Dragonbet - Real Bookmakers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Worcester

4:55

Date 2024-09-27

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,066

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8	Razzo Italiano br J:Shane Fenelon(3) T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Shane Fenelon(3) T:Peter & Michael Bowen	144	p	963551	85	110	94	20d	—	—	+3	26.9	11/4 27%
Selling handicap score latest (2m3f, good); still on a winning mark; debut for the Bowens.
3	Cavern Club ch J:Jack Hogan T:James Owen	J:Jack Hogan T:James Owen	167	—	12	110	101	31	20d	—	—	+7	35.9	10/3 23%
Easy Cartmel maiden winner on soft; player if settling and jumping better than last time.
5	Dunbulcan Bay b J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	164	—	53-2	105	112	78	125d	—	—	+6	24	4/1 20%
Early days but optimum trip perhaps isn't clear yet; initial mark makes sense, at least.
1	Byzantine Empire b J:Taylor Fisher T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Taylor Fisher T:John & Rhys Flint	168	tp	5-3614	109	106	74	—	—	—	+4	19.2	9/2 18%
C&D 0-110 winner in July off 6lb lower, but held next time; poor on the Flat latest.
2	Douglas Dc b J:Freddie Gordon T:Tony Carroll	J:Freddie Gordon T:Tony Carroll	167	p	523P-8	108	114	100	20d	—	—	+9	16.6	12/1 8%
Solid Flat efforts this summer, so disappointing a recent Stratford effort wasn't better.
7	Max's Champ ch J:Ned Fox T:Samuel Drinkwater	J:Ned Fox T:Samuel Drinkwater	158	—	/0P60-	99	110	82	267d	—	—	+7	14.4	12/1 8%
Form took a dive switched to handicaps last autumn/winter; unseen for almost nine months.
9	Uncle Arthur b J:Philip Armson T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:Philip Armson T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	142	—	66-665	83	113	65	87d	—	—	+5	9.3	25/1 4%
C&D bumper winner in June 2022 (good) but just 1-19 since; has had wind surgery.
NR	Dog Fox ch J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	164	—	53-215	107	113	84	64d	—	—	—	14.3	—
Already held when making late mistakes over C&D last time; may not want much rain.
NR	Bashful b J:NON-RUNNER T:Iain Jardine	J:NON-RUNNER T:Iain Jardine	164	tp	4/411-	105	113	-	—	—	—	—	13.8	—
7lb higher than for second of two wins in winter; tardy recent Flat starts concern more.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Razzo Italiano	5/2	5/2	5/2	11/4	11/4
Cavern Club	10/3	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Dunbulcan Bay	7/2	4/1	7/2	10/3	10/3
Byzantine Empire	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Douglas Dc	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Max's Champ	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Uncle Arthur	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cavern Club

35.9

OR: 15 Form: 12 Odds: 8.9

10/3

2nd

Razzo Italiano

26.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Dunbulcan Bay

OR: 13.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Byzantine Empire

19.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Douglas Dc

16.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Max's Champ

14.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Dog Fox

14.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Bashful

13.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Uncle Arthur

9.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cavern Club Top Rated	110	101	31
Byzantine Empire	109	106	74
Douglas Dc	108	114	100
Dog Fox	107	113	84
Dunbulcan Bay	105	112	78
Bashful	105	113	—
Max's Champ	99	110	82
Razzo Italiano	85	110	94
Uncle Arthur	83	113	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Razzo Italiano	20d ago	Fit
Cavern Club	20d ago	Fit
Douglas Dc	20d ago	Fit
Dog Fox	64d ago	Fresh
Uncle Arthur	87d ago	Fresh
Dunbulcan Bay	125d ago	Long break
Max's Champ	267d ago	Long break
Byzantine Empire	—	—
Bashful	—	—