Dubai Duty Free Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

14:40

Dubai Duty Free Handicap

Date 2024-09-21

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 2

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £38,655

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (3)	Mustazeed Brown J:David Probert T:Harry Eustace	J:David Probert T:Harry Eustace	119	—	-80252	86	114	97	1d	—	—	+3	22.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Dual C&D winner; more exposed than a few of today's rivals but good 2nd here yesterday
2 (10)	Involvement Bay J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	131	—	327143	103	112	100	21d	—	—	+11	26.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1m2f winner at Newmarket July festival and close 3rd of six to Flying Frontier at Sandown
1 (5)	Bolster Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:K R Burke	J:Rossa Ryan T:K R Burke	138	—	0-1147	105	115	97	70d	—	—	0	19.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Made most for two 1m2f wins on softer than good this spring; Group races tough since
6 (6)	Whip Cracker Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Richard Hughes	J:Ryan Moore T:Richard Hughes	127	—	21-230	99	112	94	93d	—	—	+3	15.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Last seen at Royal Ascot; gelded; lightly raced and not fully exposed but bit to prove too
4 (8)	Laafi Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	t	3610-0	95	111	77	168d	—	—	+4	13.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Something of an enigma but a well-handicapped one judged on heavy-ground win last November
7 (1)	Fantasy Believer Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	126	—	49-111	93	111	85	23d	—	—	+5	12.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
3-3 this term; up another 6lb but it's hard to rule out one who's been in form of his life
9 (11)	Houstonn Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	119	—	-51327	91	113	108	14d	—	—	+14	20	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Eight races, the clear best efforts being his four runs on good to firm
8 (9)	Canoodled Bay J:Jason Watson T:Ed Walker	J:Jason Watson T:Ed Walker	120	—	070051	87	113	99	29d	—	—	+15	21	3.50/1	14/1 7%
6yo whose first run at about 1m2f was a winning one at York Ebor meeting (good to firm)
11 (7)	Gray's Inn Grey J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Jack Channon	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Jack Channon	116	—	49-878	88	107	73	53d	—	—	+8	10.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran well on soft last season; lacks solid claims this term
NR (2)	Flying Frontier Bay J:TBC T:James Tate	J: T:James Tate	129	—	22-801	96	112	100	21d	—	—	—	11.5	—	—
Back to good going at Sandown latest, getting up in the final strides in a six-runner race
NR (4)	Quietness Bay J:TBC T:Marcus Tregoning	J: T:Marcus Tregoning	128	—	111211	95	112	104	21d	—	—	—	35.8	—	—
Five wins and a 2nd from her six races for Marcus Tregoning, all on good or good to firm

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mustazeed	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Involvement	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Bolster	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Whip Cracker	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Laafi	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Fantasy Believer	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Houstonn	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Canoodled	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Gray's Inn	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Quietness

35.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 24.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Involvement

26.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 9 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Mustazeed

22.2

OR: 9 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Canoodled

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Houstonn

OR: 10.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Bolster

19.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Whip Cracker

15.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Laafi

13.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Fantasy Believer

12.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Flying Frontier

11.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Gray's Inn

10.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bolster	105	115	97
Involvement	103	112	100
Whip Cracker	99	112	94
Flying Frontier	96	112	100
Laafi	95	111	77
Quietness	95	112	104
Fantasy Believer	93	111	85
Houstonn	91	113	108
Gray's Inn	88	107	73
Canoodled	87	113	99
Mustazeed	86	114	97

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mustazeed	1d ago	Quick return
Houstonn	14d ago	Fit
Involvement	21d ago	Fit
Flying Frontier	21d ago	Fit
Quietness	21d ago	Fit
Fantasy Believer	23d ago	Fit
Canoodled	29d ago	Fit
Gray's Inn	53d ago	Fresh
Bolster	70d ago	Fresh
Whip Cracker	93d ago	Long break
Laafi	168d ago	Long break