Cox	J: T:Clive Cox	136	—	404381	86	91	78	22d	—	—	—	20.5	—	—
Off the mark in York sales race last month; likely player, provided that form is backed up
NR (2)	Sensorium Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Dylan Cunha	J:NON-RUNNER T:Dylan Cunha	132	—	30313	82	91	-	22d	—	—	—	20.1	—	—
Just over 1l behind Diligently in York sales race; now gets a 4lb pull with that opponent

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Artagnan	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Shout	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Far Above The Law	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Rare Change	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Wheels Of Fire	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Shazani	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Blinky	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Equalised	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Artagnan

OR: 9.3 Form: 13 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Wheels Of Fire

25.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 13.6 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Shout

22.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Far Above The Law

21.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 11 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Diligently

20.5

OR: 9 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Sensorium

20.1

OR: 8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 0

—

Rare Change

17.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 7.6

4/1

Shazani

16.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Blinky

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Equalised

6.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Artagnan	87	92	76
Diligently	86	91	78
Wheels Of Fire	84	89	84
Shout	83	87	68
Sensorium	82	91	—
Shazani	77	96	89
Blinky	77	93	84
Far Above The Law	76	92	83
Rare Change	75	91	84
Equalised	71	92	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shazani	9d ago	Quick return
Wheels Of Fire	13d ago	Quick return
Blinky	14d ago	Fit
Diligently	22d ago	Fit
Sensorium	22d ago	Fit
Artagnan	23d ago	Fit
Far Above The Law	23d ago	Fit
Rare Change	28d ago	Fit
Shout	30d ago	Fit
Equalised	63d ago	Fresh