Golf And Gallop Package Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Golf And Gallop Package Handicap

Date 2024-09-26

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Fearless Bay Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Ed Dunlop	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Ed Dunlop	143	v	784515	73	75	65	26d	—	—	-6	20.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won at Kempton on penultimate start; defied a 2lb higher mark on sole Southwell run
4 (4)	Sugarloaf Lenny Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	138	—	229511	74	76	66	16d	—	—	+7	31.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Bids for hat-trick, having recorded neck and nose wins the last twice; better than ever
7 (6)	Fram Castle Chestnut J:J F Egan T:Ollie Sangster	J:J F Egan T:Ollie Sangster	124	b	-60932	60	76	44	40d	—	—	-3	14.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
3yo maiden who has posted two encouraging efforts since wearing blinkers; possibilities
2 (1)	Genesius Chestnut J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	140	—	-33267	70	81	-	38d	—	—	0	12.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Largely consistent and on a handy mark but has a poor strike-rate in last three years
6 (7)	Scottish Reel Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	53-4	67	73	-	66d	—	—	-3	6.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Thrice-raced colt who is nicely bred and looks open to improvement now handicapping
3 (3)	King Me Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Alex Hales	J:Callum Shepherd T:Alex Hales	140	—	58/36-	70	70	-	461d	—	—	+3	5.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Regressive maiden for the Johnston yard; returns from 15-month absence
5 (2)	Sisterandbrother Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Kevin Frost	J:Cam Hardie T:Kevin Frost	132	ht	138350	62	76	-	18d	—	—	+3	6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
On last winning mark but has something to prove back on AW; 0-3 in this sphere

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Fearless Bay	9/4	2/1	9/4
Sugarloaf Lenny	11/4	5/2	5/2
Fram Castle	4/1	7/2	7/2
Genesius	5/1	11/2	6/1
Scottish Reel	17/2	15/2	15/2
King Me	28/1	28/1	33/1
Sisterandbrother	25/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sugarloaf Lenny

31.3

OR: 6 Form: 18 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Fearless Bay

20.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Fram Castle

14.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Genesius

12.6

OR: 5 Form: 4 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Scottish Reel

6.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Sisterandbrother

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

33/1

King Me

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sugarloaf Lenny	74	76	66
Fearless Bay	73	75	65
Genesius	70	81	—
King Me	70	70	—
Scottish Reel	67	73	—
Sisterandbrother	62	76	—
Fram Castle	60	76	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sugarloaf Lenny	16d ago	Fit
Sisterandbrother	18d ago	Fit
Fearless Bay	26d ago	Fit
Genesius	38d ago	Fit
Fram Castle	40d ago	Fit
Scottish Reel	66d ago	Fresh
King Me	461d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.