Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer In UK&Ireland Handicap Hurdle (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)

Sedgefield

16:15

Date 2024-09-23

Distance 2m3f188y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,066

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	For Three Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	150	t	12F832	92	111	104	30d	—	—	+8	22.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won over 2m1f here in May (good) when 6lb lower; twice runner-up in the meantime
1	Ciel De Neige Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	168	—	0-4884	110	112	71	30d	—	—	+4	19.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Mark continues to fall and there have been positive signs; not ruled out
11	Kopa Kilana Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	150	t	-22422	92	116	90	17d	—	—	+11	25.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
No wins in 18 over hurdles but he's been on the scene in all his runs this year
4	Jaramillo Bay J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	165	—	P4-247	107	116	109	—	—	—	+4	18.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Seventh on final hurdle start and hasn't been offering much on the Flat since then
9	Kajaki Grey J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	152	v	98-745	94	112	80	—	—	—	+3	14.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
On the downgrade over hurdles and ran moderately back on the Flat last time
7	Lakefield Flyer Bay J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	162	ht	1532F-	104	113	-	371d	—	—	+13	21.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Respectable efforts over hurdles/fences last year but back from year off and hood is new
6	Clear The Runway Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	162	p	55P-67	104	113	68	96d	—	—	+6	16.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Prolific in 2022 over hurdles and fences but quiet this year over the smaller obstacles
2	Mount Gallion Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	167	—	8551P-	109	103	82	177d	—	—	+17	21.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Forgive him last time and he's not without hope, though has been off since March
12	Gentle Victor Bay J:William Shanahan(5) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:William Shanahan(5) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	143	t	P59-38	85	113	83	89d	—	—	+4	10.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Placed the once; remains a maiden and needs to find extra
8	Carrarea Chestnut J:Edward Austin(5) T:Hannah McMahon	J:Edward Austin(5) T:Hannah McMahon	153	t	9-9744	95	113	98	14d	—	—	+7	12.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Should be well handicapped and recent efforts a little better, going down by about 10l
3	Moonlight Glory Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Mark Walford	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Mark Walford	167	—	4F90-0	109	114	94	30d	—	—	+11	16.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Last five runs haven't gone well and she was a big price when tailed off at Cartmel
13	You're Kidding Me Bay J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Mike Sowersby	J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Mike Sowersby	142	—	00-9P	87	112	-	28d	—	—	+8	9.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Poor form in two Irish runs and a similar tale for current yard
NR	Boomslang Bay J:TBC T:Rebecca Menzies	J: T:Rebecca Menzies	165	—	P-2215	107	110	61	63d	—	—	—	14.3	—	—
2m6f maiden winner on good; didn't appear to stay 3m1f last time on soft

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
For Three	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Ciel De Neige	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Kopa Kilana	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	4/1
Jaramillo	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Kajaki	8/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Lakefield Flyer	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Clear The Runway	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Mount Gallion	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Gentle Victor	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Carrarea	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	14/1
Moonlight Glory	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
You're Kidding Me	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kopa Kilana

25.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 11 Odds: 4.4

11/2

2nd

For Three

22.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 7.7 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Mount Gallion

21.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Lakefield Flyer

21.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Ciel De Neige

19.4

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Jaramillo

18.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Clear The Runway

16.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

12/1

Moonlight Glory

16.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Boomslang

14.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kajaki

14.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Carrarea

12.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Gentle Victor

10.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

You're Kidding Me

9.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ciel De Neige	110	112	71
Mount Gallion	109	103	82
Moonlight Glory	109	114	94
Jaramillo	107	116	109
Boomslang	107	110	61
Lakefield Flyer	104	113	—
Clear The Runway	104	113	68
Carrarea	95	113	98
Kajaki	94	112	80
For Three	92	111	104
Kopa Kilana	92	116	90
You're Kidding Me	87	112	—
Gentle Victor	85	113	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Carrarea	14d ago	Fit
Kopa Kilana	17d ago	Fit
You're Kidding Me	28d ago	Fit
For Three	30d ago	Fit
Ciel De Neige	30d ago	Fit
Moonlight Glory	30d ago	Fit
Boomslang	63d ago	Fresh
Gentle Victor	89d ago	Fresh
Clear The Runway	96d ago	Long break
Mount Gallion	177d ago	Long break
Lakefield Flyer	371d ago	Long break
Jaramillo	—	—
Kajaki	—	—