Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:30

Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap

Date 2024-09-28

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (9)	We'renotreallyhere Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Daniel Steele	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Daniel Steele	134	p	421372	56	71	63	5d	—	—	-2	17.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won on Polytrack last month and was runner-up at Wolverhampton on Monday; in the mix
9 (12)	Bold Suitor Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	128	b	504561	50	70	61	9d	—	—	-3	15.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made it 4-11 on AW when beating a clear second over C&D last week; big player again up 4lb
8 (2)	Marayel Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	132	—	804613	54	70	39	50d	—	—	-1	16	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won on AW last month and had excuse at 1m2f latest; dangerous if he can bounce back again
2 (8)	Hurricane Power Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	138	tp	785751	64	71	52	12d	—	—	+6	16.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Off the mark with narrow success at Windsor; up 3lb but has possibilities back on AW
3 (7)	Bonaventure Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Stuart Williams	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Stuart Williams	136	t	542149	62	69	-	9d	—	—	0	13.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won at Windsor last month but he needs to bounce back after a disappointing run last time
4 (11)	Valadero Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Brian Toomey	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Brian Toomey	135	v	956226	61	69	63	12d	—	—	+2	11.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Inconsistent 16-race maiden and he comes with risks attached in new headgear
12 (1)	Just Typical Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Ian Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ian Williams	120	h	004585	46	64	41	9d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-8 but he wasn't beaten far here last time and looks worth a try at this new trip
7 (10)	Kinematica Chestnut J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Shane Kelly T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	b	656763	59	68	59	19d	—	—	+2	6.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
0-7 but was close third in blinkers at Wolverhampton latest; respected back up in trip
1 (5)	Thomas Equinas Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	139	—	101-99	61	69	33	89d	—	—	0	3.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Four course wins last year but he's struggled in both runs this season; something to prove
5 (4)	Apache Canyon Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	134	—	8568	60	64	28	17d	—	—	+1	3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Well held at big prices in all four runs including a 1m AW handicap; can only be watched
11 (6)	Royal Expert Bay J:William Carson T:Simon Pearce	J:William Carson T:Simon Pearce	122	p	0-0496	48	64	41	23d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Regressive nine-race maiden who needs to find more back up in trip; cheekpieces added
10 (3)	Malinheadsearovers Bay J:George Downing T:Tom Gretton	J:George Downing T:Tom Gretton	124	t	0-0790	46	62	-	10d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
13-race maiden who has struggled in four runs for new yard this year; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
We'renotreallyhere	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Bold Suitor	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Marayel	7/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Hurricane Power	15/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Bonaventure	15/2	7/1	8/1	17/2	17/2
Valadero	9/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1
Just Typical	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Kinematica	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Thomas Equinas	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Apache Canyon	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Royal Expert	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Malinheadsearovers	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

We'renotreallyhere

17.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Hurricane Power

16.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Marayel

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

Bold Suitor

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Bonaventure

13.1

OR: 3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

17/2

Valadero

11.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Kinematica

6.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Thomas Equinas

3.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Apache Canyon

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Just Typical

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Royal Expert

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Malinheadsearovers

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hurricane Power	64	71	52
Bonaventure	62	69	—
Valadero	61	69	63
Thomas Equinas	61	69	33
Apache Canyon	60	64	28
Kinematica	59	68	59
We'renotreallyhere	56	71	63
Marayel	54	70	39
Bold Suitor	50	70	61
Royal Expert	48	64	41
Just Typical	46	64	41
Malinheadsearovers	46	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
We'renotreallyhere	5d ago	Quick return
Bold Suitor	9d ago	Quick return
Bonaventure	9d ago	Quick return
Just Typical	9d ago	Quick return
Malinheadsearovers	10d ago	Quick return
Hurricane Power	12d ago	Quick return
Valadero	12d ago	Quick return
Apache Canyon	17d ago	Fit
Kinematica	19d ago	Fit
Royal Expert	23d ago	Fit
Marayel	50d ago	Fresh
Thomas Equinas	89d ago	Fresh