Virgin Bet Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

16:15

Virgin Bet Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap

Date 2024-09-20

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £18,039

Runners (25)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
24 (16)	Eternal Sunshine Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	—	112121	73	88	72	1d	—	—	+14	33.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Five wins this year, the latest here yesterday; could be bang there once more
5 (14)	Trilby Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Sam England	J:Joe Fanning T:Sam England	137	—	664133	76	90	81	21d	—	—	+8	19.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
In-form hold-up horse who seems well suited to a big-field scenario; contender
2 (22)	Monsieur Kodi Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Richard Fahey	138	—	585450	77	91	72	34d	—	—	+1	9.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has dropped down the weights; his last three wins have come on soft/good to soft going
7 (23)	Havana Rum Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	135	—	321524	74	89	77	22d	—	—	+8	15.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two wins this year; has continued in good form since latest victory at Pontefract in July
12 (17)	The Ridler Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	134	p	063203	73	88	69	10d	—	—	+6	14.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Yet to add to 2yo Royal Ascot win in 2022 but there have been some promising signs of late
19 (10)	Dicko The Legend Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Liam Bailey	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Liam Bailey	132	—	633150	71	88	77	5d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	13.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won big-field handicap at York in July and has had excuses the next twice
17 (6)	Jonny Concrete Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	133	p	234312	74	84	77	22d	—	—	+16	21.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Improved form over 7f in these cheekpieces the last twice and he's not short of pace
8 (4)	Cold Stare Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	tp	172565	74	88	80	65d	—	—	+4	8.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Went close in this in 2023; slow ground is preferable (all British wins on such a surface)
1 (8)	Diligent Resdev Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	138	v	-31505	79	85	56	29d	—	—	+8	12.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
3yo who won at York in May on handicap debut but hasn't kicked on from there
11 (19)	Catherine Chroi Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	134	b	153672	73	88	81	16d	—	—	+8	12.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won six times in the spring and went close at Hamilton recently; could be in the mix
18 (20)	Spirit Of Applause Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	133	p	605841	72	89	78	20d	—	—	+12	16.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Exploited career-low mark at Beverley last time; that may have given confidence a boost
6 (24)	Rock Melody Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	137	p	743104	76	89	67	16d	—	—	+9	13.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Some appealing form last month and she's won off higher marks previously; on the shortlist
25 (2)	Parisiac Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Iain Jardine	J:Billy Loughnane T:Iain Jardine	130	p	326158	69	86	73	1d	—	—	+8	11.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Made all here last month on second stable start but not at the same level the next twice
4 (25)	Vince L'Amour Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	137	t	602073	78	87	73	12d	—	—	+9	12.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
3yo; inconsistent but was a close third at York recently; each-way shout if on a going day
9 (18)	Jump The Gun Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Iain Jardine	J:Kevin Stott T:Iain Jardine	134	b	776908	73	82	53	5d	—	—	+3	6.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ayr winner; well treated but recent evidence doesn't suggest he's about to take advantage
14 (9)	Danzan Bay J:Jason Hart T:Tim Easterby	J:Jason Hart T:Tim Easterby	133	p	055400	72	84	77	13d	—	—	+3	6.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Return to form needed but he's on a competitive mark and has a good record in this race
3 (12)	Roundhay Park Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	137	—	049649	76	88	73	12d	—	—	+4	7.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
9yo who is 0-9 this season with mixed form; won this in 2020 on sole previous Ayr visit
23 (15)	Rory Chestnut J:Dougie Costello T:Jim Goldie	J:Dougie Costello T:Jim Goldie	131	—	146466	70	84	68	6d	—	—	+3	5.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hold-up 6yo; needs things to drop right but this could be the type of race he'll shine in
20 (13)	Classy Al Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Jim Goldie	J:Ben Robinson T:Jim Goldie	131	v	444397	70	85	72	5d	—	—	+5	7.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
All four wins have come at Ayr (from 22 visits); might not be far away now back here
22 (5)	Heroism Bay J:David Nolan T:David & Nicola Barron	J:David Nolan T:David & Nicola Barron	131	—	-00498	70	85	62	10d	—	—	+3	5.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well handicapped on last season's form but others arrive with less to prove
13 (1)	Moyola Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Lucinda Russell	J:Tom Eaves T:Lucinda Russell	133	t	133135	74	86	77	69d	—	—	+13	15.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Below par at Hamilton in July but this 3yo was progressive previously & is one to consider
16 (3)	Ziggy's Queen Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	133	v	054537	74	87	71	10d	—	—	+6	8.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Needs to settle to see this out but the big field could help; caught the eye two runs ago
15 (11)	Cavalier Approach Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	133	b	517377	72	88	78	10d	—	—	+7	9.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won in good style at Pontefract in July but hasn't kicked on from that
10 (21)	Knicks Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	134	t	-21008	75	84	47	22d	—	—	+9	10.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Hopes are pinned on the first-time tongue-tie prompting a dramatic revival
NR (7)	Call Me Ginger Chestnut J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	131	—	900077	70	84	54	1d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Won this in 2021 & has tumbled down the weights; however, this 8yo has struggled this year

