Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed Race) – Newbury

Newbury

16:05

Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-09-20

Distance 7f

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £28,355

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Nostrum Bay J:William Buick T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:William Buick T:Sir Michael Stoute	130	—	126-62	113	128	96	83d	—	—	-2	23.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
2nd in Newmarket Group 3 (7f, good to firm) in June was back near his best; wind op since
5 (9)	Witch Hunter Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	130	—	943423	109	124	100	13d	—	—	+9	27.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won last year's Group 2 Hungerford over C&D and went very close in the same race this term
1 (3)	English Oak Bay J:James Doyle T:Ed Walker	J:James Doyle T:Ed Walker	130	—	-21146	108	127	110	34d	—	—	+11	28.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Slammed his 25 rivals in 7f handicap at Royal Ascot; well below that form in 7f Group 2s
9 (8)	Witness Stand Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Clover	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Clover	127	p	-52012	108	124	109	26d	—	—	+18	32	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Big improvement in 7f Goodwood handicaps and that form puts him firmly in the picture
6 (4)	Dosman Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	127	—	4-130	97	115	97	28d	—	—	+6	14.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Favourite for handicap debut at York but failed to fire; he has a mountain to climb
4 (10)	Russet Gold Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Roger Varian	J:Oisin Murphy T:Roger Varian	130	—	-37042	103	117	103	27d	—	—	+13	21.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Staying on well over 6f gives hope for 7f but the best of these have markedly better form
2 (2)	Jumby Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	130	—	000336	109	123	101	29d	—	—	+14	20.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Beaten a nose and a short head in the Group 2 Hungerford over C&D (Witch Hunter second)
8 (7)	Louis Barthas Bay J:J F Egan T:Ollie Sangster	J:J F Egan T:Ollie Sangster	127	—	3-965	99	113	84	47d	—	—	+11	15.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Goes beyond 6f for the first time and this looks a very stiff task for this maiden
NR (6)	Lake Forest Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	127	—	417-22	110	127	117	62d	—	—	—	15	—	—
Smart form running on well in 6f Group races on good to firm
NR (5)	Zoum Zoum Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Ralph Beckett	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ralph Beckett	127	—	1-2455	101	-	-	69d	—	—	—	19.8	—	—

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Nostrum	3/1	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Witch Hunter	5/1	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
English Oak	6/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Witness Stand	9/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1
Dosman	16/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Russet Gold	20/1	11/1	9/1	10/1	11/1
Jumby	25/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Louis Barthas	50/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Witness Stand

OR: 14.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4

9/1

2nd

English Oak

28.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 9 Odds: 5

6/1

3rd

Witch Hunter

27.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 7.4 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Nostrum

23.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

3/1

Russet Gold

21.2

OR: 13.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.4

20/1

Jumby

20.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.7

25/1

Zoum Zoum

19.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Louis Barthas

15.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

50/1

Lake Forest

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dosman

14.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nostrum	113	128	96
Lake Forest	110	127	117
Witch Hunter	109	124	100
Jumby	109	123	101
English Oak	108	127	110
Witness Stand	108	124	109
Russet Gold	103	117	103
Zoum Zoum	101	—	—
Louis Barthas	99	113	84
Dosman	97	115	97

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Witch Hunter	13d ago	Quick return
Witness Stand	26d ago	Fit
Russet Gold	27d ago	Fit
Dosman	28d ago	Fit
Jumby	29d ago	Fit
English Oak	34d ago	Fit
Louis Barthas	47d ago	Fresh
Lake Forest	62d ago	Fresh
Zoum Zoum	69d ago	Fresh
Nostrum	83d ago	Fresh