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Hamilton

16:12

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-09-22
Distance 1m1f35y
Class Class 5
Going Good To Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,926

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
8 (5)
Tilsitt
Bay
J:Rhys Elliott(7)
T:R Mike Smith
J:Rhys Elliott(7)
T:R Mike Smith
 131 tp 538340
61
77
71
 2d — — -8
10.3
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Last won in July 2022 but often thereabouts and can't be ruled out from place calculations
6 (8)
Shine On Brendan
Bay
J:Kaiya Fraser(5)
T:Jim Goldie
J:Kaiya Fraser(5)
T:Jim Goldie
 132 b 346244
62
81
70
 29d — — -7
10.7
1.00/1
4/1
20%
No joy since August 2023 but he's regularly finished close up in recent outings
2 (9)
Epidavros
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Katie Scott
J:P J McDonald
T:Katie Scott
 136 — 237331
71
74
58
 11d — — +9
23.5
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Off the mark at Carlisle (1m, soft) 11 days ago, reeling in She's Got Bottle in final 1f
1 (2)
She's Got Bottle
Bay
J:Tom Eaves
T:Lizzie Quinlan
J:Tom Eaves
T:Lizzie Quinlan
 139 — 113762
69
77
69
 11d — — +6
15.3
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Can front-run; won twice in May and second to Epidavros at Carlisle 11 days ago
7 (1)
Shahnaz
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:Daragh Bourke
J:Jason Hart
T:Daragh Bourke
 132 p 7-5115
62
76
55
 50d — — -4
5.7
2.00/1
8/1
11%
All five wins have been at either Hamilton or Carlisle, including two this summer
4 (7)
Naturalia
Bay
J:Shay Farmer(7)
T:Donald Whillans
J:Shay Farmer(7)
T:Donald Whillans
 133 — -31225
68
74
62
 57d — — +7
17
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Won at Carlisle (1m1f, soft) in May; runner-up on next two starts and hampered on latest
3 (4)
Leap Year Lad
Grey Roan
J:Oisin McSweeney(3)
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Oisin McSweeney(3)
T:Kevin Ryan
 134 p 863978
64
78
73
 26d — — -1
6.5
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Has shown his form only once (third attempt) from six starts this season
9 (3)
Wadacre Tivoli
Grey
J:Joe Fanning
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Joe Fanning
T:Charlie Johnston
 130 — 3393
65
71
62
 54d — — +5
10.9
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Needs to improve but she's 3yo, far less exposed than most of these, so it may be possible
5 (6)
Izzari
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
 133 — 636
68
71
49
 30d — — +4
7.7
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Sold out of Joseph O'Brien's after second start; needs improvement on this handicap debut
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Tilsitt
 7/2 7/2 7/2 10/3 7/2
Shine On Brendan
 4/1 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
Epidavros
 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1
She's Got Bottle
 15/2 15/2 15/2 7/1 15/2
Shahnaz
 15/2 8/1 15/2 15/2 8/1
Naturalia
 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 7/1
Leap Year Lad
 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1
Wadacre Tivoli
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1
Izzari
 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Epidavros
23.5
OR: 5.3 Form: 14.2 Odds: 4
5/1
2nd Naturalia
17
OR: 4.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 2.9
15/2
3rd She's Got Bottle
15.3
OR: 4.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.7
15/2
4 Wadacre Tivoli
10.9
OR: 3.8 Form: 5.4 Odds: 1.7
12/1
5 Shine On Brendan
10.7
OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.2
4/1
6 Tilsitt
10.3
OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.4
7/2
7 Izzari
7.7
OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1
28/1
8 Leap Year Lad
6.5
OR: 3.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.1
11/1
9 Shahnaz
5.7
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
8/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Epidavros
71
74
58
She's Got Bottle
69
77
69
Naturalia
68
74
62
Izzari
68
71
49
Wadacre Tivoli
65
71
62
Leap Year Lad
64
78
73
Shine On Brendan
62
81
70
Shahnaz
62
76
55
Tilsitt
61
77
71

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Tilsitt 2d ago Quick return
Epidavros 11d ago Quick return
She's Got Bottle 11d ago Quick return
Leap Year Lad 26d ago Fit
Shine On Brendan 29d ago Fit
Izzari 30d ago Fit
Shahnaz 50d ago Fresh
Wadacre Tivoli 54d ago Fresh
Naturalia 57d ago Fresh