Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

8:30

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-09-17

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 40.97s (slow by 3.97s)

Result

Pos	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	SP	Btn
1st	Balqaa (GB) J:Jamie Spencer T:Stella Barclay	Jamie Spencer / Stella Barclay	—	11/2	0
2nd	Cuban Fiesta (GB) J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Wigham	Dylan Hogan / Michael Wigham	—	9/2	1.25
3rd	Tambourine Dream (GB) J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	Daniel Muscutt / James Fanshawe	—	13/2	.5
4th	Carvalhal (IRE) J:Billy Garritty T:Michael Dods	Billy Garritty / Michael Dods	—	25/1	.75
5th	Love Warrior (IRE) J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	Daniel Tudhope / David O'Meara	—	5/4F	0.3
6th	Meade Gold (USA) J:Dougie Costello T:David & Nicola Barron	Dougie Costello / David & Nicola Barron	—	14/1	0.1
7th	Pop Favorite (GB) J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	Dale Swift / Scott Dixon	—	28/1	1.25
8th	Dumfries (GB) J:Ryan Sexton T:Ruth Carr	Ryan Sexton / Ruth Carr	—	11/1	.5

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (9)	Love Warrior b J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	136	p	586442	60	70	44	7d	—	—	-19	20	5/4 44%
Beaten a neck into second of 14 on stable debut over C&D a week ago; major player
6 (5)	Balqaa b J:Jamie Spencer T:Stella Barclay	J:Jamie Spencer T:Stella Barclay	135	—	977431	55	68	55	14d	—	—	0	19.1	7/2 22%
2-19 here; respected despite 6lb rise for her Southwell success a fortnight ago
3 (1)	Tambourine Dream b J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	138	—	592873	62	64	51	13d	—	—	-1	10.8	13/2 13%
Twice placed in Polytrack handicaps; each-way claims if able to repeat that form
2 (7)	Cuban Fiesta gr J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Wigham	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Wigham	138	—	6-3096	62	67	53	82d	—	—	-4	5.7	9/1 10%
0-7 for Ed Dunlop; watch market on stable debut
1 (6)	Dumfries b J:Ryan Sexton T:Ruth Carr	J:Ryan Sexton T:Ruth Carr	139	—	685060	59	66	44	18d	—	—	-4	4.5	11/1 8%
1-17; out of the frame in all nine starts since returning for this yard in March
7 (8)	Meade Gold ch J:Dougie Costello T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Dougie Costello T:David & Nicola Barron	131	—	755307	55	64	48	12d	—	—	-1	4.1	18/1 5%
Not within 7l of the winner in six starts; hard to know what his optimum trip is
5 (2)	Carvalhal b J:Billy Garritty T:Michael Dods	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael Dods	135	v	525100	59	64	-	13d	—	—	+6	9.2	33/1 3%
Bolted up at Hamilton last month, but a 7lb rise has seemed to find him out twice since
8 (4)	Pop Favorite b J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	129	b	458750	49	62	37	7d	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
Five of his six wins have come over C&D, but not in the best of form lately
NR (3)	Brazen Rascal b J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Simon Whitaker	128	—	45-070	48	66	32	14d	—	—	—	0	—
Showed promise when fourth over 7f here last November, but has shown little this year

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Love Warrior	6/5	5/4	5/4	11/10	5/4
Balqaa	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1
Tambourine Dream	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	11/2
Cuban Fiesta	17/2	8/1	8/1	15/2	9/1
Dumfries	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Meade Gold	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Carvalhal	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	33/1
Pop Favorite	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Love Warrior

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Balqaa

19.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Tambourine Dream

10.8

OR: 3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Carvalhal

9.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 6 Odds: 1

33/1

Cuban Fiesta

5.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Dumfries

4.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Meade Gold

4.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Pop Favorite

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Brazen Rascal

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tambourine Dream Top Rated	62	64	51
Cuban Fiesta	62	67	53
Love Warrior	60	70	44
Dumfries	59	66	44
Carvalhal	59	64	—
Balqaa	55	68	55
Meade Gold	55	64	48
Pop Favorite	49	62	37
Brazen Rascal	48	66	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Love Warrior	7d ago	Quick return
Pop Favorite	7d ago	Quick return
Meade Gold	12d ago	Quick return
Tambourine Dream	13d ago	Quick return
Carvalhal	13d ago	Quick return
Balqaa	14d ago	Fit
Brazen Rascal	14d ago	Fit
Dumfries	18d ago	Fit
Cuban Fiesta	82d ago	Fresh

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