Conundrum Consulting Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

17:00

Conundrum Consulting Handicap

Date 2024-09-21

Distance 7f

Class Class 3

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £16,200

Runners (20)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (17)	Movie Maker Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed bin Suroor	J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed bin Suroor	138	—	51-4	91	95	89	260d	—	—	-15	22.4	5/2 29%
Easily won a maiden contest here a year ago; interesting returned to Newbury
6 (6)	Amphius Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Harry Charlton	J:Ryan Moore T:Harry Charlton	138	—	42321	91	94	72	21d	—	—	+15	31.8	4/1 20%
Took advantage of a good opportunity last time; has a strong piece of Newbury form
19 (1)	City Of York Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	126	h	574452	76	101	82	18d	—	—	-4	18.2	3/1 25%
Successful in the 1m handicap on this card last year; interesting back here
15 (3)	Run Boy Run Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Richard Spencer	J:Saffie Osborne T:Richard Spencer	133	p	202113	86	96	84	14d	—	—	+15	29.9	5/1 17%
Ran creditably at Ascot two weeks ago when bidding for hat-trick; still of interest
11 (4)	Metaverse Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:David Menuisier	J:Tom Marquand T:David Menuisier	136	h	452210	86	98	76	52d	—	—	+13	22.9	8/1 11%
Below par last time; solid record otherwise since wearing a hood; may rebound
10 (14)	Mustajaab b/br J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	136	—	080075	86	98	85	15d	—	—	+6	10.2	25/1 4%
Only 1-14 on turf; 2-2 on AW and may be more interesting back in that sphere
20 (15)	King Cabo b/br J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	124	—	306148	74	95	84	9d	—	—	+9	11.8	40/1 2%
Ran respectably over C&D in August but this looks a stiffer assignment
NR (8)	Mcmanaman Bay J:TBC T:Ian Williams	J: T:Ian Williams	142	—	-44170	92	92	86	21d	—	—	—	15.5	—
Failed to beat a rival at Chester on debut for new yard; best watched
NR (10)	Persuasion Bay J:TBC T:David & Nicola Barron	J: T:David & Nicola Barron	140	—	062331	90	97	77	15d	—	—	—	25.1	—
Had been knocking at the door prior to his Haydock success two weeks ago
NR (11)	Noodle Mission Bay J:TBC T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	J: T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	139	—	121121	89	97	74	23d	—	—	—	32.3	—
Good record, mostly on AW, for new stable; tougher task back on turf
NR (5)	Accidental Agent Bay J:TBC T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J: T:Eve Johnson Houghton	139	b	577-88	89	98	70	21d	—	—	—	9.8	—
Veteran who is smart on his day but hasn't scored since April 2022
NR (16)	Nibras Angel Bay J:TBC T:Ismail Mohammed	J: T:Ismail Mohammed	138	t	369060	88	94	52	94d	—	—	—	9.5	—
Enduring a long run of losses, being 0-10 since winning her first two races
NR (13)	Woodstock Bay J:TBC T:Ruth Carr	J: T:Ruth Carr	137	p	310016	87	95	81	22d	—	—	—	18.3	—
Northern handicapper who is 2-2 over C&D, the wins at Class 4 level this summer
NR (9)	Harvard Sound Bay J:TBC T:Tom Clover	J: T:Tom Clover	136	—	211	89	95	62	53d	—	—	—	29.3	—
Comfortable wins at Lingfield the last twice; promising sort; handicap debut
NR (18)	Great Max Bay J:TBC T:David O'Meara	J: T:David O'Meara	135	—	477110	85	96	88	23d	—	—	—	20.8	—
Successful at Class 5 level in last two turf attempts; this looks a harder task
NR (2)	Zabriskie Point Bay J:TBC T:Charles Hills	J: T:Charles Hills	135	—	19-756	88	97	80	35d	—	—	—	9.5	—
Has shown promise in Class 2 handicaps this term, close sixth over C&D latest
NR (20)	Jungle Mac Bay J:TBC T:Jack Channon	J: T:Jack Channon	134	—	432210	87	97	82	51d	—	—	—	20.9	—
Uncharacteristic blip last time; very consistent otherwise and could well rebound
NR (12)	Monkey Island Chestnut J:TBC T:Brian Meehan	J: T:Brian Meehan	133	—	-10533	86	96	87	29d	—	—	—	16.1	—
Creditable third at Newmarket the last twice; registered his novice win over C&D
NR (7)	Pedro Valentino Grey J:TBC T:Clive Cox	J: T:Clive Cox	133	p	351213	86	97	89	15d	—	—	—	24.5	—
2-4 since wearing cheekpieces; didn't see out his race on soft ground last time
NR (19)	North View Bay J:TBC T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J: T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	127	b	042541	80	98	91	23d	—	—	—	19	—
Took well to first-time blinkers in C&D event last month, overcoming trouble; big player

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Movie Maker	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Amphius	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2
City Of York	11/4	11/4	11/4	3/1	3/1
Run Boy Run	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Metaverse	8/1	7/1	15/2	15/2	7/1
Mustajaab	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	16/1
King Cabo	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Noodle Mission

32.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 22.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Amphius

31.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Run Boy Run

29.9

OR: 9 Form: 16.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Harvard Sound

29.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 19.5 Odds: 0

—

Persuasion

25.1

OR: 10 Form: 15.1 Odds: 0

—

Pedro Valentino

24.5

OR: 9 Form: 15.5 Odds: 0

—

Metaverse

22.9

OR: 9 Form: 11 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Movie Maker

22.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 12.1

5/2

Jungle Mac

20.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 11.6 Odds: 0

—

Great Max

20.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 12 Odds: 0

—

North View

OR: 7.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Woodstock

18.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 9 Odds: 0

—

City Of York

18.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Monkey Island

16.1

OR: 9 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0

—

Mcmanaman

15.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

King Cabo

11.8

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Mustajaab

10.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Accidental Agent

9.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Nibras Angel

9.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Zabriskie Point

9.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mcmanaman Top Rated	92	92	86
Movie Maker	91	95	89
Amphius	91	94	72
Persuasion	90	97	77
Noodle Mission	89	97	74
Accidental Agent	89	98	70
Harvard Sound	89	95	62
Nibras Angel	88	94	52
Zabriskie Point	88	97	80
Woodstock	87	95	81
Jungle Mac	87	97	82
Run Boy Run	86	96	84
Metaverse	86	98	76
Mustajaab	86	98	85
Monkey Island	86	96	87
Pedro Valentino	86	97	89
Great Max	85	96	88
North View	80	98	91
City Of York	76	101	82
King Cabo	74	95	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King Cabo	9d ago	Quick return
Run Boy Run	14d ago	Fit
Mustajaab	15d ago	Fit
Persuasion	15d ago	Fit
Pedro Valentino	15d ago	Fit
City Of York	18d ago	Fit
Amphius	21d ago	Fit
Mcmanaman	21d ago	Fit
Accidental Agent	21d ago	Fit
Woodstock	22d ago	Fit
Noodle Mission	23d ago	Fit
Great Max	23d ago	Fit
North View	23d ago	Fit
Monkey Island	29d ago	Fit
Zabriskie Point	35d ago	Fit
Jungle Mac	51d ago	Fresh
Metaverse	52d ago	Fresh
Harvard Sound	53d ago	Fresh
Nibras Angel	94d ago	Long break
Movie Maker	260d ago	Long break