Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

4:48

Ayrshire Cancer Support Handicap

Date 2024-09-19

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (10)	Never Better br J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	135	—	5133	74	85	79	21d	—	—	-3	24.5	2/1 33%
Lightly raced 3yo who could have come on since latest start, so he's one for the shortlist
1 (1)	Dain Ma Nut In b J:Archie Young(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Archie Young(5) T:Lucinda Russell	142	—	533611	81	82	69	4d	—	—	+11	32.9	3/1 25%
Musselburgh 1m wins last two starts in fine style; 6lb penalty and 5lb claimer is enlisted
7 (5)	Mysteryofthesands b J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	134	—	216663	73	82	81	12d	—	—	+4	13.4	17/2 11%
Won at Hamilton in June; back near that level when Haydock 3rd (again 1m, good) latest
11 (2)	Yaaser b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	133	—	353047	68	83	70	12d	—	—	0	7.3	12/1 8%
Below best and slow starts continue to hold him back; down the field here yesterday
5 (7)	Arkenstaar b J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	138	p	134320	73	82	70	19d	—	—	+7	13.1	14/1 7%
Cheekpieces on last three outings, not running so well at Beverley on latest
2 (6)	Hortzadar b J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	139	—	872270	74	83	68	54d	—	—	+6	11.6	16/1 6%
Won this race last year; runner-up twice this June, before two lesser efforts; considered
9 (14)	Bella Bisbee b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ed Dunlop	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ed Dunlop	134	b	448316	73	80	65	25d	—	—	+11	15.5	20/1 5%
Turning to 1m and blinkers on last three outings seems to have worked; needs a bit extra
3 (8)	Power Of Gold b J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	139	—	6-7029	74	81	67	13d	—	—	+3	7.1	25/1 4%
Soft ground may explain a poor show 13 days ago but he does not look the percentage call
4 (3)	Cancan In The Rain b J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	138	—	744-66	73	78	60	19d	—	—	+3	7	20/1 5%
Ran twice this term, off 101 days in between; player if working his way back to peak form
10 (13)	Quiet Resolve b J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	134	—	313580	73	83	60	97d	—	—	+5	9.9	18/1 5%
Wind op in June; has his first run since, with a step up to 1m too, which he should stay
13 (12)	Ayr Poet b J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	125	p	708637	60	81	64	38d	—	—	+2	5.5	25/1 4%
Ayr specialist; no win since last September but three places this term give him a chance
12 (11)	Cisco Disco b J:Ryan Sexton T:R Mike Smith	J:Ryan Sexton T:R Mike Smith	126	v	-77569	61	78	65	40d	—	—	+1	3.2	66/1 1%
Down the field this season; same owner but left Richard Fahey since latest start
14 (4)	Golden Valour b J:Andrew Mullen T:R Mike Smith	J:Andrew Mullen T:R Mike Smith	121	p	825863	56	80	70	5d	—	—	+4	6	50/1 2%
Good run last week but he made no impact here yesterday
NR (9)	Keep Warm b J:TBC T:Michael & David Easterby	J: T:Michael & David Easterby	134	v	-42628	73	80	60	24d	—	—	—	10.8	—
2nd over 1m at Doncaster and York, easily his best two efforts from five starts this term

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Never Better	15/8	2/1	2/1	15/8	15/8
Dain Ma Nut In	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4	3/1
Mysteryofthesands	8/1	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Yaaser	12/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Arkenstaar	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Hortzadar	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Bella Bisbee	20/1	18/1	16/1	20/1	20/1
Power Of Gold	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Cancan In The Rain	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Quiet Resolve	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Ayr Poet	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Cisco Disco	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Golden Valour	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dain Ma Nut In

32.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Never Better

24.5

OR: 6 Form: 10.1 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Bella Bisbee

15.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Mysteryofthesands

13.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Arkenstaar

13.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Hortzadar

11.6

OR: 6 Form: 4 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Keep Warm

10.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Quiet Resolve

9.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Yaaser

7.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Power Of Gold

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Cancan In The Rain

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Golden Valour

OR: 1.5 Form: 4 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ayr Poet

5.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Cisco Disco

3.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dain Ma Nut In Top Rated	81	82	69
Never Better	74	85	79
Hortzadar	74	83	68
Power Of Gold	74	81	67
Mysteryofthesands	73	82	81
Arkenstaar	73	82	70
Bella Bisbee	73	80	65
Cancan In The Rain	73	78	60
Quiet Resolve	73	83	60
Keep Warm	73	80	60
Yaaser	68	83	70
Cisco Disco	61	78	65
Ayr Poet	60	81	64
Golden Valour	56	80	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dain Ma Nut In	4d ago	Quick return
Golden Valour	5d ago	Quick return
Mysteryofthesands	12d ago	Quick return
Yaaser	12d ago	Quick return
Power Of Gold	13d ago	Quick return
Arkenstaar	19d ago	Fit
Cancan In The Rain	19d ago	Fit
Never Better	21d ago	Fit
Keep Warm	24d ago	Fit
Bella Bisbee	25d ago	Fit
Ayr Poet	38d ago	Fit
Cisco Disco	40d ago	Fit
Hortzadar	54d ago	Fresh
Quiet Resolve	97d ago	Long break