Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

2:25

Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup Handicap

Date 2024-09-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £33,501

Runners (25)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (22)	Alfa Kellenic b J:William Pyle(3) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(3) T:Craig Lidster	138	—	411111	93	103	85	30d	—	—	+25	40.2	5/1 17%
Unbeaten in 6f and 7f handicaps, delivered late last twice; strong pace ideal back at 6f
4 (12)	Summerghand b J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	136	p	300466	89	102	83	6d	—	—	0	13.8	5/1 17%
Star sprint handicapper over the years, winning the Gold Cup in 2022; well treated now
9 (6)	Kings Merchant b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	132	—	513121	87	101	77	14d	—	—	+23	33.7	8/1 11%
3-4 in 6f handicaps, impressive finish latest; 2lb badly in under penalty but unexposed
15 (16)	Aramram b J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	129	—	544031	84	103	82	6d	—	—	+12	23.9	13/2 13%
Soft-ground winner over 6f last week; goes unpenalised; now looks open to improvement
5 (3)	Two Tribes ch J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	135	b	204547	90	101	84	14d	—	—	+4	12.2	11/1 8%
Sole win at 5f but he's been involved in good handicaps at both sprint trips this summer
1 (2)	Bergerac b J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	138	b	981566	91	102	74	7d	—	—	+8	15.2	12/1 8%
Sterling effort in the Gold Cup in 2022; well held in this last year; in better form now
8 (5)	Rhythm N Hooves b J:Joe Fanning T:Robert Cowell	J:Joe Fanning T:Robert Cowell	133	b	300602	86	101	83	18d	—	—	+10	15.6	16/1 6%
Had his share of weight for most of the year; needs extra for change of scenery
10 (10)	Lucky Man b J:David Egan T:Richard Spencer	J:David Egan T:Richard Spencer	132	b	-20971	85	100	79	33d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+17	20.8	22/1 4%
4th in the Gold Cup in 2022; front-running win at Windsor (6f, good to firm) latest
20 (4)	Rock Opera b J:Andrew Mullen T:Richard Fahey	J:Andrew Mullen T:Richard Fahey	128	—	219340	81	102	79	35d	—	—	+8	12.6	22/1 4%
Had some excuses since 6f win in June but still 4lb higher on course debut
11 (24)	Roberto Caro b J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	132	—	124151	87	99	75	23d	—	—	+22	26.3	25/1 4%
2-3 at 6f for new yard; quicker ground and better race than latest; yard won this in 2023
12 (13)	Admiral D b J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	131	—	025860	84	98	73	28d	—	—	+6	10.9	22/1 4%
Minor win record but very capable and two cracking runs at this meeting in 2022 and 2023
3 (1)	Paws For Thought b J:Charlie Maggs(7) T:Donald McCain	J:Charlie Maggs(7) T:Donald McCain	137	p	861241	90	99	72	8d	—	—	+22	26.7	25/1 4%
Beat one home in the Gold Cup last year; Chester regular now, winning over 5f/7f this year
17 (17)	Sergeant Pep b J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	129	—	743019	82	101	88	48d	—	—	+13	16.9	25/1 4%
Best 2024 effort when narrow winner at Haydock in July; draw excuse since; has potential
16 (9)	Jenever b J:Callum Shepherd T:Jessica Macey	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jessica Macey	129	—	435152	82	102	94	58d	—	—	+16	19.6	28/1 3%
Major improver since first win in early 2023; stamina tested back at 6f in this company
6 (23)	Mr Wagyu ch J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	135	v	232800	88	103	88	35d	—	—	+8	12.8	28/1 3%
Not far away in the last 3 runnings of the Gold Cup but on losing run and high in weights
7 (19)	Grant Wood gr J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	134	—	013714	87	101	88	14d	—	—	+17	20	33/1 3%
Four wins this year, well on top at Ripon in August; not so effective off 7lb higher since
21 (7)	Curious Rover b J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Katie Scott	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Katie Scott	128	—	332266	83	101	92	13d	—	—	+11	13.4	40/1 2%
Fair form in less competitive races at about 5f; has more to prove now back at 6f
18 (25)	Londoner ch J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	129	p	070748	82	98	81	23d	—	—	+6	8.6	40/1 2%
Major weights drop for new yard but it's not yet made much difference; 0-12 on turf
13 (11)	Emperor's Son b J:Shane Gray T:Richard Fahey	J:Shane Gray T:Richard Fahey	130	—	100-	85	94	67	393d	—	—	+12	14.3	50/1 2%
Winning 2yo debut before well held in Group 2s last summer; off for 13 months
24 (21)	Be Proud b J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	126	p	013456	79	101	90	29d	—	—	+9	10.6	50/1 2%
Two C&D wins and close 2nd in the Bronze Cup in 2021; down the field in this last year
19 (18)	Never Dark b J:Billy Loughnane T:Iain Jardine	J:Billy Loughnane T:Iain Jardine	129	—	892600	82	101	82	15d	—	—	+8	9.9	66/1 1%
Often leads; multiple 5f wins but never really hacked it at 6f and faded here last year
23 (14)	Twelfth Knight b J:Ben Robinson T:Paul Midgley	J:Ben Robinson T:Paul Midgley	127	—	556839	80	101	81	25d	—	—	+9	9.8	100/1 1%
Three 6f wins in 2023 but he's had a slow time of it this year and well held latest
NR (20)	Abduction b J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim Goldie	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim Goldie	130	v	397037	83	-	-	15d	—	—	—	10.4	—
NR (15)	Brooklyn Nine Nine b J:TBC T:Richard Fahey	J: T:Richard Fahey	128	p	46-452	81	104	95	14d	—	—	—	7.8	—
Met with bad luck in handicaps but good 2nd at Ascot latest; ready for another go at 6f
NR (8)	The Coffee Pod b J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	124	p	143805	79	-	-	15d	—	—	—	8.2	—

