Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

17:35

Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap

Date 2024-09-21

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £13,085

Winning Time 1m 44.12s (slow by 8.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Atlantic Gamble (GB) Oisin Murphy · William Knight	7/2	Won
2nd	Phoenix Passion (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	11/2	.5
3rd	Dramatic Effect (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	22/1	.5
4th	Kodi Lion (IRE) James Doyle · Charlie Fellowes	2/1F	0.3
5th	Urban Lion (GB) David Probert · Jack Channon	7/2	2.75
6th	Sedgemoor (IRE) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	18/1	4
7th	Aljezur (IRE) Jack Dace · Luke Dace	33/1	15
8th	Thorntonledale Max (GB) Hollie Doyle · David Simcock	11/1	2.5

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (11)	Kodi Lion Bay J:James Doyle T:Charlie Fellowes	J:James Doyle T:Charlie Fellowes	136	—	612132	86	98	80	23d	—	—	+3	34.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Has largely consistent 6f/7f form, including a record of 121 on turf; new trip
3 (5)	Urban Lion Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	136	—	814	86	93	67	18d	—	—	+4	20.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran well under a penalty in Goodwood novice event last time; handicap debut
7 (13)	Atlantic Gamble Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:William Knight	J:Oisin Murphy T:William Knight	131	—	111131	81	95	77	38d	—	—	+17	35.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Generally progressive and has a record of 5-7 in handicaps; enters calculations
8 (12)	Phoenix Passion Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	131	—	311115	81	95	81	38d	—	—	+15	28.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Strike-rate of 5-8 in handicaps; ran creditably last time and remains in form
13 (8)	Thorntonledale Max Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Simcock	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Simcock	123	—	35251	73	93	-	31d	—	—	+12	21.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Dead-heated at Kempton on latest AW start; brother to the winner of this race last year
10 (3)	Sedgemoor Chestnut J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	127	—	2-041	77	96	84	107d	—	—	+4	12.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Absent since Haydock win in June when making handicap debut; check the betting
12 (9)	Dramatic Effect Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	126	h	3-4156	76	92	68	29d	—	—	+5	10	4.50/1	18/1 5%
May benefit from the first-time hood, having often failed to settle
14 (10)	Aljezur Bay J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	119	p	970836	69	92	71	17d	—	—	+4	7.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Far from consistent this year and remains a maiden
NR (6)	The Ice Phoenix Roan J:TBC T:Charles Hills	J: T:Charles Hills	137	b	318861	87	96	81	18d	—	—	—	21.3	—	—
Scored at Southwell this month, taking AW record to 2-4; only 1-7 on turf
NR (2)	Great Chieftain Bay J:TBC T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J: T:Paul & Oliver Cole	135	b	231211	85	96	81	29d	—	—	—	31.9	—	—
Record of 231211 (on good/firmer) since being gelded; may remain competitive
NR (4)	Mirador Grey J:TBC T:Brian Meehan	J: T:Brian Meehan	133	b	1-05	83	92	-	17d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Far from solid on 2024 efforts; makes handicap debut in first-time headgear
NR (7)	Retracement Chestnut J:TBC T:William Haggas	J: T:William Haggas	132	—	315	82	93	56	18d	—	—	—	16.5	—	—
Didn't live up to market expectations last time but may still have more to offer
NR (1)	Flag Of Love Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Harry Charlton	J:NON-RUNNER T:Harry Charlton	127	—	0-24	77	-	-	22d	—	—	—	6.8	—	—
Thrice-raced filly who may be capable of progress in handicaps; interesting
NR (14)	Tribal Chief Bay J:TBC T:David Menuisier	J: T:David Menuisier	127	t	816311	77	96	62	9d	—	—	—	27.3	—	—
Successful the last twice, taking handicap record to 3-5; may improve further

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kodi Lion	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8	7/4
Urban Lion	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Atlantic Gamble	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Phoenix Passion	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Thorntonledale Max	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Sedgemoor	17/2	12/1	12/1	10/1	10/1
Dramatic Effect	14/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Aljezur	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Atlantic Gamble

35.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 22.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Kodi Lion

34.6

OR: 9 Form: 15.6 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Great Chieftain

31.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 23.1 Odds: 0

—

Phoenix Passion

28.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 17 Odds: 4

6/1

Tribal Chief

27.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 20.5 Odds: 0

—

Thorntonledale Max

21.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 13.1 Odds: 2.5

10/1

The Ice Phoenix

21.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 12 Odds: 0

—

Urban Lion

20.7

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Retracement

16.5

OR: 8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Mirador

15.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Sedgemoor

12.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Dramatic Effect

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Aljezur

7.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Flag Of Love

6.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Ice Phoenix	87	96	81
Kodi Lion	86	98	80
Urban Lion	86	93	67
Great Chieftain	85	96	81
Mirador	83	92	—
Retracement	82	93	56
Atlantic Gamble	81	95	77
Phoenix Passion	81	95	81
Sedgemoor	77	96	84
Flag Of Love	77	—	—
Tribal Chief	77	96	62
Dramatic Effect	76	92	68
Thorntonledale Max	73	93	—
Aljezur	69	92	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tribal Chief	9d ago	Quick return
Aljezur	17d ago	Fit
Mirador	17d ago	Fit
Urban Lion	18d ago	Fit
The Ice Phoenix	18d ago	Fit
Retracement	18d ago	Fit
Flag Of Love	22d ago	Fit
Kodi Lion	23d ago	Fit
Dramatic Effect	29d ago	Fit
Great Chieftain	29d ago	Fit
Thorntonledale Max	31d ago	Fit
Atlantic Gamble	38d ago	Fit
Phoenix Passion	38d ago	Fit
Sedgemoor	107d ago	Long break