Libra Utility Construction Services Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:35

Libra Utility Construction Services Handicap

Date 2024-09-14

Distance 5f6y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,851

Winning Time 56.93s (slow by 0.23s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	The Thames Boatman (GB) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	100/30	Won
2nd	Almaty Star (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Robert Cowell	15/2	0.3
3rd	Mc Loven (GB) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow	9/4F	0.3
4th	Cover Point (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Julie Camacho	8/1	1.25
5th	Bedford Flyer (IRE) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	7/1	.75
6th	One Night Stand (GB) Joey Haynes · Scott Dixon	25/1	.5
7th	Invincible Speed (IRE) Luke Morris · James Tate	8/1	1.25
8th	Michaela's Boy (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Robert Cowell	16/1	.5
9th	Equity Law (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	25/1	.75

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (8)	Mc Loven Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	126	—	022145	79	96	-	28d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	22	0.69/1	11/4 27%
C&D winner; has the ability to run well but other pace on show and drawn wider than ideal
5 (6)	The Thames Boatman Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	131	h	044167	83	99	93	36d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-1	19	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Useful on AW on his day; this should be run to suit and he's still feasibly weighted
8 (4)	Invincible Speed Bay J:Luke Morris T:James Tate	J:Luke Morris T:James Tate	128	—	-15221	81	96	83	75d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+18	28.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won two of his five handicaps & not fully exposed just yet; this is a rise in class though
1 (1)	Bedford Flyer Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	140	b	2-2470	92	101	89	151d	—	—	+7	16.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Good record over C&D, on a dangerous mark and can go well fresh; plenty to like
7 (3)	Almaty Star Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	128	p	138271	80	99	92	11d	—	—	+13	23.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won twice for new yard this year but this is tougher than last time and likely vulnerable
4 (5)	Cover Point Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Julie Camacho	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Julie Camacho	131	v	-06513	84	99	-	28d	—	—	+12	20.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Musselburgh win last month was followed by a good third at Doncaster; new headgear today
2 (2)	Michaela's Boy Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	J:Marco Ghiani T:Robert Cowell	134	t	0-0034	86	101	-	12d	—	—	+3	11.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Good run on stable debut but he took a backward step at Chepstow last time
6 (7)	Equity Law Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	v	515900	81	94	62	16d	—	—	+7	11	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Big chance on his Sandown win in April but he's been disappointing since; jury out for now
3 (9)	One Night Stand Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	133	—	180980	85	100	83	24d	—	—	+6	9.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Five course wins, including Listed race over C&D; quiet on turf of late; tough draw

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mc Loven	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
The Thames Boatman	10/3	3/1	16/5	3/1	3/1
Invincible Speed	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Bedford Flyer	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Almaty Star	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	8/1
Cover Point	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
Michaela's Boy	8/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Equity Law	16/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
One Night Stand	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Invincible Speed

28.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 18 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Almaty Star

23.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 13.1 Odds: 3.1

8/1

3rd

Mc Loven

OR: 7.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Cover Point

20.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

17/2

The Thames Boatman

OR: 8.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Bedford Flyer

16.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Michaela's Boy

11.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Equity Law

OR: 7.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.2

25/1

One Night Stand

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bedford Flyer	92	101	89
Michaela's Boy	86	101	—
One Night Stand	85	100	83
Cover Point	84	99	—
The Thames Boatman	83	99	93
Invincible Speed	81	96	83
Equity Law	81	94	62
Almaty Star	80	99	92
Mc Loven	79	96	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Almaty Star	11d ago	Quick return
Michaela's Boy	12d ago	Quick return
Equity Law	16d ago	Fit
One Night Stand	24d ago	Fit
Mc Loven	28d ago	Fit
Cover Point	28d ago	Fit
The Thames Boatman	36d ago	Fit
Invincible Speed	75d ago	Fresh
Bedford Flyer	151d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 5f6y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.