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Alfa Kellenic	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1	5/1
Summerghand	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Kings Merchant	15/2	6/1	15/2	6/1	8/1
Aramram	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Two Tribes	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Bergerac	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Rhythm N Hooves	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Lucky Man	20/1	18/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Rock Opera	20/1	18/1	18/1	22/1	14/1
Roberto Caro	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Admiral D	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	14/1
Paws For Thought	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Sergeant Pep	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Jenever	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	22/1
Mr Wagyu	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	20/1
Grant Wood	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	22/1
Curious Rover	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Londoner	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Emperor's Son	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
Be Proud	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Never Dark	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Twelfth Knight	100/1	80/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alfa Kellenic

40.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 25 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Kings Merchant

33.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 21.4 Odds: 3.1

8/1

3rd

Paws For Thought

26.7

OR: 10 Form: 15.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Roberto Caro

26.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 16 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Aramram

23.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Lucky Man

20.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 11 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Grant Wood

OR: 9.3 Form: 9.9 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Jenever

19.6

OR: 8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1

28/1

Sergeant Pep

16.9

OR: 8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1

25/1

Rhythm N Hooves

15.6

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Bergerac

15.2

OR: 10.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Emperor's Son

14.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Summerghand

13.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Curious Rover

13.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Mr Wagyu

12.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Rock Opera

12.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Two Tribes

12.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Admiral D

10.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Be Proud

10.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Abduction

10.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Never Dark

9.9

OR: 8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Twelfth Knight

9.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Londoner

8.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

The Coffee Pod

8.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0

—

Brooklyn Nine Nine

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alfa Kellenic Top Rated	93	103	85
Bergerac	91	102	74
Two Tribes	90	101	84
Paws For Thought	90	99	72
Summerghand	89	102	83
Mr Wagyu	88	103	88
Kings Merchant	87	101	77
Roberto Caro	87	99	75
Grant Wood	87	101	88
Rhythm N Hooves	86	101	83
Lucky Man	85	100	79
Emperor's Son	85	94	67
Aramram	84	103	82
Admiral D	84	98	73
Curious Rover	83	101	92
Abduction	83	—	—
Sergeant Pep	82	101	88
Jenever	82	102	94
Londoner	82	98	81
Never Dark	82	101	82
Rock Opera	81	102	79
Brooklyn Nine Nine	81	104	95
Twelfth Knight	80	101	81
Be Proud	79	101	90
The Coffee Pod	79	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Summerghand	6d ago	Quick return
Aramram	6d ago	Quick return
Bergerac	7d ago	Quick return
Paws For Thought	8d ago	Quick return
Curious Rover	13d ago	Quick return
Kings Merchant	14d ago	Fit
Two Tribes	14d ago	Fit
Grant Wood	14d ago	Fit
Brooklyn Nine Nine	14d ago	Fit
Never Dark	15d ago	Fit
Abduction	15d ago	Fit
The Coffee Pod	15d ago	Fit
Rhythm N Hooves	18d ago	Fit
Roberto Caro	23d ago	Fit
Londoner	23d ago	Fit
Twelfth Knight	25d ago	Fit
Admiral D	28d ago	Fit
Be Proud	29d ago	Fit
Alfa Kellenic	30d ago	Fit
Lucky Man	33d ago	Fit
Rock Opera	35d ago	Fit
Mr Wagyu	35d ago	Fit
Sergeant Pep	48d ago	Fresh
Jenever	58d ago	Fresh
Emperor's Son	393d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Alfa Kellenic	Prominent
Admiral D	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 25 runners classified.