Dan Hague, Rails Bookmaker Nursery Handicap – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

15:50

Dan Hague, Rails Bookmaker Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-19

Distance 6f3y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,653

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Glitterati Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	—	62131	85	88	72	38d	—	—	+6	36.7	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Inclined to hang left most starts, including twice when making all in the summer; player
5 (5)	Redorange Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	129	t	532	79	90	78	36d	—	—	-3	21.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Better with each start in novice company; leading claims now handicapping in a tongue-tie
4 (8)	Force And Valour Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	129	—	317	79	91	84	26d	—	—	0	22.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Unsuited by the soft ground in a sales race last time; potentially well treated
7 (7)	Ruby's Profit Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Oisin Murphy T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	123	t	10604	73	85	82	26d	—	—	-1	11.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Debut AW winner in the spring; highly tried on turf since and struggled
8 (3)	Oakley Boy Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Stuart Williams	J:Saffie Osborne T:Stuart Williams	118	—	167464	68	82	69	19d	—	—	+1	5.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Better on the AW than turf so far; this is tougher than on Polytrack latest
3 (6)	Baileys Jubilation Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	454104	79	91	78	25d	—	—	+10	13.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Was on the go early and is exposed; no certainty this extra furlong will see improvement
NR (4)	Ardennes Bay J:TBC T:Ed Walker	J: T:Ed Walker	133	—	61240	83	92	84	26d	—	—	—	13.8	—	—
Best judged on his penultimate Goodwood 6f nursery effort, which would give him a chance
NR (1)	Alashos Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:James Horton	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Horton	124	—	02143	74	90	87	50d	—	0W/0P 2 runs	—	15.5	—	—
Will be happier back up to 6f after a seven-week break; Sandown third been boosted since

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Glitterati	15/8	13/8	7/4
Redorange	11/4	11/4	5/2
Force And Valour	11/4	11/4	3/1
Ruby's Profit	7/1	15/2	8/1
Oakley Boy	20/1	18/1	18/1
Baileys Jubilation	28/1	22/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Glitterati

36.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 18.6 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Force And Valour

22.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Redorange

21.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Alashos

15.5

OR: 6 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0

—

Ardennes

13.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

Baileys Jubilation

13.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ruby's Profit

11.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 2 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Oakley Boy

5.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Glitterati	85	88	72
Ardennes	83	92	84
Redorange	79	90	78
Force And Valour	79	91	84
Baileys Jubilation	79	91	78
Alashos	74	90	87
Ruby's Profit	73	85	82
Oakley Boy	68	82	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Oakley Boy	19d ago	Fit
Baileys Jubilation	25d ago	Fit
Force And Valour	26d ago	Fit
Ruby's Profit	26d ago	Fit
Ardennes	26d ago	Fit
Redorange	36d ago	Fit
Glitterati	38d ago	Fit
Alashos	50d ago	Fresh