Molson Coors Handicap Hurdle (Div I) – Warwick

Warwick

16:40

Molson Coors Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Date 2024-09-24

Distance 3m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,096

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Chatty Chich Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	163	—	92-113	105	109	98	78d	—	—	-3	21	0.63/1	5/2 29%
2m4f too sharp last time when bidding for a hat-trick; softening ground a worry
6	Craven Bay Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Toby Lawes	J:Kevin Brogan T:Toby Lawes	161	tp	331-66	103	113	98	27d	—	—	-1	19.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Keeping on over 2m7f the last time (beaten 9l) and this far is worth a go
1	Dynamite Kentucky Chestnut J:Luke Scott(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Luke Scott(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	168	b	-P5221	110	112	97	34d	—	—	+19	35.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
He won't mind the recent rain and a lack of stamina won't stop him
10	Time To Tinker Brown J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	148	tb	-P5P03	90	117	97	18d	—	—	-2	17.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
An improved run for this yard when a 3l third at Bangor but that was over 2m3f
7	Ballyvaughan Bay Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:D J Jeffreys	J:Tom Bellamy T:D J Jeffreys	159	—	V6-615	101	111	74	84d	—	—	+7	15.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Still lightly raced and unlikely that he's handicapped out of it (6lb above his win)
2	Butler's Brief Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Alastair Ralph	J:Nick Scholfield T:Alastair Ralph	166	p	F-6P67	108	111	62	18d	—	—	+9	16.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
On a good mark but has struggled in cheekpieces/blinkers since returning from a break
3	Dublin Four Chestnut J:Kielan Woods T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Kielan Woods T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	165	t	F/7658	107	-	55	34d	—	—	+11	15.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Tailed off in his last hurdle race and suffered a similar fate in three subsequent chases
5	Highland Frolic Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Mark Rimell	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Mark Rimell	162	t	/322P-	104	107	-	—	—	—	+16	20	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Maiden hurdle winner in 2023; mostly disappointing since then under both codes
NR	Calagogo Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Stephen Allen	J:NON-RUNNER T:Stephen Allen	158	tv	/P04P9	100	115	-	13d	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
His useful form for Gordon Elliott is a fading memory and he's very opposable
NR	Fine By Me Bay J:Jamie Brace(7) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Jamie Brace(7) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	157	—	5-251F	99	115	108	33d	—	—	—	12.3	—	—
In better form than most but needs good ground so watch the weather

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Chatty Chich	5/2	9/4	5/2
Craven Bay	10/3	4/1	7/2
Dynamite Kentucky	4/1	9/2	4/1
Time To Tinker	9/2	7/2	3/1
Ballyvaughan Bay	10/1	10/1	10/1
Butler's Brief	12/1	12/1	12/1
Dublin Four	28/1	22/1	20/1
Highland Frolic	40/1	25/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dynamite Kentucky

35.4

OR: 15 Form: 15.7 Odds: 4.7

9/2

2nd

Chatty Chich

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Highland Frolic

OR: 13.5 Form: 5.4 Odds: 1.1

40/1

Craven Bay

19.4

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Time To Tinker

17.7

OR: 10 Form: 2 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Butler's Brief

16.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Dublin Four

15.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ballyvaughan Bay

15.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Calagogo

12.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Fine By Me

12.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dynamite Kentucky	110	112	97
Butler's Brief	108	111	62
Dublin Four	107	—	55
Chatty Chich	105	109	98
Highland Frolic	104	107	—
Craven Bay	103	113	98
Ballyvaughan Bay	101	111	74
Calagogo	100	115	—
Fine By Me	99	115	108
Time To Tinker	90	117	97

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Calagogo	13d ago	Quick return
Time To Tinker	18d ago	Fit
Butler's Brief	18d ago	Fit
Craven Bay	27d ago	Fit
Fine By Me	33d ago	Fit
Dynamite Kentucky	34d ago	Fit
Dublin Four	34d ago	Fit
Chatty Chich	78d ago	Fresh
Ballyvaughan Bay	84d ago	Fresh
Highland Frolic	—	—