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Eternal Sunshine	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Trilby	7/1	6/1	13/2	7/1	6/1
Monsieur Kodi	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Havana Rum	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
The Ridler	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Dicko The Legend	10/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	9/1
Jonny Concrete	14/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	18/1
Cold Stare	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Diligent Resdev	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Catherine Chroi	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	25/1
Spirit Of Applause	14/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Rock Melody	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Parisiac	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Vince L'Amour	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	25/1
Jump The Gun	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Danzan	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Roundhay Park	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	28/1
Rory	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Classy Al	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Heroism	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Moyola	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Ziggy's Queen	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Cavalier Approach	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Knicks	80/1	40/1	40/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eternal Sunshine

33.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 22 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Jonny Concrete

21.5

OR: 6 Form: 14.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

3rd

Trilby

19.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Spirit Of Applause

16.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Havana Rum

15.6

OR: 6 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Moyola

15.2

OR: 6 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.6

40/1

The Ridler

14.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 6.4 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Dicko The Legend

13.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Rock Melody

13.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Catherine Chroi

12.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Vince L'Amour

12.5

OR: 7 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Diligent Resdev

12.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Parisiac

11.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1

25/1

Knicks

10.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 4 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Cavalier Approach

9.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Monsieur Kodi

9.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Cold Stare

8.9

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ziggy's Queen

8.8

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Roundhay Park

7.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Classy Al

7.2

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Jump The Gun

6.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Danzan

6.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Rory

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Heroism

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Call Me Ginger

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Diligent Resdev	79	85	56
Vince L'Amour	78	87	73
Monsieur Kodi	77	91	72
Trilby	76	90	81
Rock Melody	76	89	67
Roundhay Park	76	88	73
Knicks	75	84	47
Havana Rum	74	89	77
Jonny Concrete	74	84	77
Cold Stare	74	88	80
Moyola	74	86	77
Ziggy's Queen	74	87	71
Eternal Sunshine	73	88	72
The Ridler	73	88	69
Catherine Chroi	73	88	81
Jump The Gun	73	82	53
Spirit Of Applause	72	89	78
Danzan	72	84	77
Cavalier Approach	72	88	78
Dicko The Legend	71	88	77
Rory	70	84	68
Classy Al	70	85	72
Heroism	70	85	62
Call Me Ginger	70	84	54
Parisiac	69	86	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Eternal Sunshine	1d ago	Quick return
Parisiac	1d ago	Quick return
Call Me Ginger	1d ago	Quick return
Dicko The Legend	5d ago	Quick return
Jump The Gun	5d ago	Quick return
Classy Al	5d ago	Quick return
Rory	6d ago	Quick return
The Ridler	10d ago	Quick return
Heroism	10d ago	Quick return
Ziggy's Queen	10d ago	Quick return
Cavalier Approach	10d ago	Quick return
Vince L'Amour	12d ago	Quick return
Roundhay Park	12d ago	Quick return
Danzan	13d ago	Quick return
Catherine Chroi	16d ago	Fit
Rock Melody	16d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Applause	20d ago	Fit
Trilby	21d ago	Fit
Havana Rum	22d ago	Fit
Jonny Concrete	22d ago	Fit
Knicks	22d ago	Fit
Diligent Resdev	29d ago	Fit
Monsieur Kodi	34d ago	Fit
Cold Stare	65d ago	Fresh
Moyola	69d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Cavalier Approach	Prominent
Trilby	Hold Up
Rory	Hold Up
Moyola	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 25 runners classified.