Strong Flavours Handicap Hurdle – Plumpton

Plumpton

16:50

Strong Flavours Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-09-22

Distance 2m4f114y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,829

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Greatness Awaits Bay J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	167	—	55-122	104	108	97	36d	—	—	-7	22.9	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Runner-up twice since breakthrough hurdle win in June; new trip today; major player
4	Sami Bear Bay J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	160	p	37-426	97	107	75	23d	—	—	-2	17.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Seemingly back in good form two starts ago but has disappointed since; cheekpieces added
6	The Dark Edge Brown J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	145	—	75692-	82	103	74	150d	—	—	+2	17.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Improved form when second on handicap debut at Huntingdon in April; may progress again
8	Dreadpoetssociety Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	142	—	56-74F	79	106	47	76d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Low-mileage 6yo; held when falling on chase debut but ran okay over hurdles two starts ago
1	R S Ambush Bay J:Lee Edwards T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Lee Edwards T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	168	b	8-242F	105	104	63	21d	—	—	+6	16.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Consistent in maidens this summer and probably on workable mark for handicap return
5	Conservative Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	154	tb	654	91	99	65	31d	—	—	+6	11.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Regressive on the Flat and has shown only minor promise over hurdles; handicap debut today
7	Escobedo Bay J:Lily Jones(7) T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Lily Jones(7) T:Sylvester Kirk	143	—	6158-9	80	106	78	23d	—	—	+5	8.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Reverted to hurdling with poor run last month and has stamina to prove today
3	Quickbuck Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Alison Thorpe	J:Lorcan Williams T:Alison Thorpe	163	—	/U00P-	100	-	36	308d	—	—	+11	13.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Out of sorts in Ireland last year; makes stable debut with a lot to prove
9	No Guarantee Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Cynthia Woods	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Cynthia Woods	142	—	P5P8-P	82	-	42	137d	—	—	+7	8.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Struggled when 125-1 for handicap debut in May and is effectively 8lb higher here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Greatness Awaits	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	7/4
Sami Bear	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3	7/2
The Dark Edge	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Dreadpoetssociety	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
R S Ambush	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Conservative	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Escobedo	33/1	28/1	33/1	25/1	25/1
Quickbuck	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
No Guarantee	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Greatness Awaits

22.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

2/1

2nd

Sami Bear

17.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

The Dark Edge

17.4

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

R S Ambush

16.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Quickbuck

13.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Conservative

11.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Dreadpoetssociety

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Escobedo

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

No Guarantee

8.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
R S Ambush	105	104	63
Greatness Awaits	104	108	97
Quickbuck	100	—	36
Sami Bear	97	107	75
Conservative	91	99	65
The Dark Edge	82	103	74
No Guarantee	82	—	42
Escobedo	80	106	78
Dreadpoetssociety	79	106	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
R S Ambush	21d ago	Fit
Sami Bear	23d ago	Fit
Escobedo	23d ago	Fit
Conservative	31d ago	Fit
Greatness Awaits	36d ago	Fit
Dreadpoetssociety	76d ago	Fresh
No Guarantee	137d ago	Long break
The Dark Edge	150d ago	Long break
Quickbuck	308d ago	Long break