Ryepa Handicap Hurdle (Div II) – Market Rasen

Market Rasen

18:15

Ryepa Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Date 2024-09-28

Distance 2m2f140y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Bitsnbuckles Bay J:Lewis Stones(3) T:Olly Murphy	J:Lewis Stones(3) T:Olly Murphy	166	—	86177-	103	108	97	155d	—	—	-2	27.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Below-par since winning over 2m3f in January but could bounce back on this better ground
4	Garitsa Bay Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	158	—	41-331	95	103	91	107d	—	—	-7	19.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Two wins over hurdles, the latest at Worcester last time; stays 2m2f; should go well again
7	Prospect House Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Peter Niven	J:Brian Hughes T:Peter Niven	147	p	672P1-	84	101	63	364d	—	—	+11	23.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Off the mark over hurdles in this race last term; not run since; could go well if tuned up
3	Barenboim Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	163	t	349/6	100	103	62	27d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	15.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Five-time Flat winner; modest form over hurdles (after wind op latest); h'cap debut
8	Harry Gulliver Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	J:Harry Bannister T:Alex Hales	142	—	/60-F0	79	103	51	32d	—	—	0	9.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Disputing second when falling at the last at Stratford in May; poor form otherwise
1	Good Bye Chestnut J:Philip Armson(3) T:Sara Ender	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Sara Ender	168	b	341/8P	105	102	85	70d	—	—	+10	15.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Two wins, latest in January 2023; off for 509 days; not regained his form since
5	Saddlers Quest Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Debra Hamer	J:Robert Dunne T:Debra Hamer	151	—	-68445	88	108	82	19d	—	—	+5	11.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Three wins at 2m/2m1f in 2023; below par on soft after wind op latest; better expected
9	Lord Warburton Chestnut J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Mike Sowersby	J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Mike Sowersby	142	tv	60-6	79	71	43	—	—	—	+6	7.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Poor form in three maiden hurdles; Flat winner since; may do better but 13lb wrong
6	Tio Mio Bay J:James Best T:Michael Chapman	J:James Best T:Michael Chapman	147	—	3P0/6-	84	-	-	—	—	—	+7	8.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Three-time AW Flat winner at up to 1m3f; poor form over hurdles; others stronger

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bitsnbuckles	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Garitsa Bay	9/4	9/4	85/40	2/1	2/1
Prospect House	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Barenboim	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	7/1
Harry Gulliver	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	7/1
Good Bye	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	14/1
Saddlers Quest	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Lord Warburton	66/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Tio Mio	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bitsnbuckles

27.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Prospect House

23.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.3

8/1

3rd

Garitsa Bay

19.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Barenboim

15.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Good Bye

15.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Saddlers Quest

11.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Harry Gulliver

9.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Tio Mio

8.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Lord Warburton

7.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Good Bye	105	102	85
Bitsnbuckles	103	108	97
Barenboim	100	103	62
Garitsa Bay	95	103	91
Saddlers Quest	88	108	82
Prospect House	84	101	63
Tio Mio	84	—	—
Harry Gulliver	79	103	51
Lord Warburton	79	71	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Saddlers Quest	19d ago	Fit
Barenboim	27d ago	Fit
Harry Gulliver	32d ago	Fit
Good Bye	70d ago	Fresh
Garitsa Bay	107d ago	Long break
Bitsnbuckles	155d ago	Long break
Prospect House	364d ago	Long break
Lord Warburton	—	—
Tio Mio	—	—