Scots Association Cup Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

17:50

Scots Association Cup Handicap

Date 2024-09-14

Distance 1m4f104y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 2m 44.12s (slow by 6.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Molten Sea (GB) Callum Rodriguez · William Haggas	7/4F	Won
2nd	Mon Etoile (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	15/2	0.3
3rd	Strike Rate (IRE) Andrew Breslin · Daragh Bourke	28/1	4.5
4th	Liberty Looming (IRE) Rhys Elliott · Adam Nicol	5/1	.75
5th	Scarbados (FR) Rowan Scott · Ewan Whillans	33/1	2.25
6th	Lady Phoebe (IRE) Cam Hardie · Adam Nicol	7/1	.5
7th	Stretch (GB) Connor Beasley · Jack Channon	17/2	14

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Molten Sea Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:William Haggas	J:Callum Rodriguez T:William Haggas	137	—	864	62	74	42	85d	—	—	-18	12.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Modest form but she's well bred and open to improvement now into a handicap
2 (3)	Dingwall Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	137	h	-75148	62	70	58	16d	—	—	-4	12.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
First and second once hooded and soft ground presumably to blame last time
6 (2)	Liberty Looming Chestnut J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Adam Nicol	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Adam Nicol	125	—	-04878	50	68	41	18d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Modest maiden for Jim Bolger and beat only two home over C&D on stable debut
4 (1)	Lady Phoebe br/gr J:Cam Hardie T:Adam Nicol	J:Cam Hardie T:Adam Nicol	128	p	-06428	53	72	56	17d	—	—	-5	7.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Second at Hamilton and cheekpieces now added following a lesser next run
3 (8)	Mon Etoile Grey J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	130	v	337833	55	71	62	25d	—	—	0	9.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Now 0-14 but placed plenty of times and going beyond 1m2f might trigger something
5 (7)	Stretch Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	J:Connor Beasley T:Jack Channon	127	—	59665	52	66	45	16d	—	—	-6	3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Heavy ground an excuse last time, though handicap debut on AW wasn't that encouraging
8 (5)	Scarbados Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	121	h	-46636	46	67	44	35d	—	—	0	3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Eight-race maiden who was all over the shop trip-wise for former yard (7f-1m6f)
7 (6)	Strike Rate Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Daragh Bourke	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Daragh Bourke	121	—	085588	46	68	46	10d	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Most competitive in classified races and struggled in handicaps; stamina to prove as well

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Molten Sea	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Dingwall	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Liberty Looming	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1
Lady Phoebe	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Mon Etoile	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Stretch	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Scarbados	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Strike Rate	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dingwall

12.7

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.7

4/1

2nd

Molten Sea

12.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

3rd

Mon Etoile

9.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.7 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Lady Phoebe

7.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Liberty Looming

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Stretch

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Scarbados

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Strike Rate

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Molten Sea	62	74	42
Dingwall	62	70	58
Mon Etoile	55	71	62
Lady Phoebe	53	72	56
Stretch	52	66	45
Liberty Looming	50	68	41
Scarbados	46	67	44
Strike Rate	46	68	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Strike Rate	10d ago	Quick return
Dingwall	16d ago	Fit
Stretch	16d ago	Fit
Lady Phoebe	17d ago	Fit
Liberty Looming	18d ago	Fit
Mon Etoile	25d ago	Fit
Scarbados	35d ago	Fit
Molten Sea	85d ago	Fresh