Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden – Naas

Naas

14:25

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

Date 2024-09-19

Distance 5f205y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €10,620

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (6)	Misappropriation Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-22	10	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Looks the stable selected; of interest and market strength would be significant on debut
5 (5)	Lunigiana Bay J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	128	—	2333	84	90	85	33d	—	—	-5	26.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Third in a Listed race at the Curragh over 5f last time; sets the standard on form
8 (1)	Miracle Beauty Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Is by an emerging young sire; cost 310,000Euros as a yearling; market can be revealing
12 (10)	Vanderbilt House Bay J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	128	—	55	-	88	78	28d	—	—	-10	4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two solid runs in quality Leopardstown maidens over 7f, go well if coping with this trip
11 (3)	Showspinner Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
By a quality sire from a solid damline; looks the stable selected and needs a market check
7 (8)	Marys Not Contrary Grey J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	60	-	85	77	97d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Promise on debut but poor next time; looks the stable second-string back after a break
10 (7)	Never Not Lucky Chestnut J:Gavin Ryan T:Diego Dias	J:Gavin Ryan T:Diego Dias	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
By a leading sire and from a quality damline so is worth a market check
1 (2)	Bad Timing Bay J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	128	—	—	-	58	25	12d	—	—	-2	0.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Beaten 11l on debut at Navan over this trip and will have to improve plenty on that
4 (9)	If Dora Could Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:W Ross	J:Ronan Whelan T:W Ross	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Cost 5,000gns as a yearling; best watched for future reference
2 (11)	Carla Ridge Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	128	t	—	-	52	43	40d	—	—	-1	0.4	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Beaten 15l on debut at the Curragh over this trip and huge improvement is required
3 (4)	Escorpio Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	128	—	009	47	53	37	16d	—	—	0	0.1	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Beaten a long way in three 7f maidens and looks better suited to handicaps
6 (12)	Magna Beauty Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Edward Buckley	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Edward Buckley	128	—	68	-	62	20	23d	—	—	0	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Some promise on debut at Dundalk but beaten a long way at Bellewstown since

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Misappropriation	7/4	15/8	2/1
Lunigiana	9/4	2/1	9/4
Miracle Beauty	3/1	3/1	3/1
Vanderbilt House	7/1	6/1	6/1
Showspinner	16/1	14/1	14/1
Marys Not Contrary	40/1	28/1	33/1
Never Not Lucky	50/1	40/1	40/1
Bad Timing	80/1	50/1	50/1
If Dora Could	100/1	66/1	66/1
Carla Ridge	200/1	150/1	125/1
Escorpio	500/1	150/1	250/1
Magna Beauty	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lunigiana

26.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 10

9/4

2nd

Misappropriation

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

2/1

3rd

Miracle Beauty

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Vanderbilt House

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

Showspinner

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Bad Timing

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

80/1

Marys Not Contrary

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Never Not Lucky

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

If Dora Could

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Carla Ridge

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200/1

Magna Beauty

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Escorpio

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lunigiana	84	90	85
Escorpio	47	53	37
Misappropriation	—	—	—
Miracle Beauty	—	—	—
Vanderbilt House	—	88	78
Showspinner	—	—	—
Marys Not Contrary	—	85	77
Never Not Lucky	—	—	—
Bad Timing	—	58	25
If Dora Could	—	—	—
Carla Ridge	—	52	43
Magna Beauty	—	62	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bad Timing	12d ago	Quick return
Escorpio	16d ago	Fit
Magna Beauty	23d ago	Fit
Vanderbilt House	28d ago	Fit
Lunigiana	33d ago	Fit
Carla Ridge	40d ago	Fit
Marys Not Contrary	97d ago	Long break
Misappropriation	—	—
Miracle Beauty	—	—
Showspinner	—	—
Never Not Lucky	—	—
If Dora Could	—	—