Dubai Duty Free Nursery Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

14:55

Dubai Duty Free Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-09-20

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,804

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (15)	Green Icon Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Owen Burrows	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Owen Burrows	131	—	611	81	93	86	15d	—	—	+6	32.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
7f maiden winner who overcame a bit of bother in running to follow up in a Haydock nursery
2 (9)	Art Market Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	131	—	561163	81	90	77	20d	—	—	+8	23.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Made a solid start in handicaps and latest Sandown reads that bit better now
1 (6)	Lakers Bay J:David Egan T:George Boughey	J:David Egan T:George Boughey	137	t	312	87	89	71	52d	—	—	+13	26.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Royal Lodge entrant who ran well under a penalty at Beverley; now tongue tied
4 (13)	Aegean Sea Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	130	p	353	80	85	70	15d	—	—	+7	13.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two promising runs before disappointing over 1m; back in trip for nursery debut
14 (14)	Cristo Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	122	—	9663	72	90	57	13d	—	—	+2	10.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Improved third on handicap debut and his stable has a terrific record in this race
5 (2)	Jr Climbs Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	130	—	7142	80	90	80	15d	—	—	+12	19.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Beaten a neck on nursery debut here but the winner is going forwards
NR (4)	Mandana Bay J:William Buick T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:William Buick T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	123	—	323	73	90	73	26d	—	—	+9	15.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Improvement to come if she can settle better; Buick booked for nursery debut; possible
7 (3)	Gilet Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	127	p	7221	77	89	25	15d	—	—	+20	24	5.50/1	22/1 4%
In first-time cheekpieces when the rallying winner of a 6f AW maiden at Lingfield
6 (11)	Aysgarth Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	129	—	6223	79	87	71	31d	—	—	+14	17.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
6l third and one paced over 6f on nursery debut; this longer trip well worth a go
8 (12)	War Howl Brown J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	127	—	0394	77	91	74	14d	—	—	+6	9.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hasn't built on his Newmarket third; had excuses last time and may yet come good
10 (7)	Arabian Cobra Grey J:Hollie Doyle T:Hugo Palmer	J:Hollie Doyle T:Hugo Palmer	126	—	62506	76	92	88	76d	—	—	+6	8.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-5; bit to prove now back from a break and with stamina doubts over this far
15 (5)	Valsharah Grey J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Charles Hills	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Charles Hills	119	—	05055	69	91	87	8d	—	—	+3	5.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Fifth in both nurseries and just about the first in trouble last week at Doncaster
12 (10)	Gloryous Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	124	—	025	74	88	77	28d	—	—	+6	10.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Heavy an excuse latest; still unexposed now entering handicaps and Oisin Murphy is aboard
9 (8)	Rokuni Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	126	—	49410	76	90	85	30d	—	—	+11	14.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Could have some improvement in him now sent further but he'll need it
11 (1)	Obsidian Dream Brown J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:J S Moore	125	—	651	75	86	63	16d	—	—	+14	17.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Bath winner who might be on a tough mark for first handicap and this is competitive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Green Icon	2/1	5/2	2/1	9/4	5/2
Art Market	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	9/2
Lakers	11/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Aegean Sea	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Cristo	14/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Jr Climbs	14/1	12/1	9/1	11/1	9/1
Mandana	16/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gilet	16/1	22/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Aysgarth	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
War Howl	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Arabian Cobra	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Valsharah	40/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Gloryous	20/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Rokuni	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Obsidian Dream	22/1	28/1	22/1	25/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Green Icon

32.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 17 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Lakers

26.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Gilet

OR: 6.8 Form: 16 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Art Market

23.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 11 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Jr Climbs

19.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Aysgarth

17.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 9 Odds: 1

22/1

Obsidian Dream

17.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Mandana

15.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Rokuni

14.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Aegean Sea

13.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Cristo

10.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Gloryous

10.7

OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

War Howl

9.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

33/1

Arabian Cobra

8.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Valsharah

5.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lakers	87	89	71
Green Icon	81	93	86
Art Market	81	90	77
Aegean Sea	80	85	70
Jr Climbs	80	90	80
Aysgarth	79	87	71
Gilet	77	89	25
War Howl	77	91	74
Arabian Cobra	76	92	88
Rokuni	76	90	85
Obsidian Dream	75	86	63
Gloryous	74	88	77
Mandana	73	90	73
Cristo	72	90	57
Valsharah	69	91	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Valsharah	8d ago	Quick return
Cristo	13d ago	Quick return
War Howl	14d ago	Fit
Green Icon	15d ago	Fit
Aegean Sea	15d ago	Fit
Jr Climbs	15d ago	Fit
Gilet	15d ago	Fit
Obsidian Dream	16d ago	Fit
Art Market	20d ago	Fit
Mandana	26d ago	Fit
Gloryous	28d ago	Fit
Rokuni	30d ago	Fit
Aysgarth	31d ago	Fit
Lakers	52d ago	Fresh
Arabian Cobra	76d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Art Market	Prominent
Rokuni	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 15 runners classified.