Glenroyal Hotel Student Derby Handicap – Curragh

Curragh

16:55

Glenroyal Hotel Student Derby Handicap

Date 2024-09-28

Distance 1m2f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Forlio Chestnut J:Mr B M Coonan T:Paul W Flynn	J:Mr B M Coonan T:Paul W Flynn	151	tp	/10063	62	60	46	39d	—	—	-6	13.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Returned from lengthy absence to win in May and has recently bounced back to form
2 (13)	Bear Profit Bay J:Mr Henri Barbe T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Mr Henri Barbe T:Gerard O'Leary	156	p	514458	67	61	44	17d	—	—	-5	10.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Gained first turf win at Leopardstown in July; this could stretch him if it turns soft
3 (14)	Nahori Bay J:Mr A Lemaire T:Thomas Gibney	J:Mr A Lemaire T:Thomas Gibney	155	p	055055	66	57	37	11d	—	—	-4	7.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
No wins since debut and no progress in h'caps; ground could be against her
5 (15)	Nunc Est Bibendum Bay J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan T:Stephen Gerard Carey	J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan T:Stephen Gerard Carey	152	—	574	68	54	48	54d	—	—	-6	8.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Promise in each of 3 maiden runs so far; slower ground a concern but workable mark
11 (7)	Someone's Wish Bay J:Ms Hannah Smullen T:Gordon Elliott	J:Ms Hannah Smullen T:Gordon Elliott	147	—	1174-6	58	52	44	—	—	—	-5	4.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won beginners' last week and dual AW winner but others look better treated
4 (6)	Chicago Storm Bay J:Miss A Jones T:Chris Timmons	J:Miss A Jones T:Chris Timmons	152	tp	-75301	63	53	39	34d	—	—	+9	17.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Off the mark at 23rd attempt latest; 5lb higher but consistent on the level this term
1 (9)	Out On Friday Bay J:Mr F Barlow T:Philip M Byrne	J:Mr F Barlow T:Philip M Byrne	160	—	540134	71	55	42	42d	—	—	+5	15	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Front runner who gained 7th win in July; may get lead and any rain would be fine
10 (4)	Jawhary Bay J:Mrs C Schnyder T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Mrs C Schnyder T:Adrian McGuinness	149	v	099607	60	60	36	8d	—	—	-2	4.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Sole win came in 2021; hinted at return to form on AW latest but others more convincing
6 (10)	Alfheim Bay J:Mr Paddy Barlow T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Mr Paddy Barlow T:Mrs John Harrington	151	t	8408	67	52	-	26d	—	—	0	5.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Improved when a C&D 4th; lesser runs twice since but shorter trip may suit on h'cap bow
9 (3)	Narragansett Bay J:Ms E C Costello T:Andrew Slattery	J:Ms E C Costello T:Andrew Slattery	150	—	758	66	57	38	108d	—	—	0	5.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Getting better each run and beaten 5l in Limerick maiden latest; fair mark; off 108 days
12 (11)	Tartaraghan Bay J:Alex Harvey T:John C McConnell	J:Alex Harvey T:John C McConnell	143	—	353520	59	57	44	11d	—	—	+2	8.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
0-17; shaped like turn was near 2 starts ago but not as good latest; may not want rain
14 (5)	Trueba Brown J:Ms D J Kirwan T:Edmond Daniel Linehan	J:Ms D J Kirwan T:Edmond Daniel Linehan	138	t	073689	49	59	51	17d	—	—	-2	2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
On losing run and has stamina to prove at this sort of trip, particularly if rain arrives
15 (2)	Wayside Lady Chestnut J:Ms C J Worrell T:Patrick Joseph Hayes	J:Ms C J Worrell T:Patrick Joseph Hayes	138	tp	6-0090	49	57	12	—	—	—	-2	0.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
10-race maiden on the Flat and hasn't shown enough since switching to handicaps
8 (1)	Promo Queen Bay J:Mr I Ryan T:Chris Timmons	J:Mr I Ryan T:Chris Timmons	151	ht	10-400	67	56	14	18d	—	—	+3	4.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Won 7f h'cap here last year; yet to prove as effective over further; new headgear
NR (12)	Albatala Bay J:Mr C McConnell T:John C McConnell	J:Mr C McConnell T:John C McConnell	140	t	0026-9	51	58	42	68d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Went close last year on testing ground; disappointing fav back on Flat latest though

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Forlio	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Bear Profit	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Nahori	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Nunc Est Bibendum	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Someone's Wish	7/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Chicago Storm	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	8/1
Out On Friday	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Jawhary	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Alfheim	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Narragansett	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Tartaraghan	25/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Trueba	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Wayside Lady	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Promo Queen	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chicago Storm

17.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

2nd

Out On Friday

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.7

11/1

3rd

Forlio

13.7

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Bear Profit

10.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 2 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Nunc Est Bibendum

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Tartaraghan

8.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Nahori

7.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Alfheim

5.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Narragansett

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Someone's Wish

4.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Promo Queen

4.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Jawhary

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Trueba

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Wayside Lady

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Albatala

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Out On Friday	71	55	42
Nunc Est Bibendum	68	54	48
Bear Profit	67	61	44
Alfheim	67	52	—
Promo Queen	67	56	14
Nahori	66	57	37
Narragansett	66	57	38
Chicago Storm	63	53	39
Forlio	62	60	46
Jawhary	60	60	36
Tartaraghan	59	57	44
Someone's Wish	58	52	44
Albatala	51	58	42
Trueba	49	59	51
Wayside Lady	49	57	12

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jawhary	8d ago	Quick return
Nahori	11d ago	Quick return
Tartaraghan	11d ago	Quick return
Bear Profit	17d ago	Fit
Trueba	17d ago	Fit
Promo Queen	18d ago	Fit
Alfheim	26d ago	Fit
Chicago Storm	34d ago	Fit
Forlio	39d ago	Fit
Out On Friday	42d ago	Fit
Nunc Est Bibendum	54d ago	Fresh
Albatala	68d ago	Fresh
Narragansett	108d ago	Long break
Someone's Wish	—	—
Wayside Lady	—	—