Carlsberg Danish Pilsner Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2)

Doncaster

15:00

Date 2024-09-13

Distance 5f3y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £73,723

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Big Mojo Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Michael Appleby	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Michael Appleby	129	—	214	106	114	103	21d	—	—	+8	30.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Group 3 winner at 5f; travelled strongly but didn't see out the 6f of the Gimcrack
1 (11)	Aesterius Bay J:James Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:James Doyle T:Archie Watson	129	—	15121	103	114	103	12d	—	—	+22	38.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Battle-hardened youngster with crystal-clear form claims; won a French Group 3 latest
6 (5)	Magnum Force Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	129	t	212	102	113	103	20d	—	—	+15	32.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Cork winner who looked unlucky not to beat Tropical Storm in a York Listed race
8 (3)	Tropical Storm Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	—	52281	103	113	103	20d	—	—	+20	30.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
All speed; Listed winner at York but may struggle to confirm placings with Magnum Force
9 (4)	Zayer Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	129	—	221	91	106	93	17d	—	—	+20	28.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Posted smart figures in winning at Ripon and he could be a dark one
7 (7)	Mr Lightside Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	129	—	01134	103	111	100	20d	—	—	+19	25	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Can hold his own at this level but strictly held by a few of these on recent efforts
12 (8)	Maw Lam Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Jamie Spencer T:Adrian Nicholls	126	—	12353	97	108	96	41d	—	—	+16	21.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Strong form in defeat but just a worry that slow starts are becoming a habit
2 (10)	Ain't Nobody Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	116	103	113	106	64d	—	—	+22	26.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Rested since a poor run in the July Stakes; Royal Ascot form brings him right into it
11 (1)	Make Haste Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Diego Dias	J:Gavin Ryan T:Diego Dias	126	ht	1026	90	102	90	20d	—	—	+14	17.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Did well to finish where she did at York after starting slowly; can run well at big odds
5 (2)	King's Call Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Kevin Ryan	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	168	95	102	92	21d	—	—	+14	17	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Debut winner who has finished behind Big Mojo in both his Group-race assignments
NR (6)	Arizona Blaze Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Adrian Murray	J:NON-RUNNER T:Adrian Murray	129	—	213332	106	-	-	22d	—	—	—	25.5	—	—
Beaten at short odds in a sales race last time but his peak form makes him a player
NR (12)	Coto De Caza Bay J:TBC T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J: T:Simon & Ed Crisford	126	—	311	97	111	103	44d	—	—	—	30.3	—	—
2-3; dangerously unexposed and a Cheveley Park entry bodes well

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Big Mojo	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Aesterius	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Magnum Force	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2
Tropical Storm	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Zayer	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Mr Lightside	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Maw Lam	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Ain't Nobody	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Make Haste	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
King's Call	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aesterius

38.8

OR: 13.3 Form: 20.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Magnum Force

32.7

OR: 13 Form: 14.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Coto De Caza

30.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 0

—

Big Mojo

30.2

OR: 14 Form: 9.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Tropical Storm

30.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 14 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Zayer

28.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 16 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Ain't Nobody

26.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Arizona Blaze

25.5

OR: 14 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Mr Lightside

OR: 13.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Maw Lam

21.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Make Haste

17.3

OR: 10 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.8

28/1

King's Call

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Big Mojo	106	114	103
Arizona Blaze	106	—	—
Aesterius	103	114	103
Tropical Storm	103	113	103
Mr Lightside	103	111	100
Ain't Nobody	103	113	106
Magnum Force	102	113	103
Maw Lam	97	108	96
Coto De Caza	97	111	103
King's Call	95	102	92
Zayer	91	106	93
Make Haste	90	102	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Aesterius	12d ago	Quick return
Zayer	17d ago	Fit
Magnum Force	20d ago	Fit
Tropical Storm	20d ago	Fit
Mr Lightside	20d ago	Fit
Make Haste	20d ago	Fit
Big Mojo	21d ago	Fit
King's Call	21d ago	Fit
Arizona Blaze	22d ago	Fit
Maw Lam	41d ago	Fit
Coto De Caza	44d ago	Fit
Ain't Nobody	64d ago	Fresh