EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C And D) (GBB Race) (Div II)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:00

Date 2024-09-28

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	Shamador Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	2	-	86	43	18d	—	—	-26	20.4	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Promising second on debut at Newcastle 18 days ago (7f); open to improvement; solid claims
7 (6)	Metro Dubai Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	131	b	29532	74	81	67	7d	—	—	-4	22.1	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Consistent rather than progressive; ran well at Wolverhampton last week; should go well
11 (12)	Mandana Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Robert Havlin T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	128	—	323	73	85	-	34d	—	—	+3	18.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Similar form in three fillies' maidens; solid form claims and likely to go well again
10 (10)	Bint Mohaather Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
30,000gns half-sister to five winners; starts out at a realistic level; check the betting
4 (2)	Pickering Castle Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	133	—	6	-	64	31	47d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Green and ran to modest level on last month's debut (7f, AW); hood worn there now left off
12 (8)	The Thames Lady Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	128	h	6	-	44	36	18d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
17l behind an impressive stablemate at Lingfield (6f) on debut; was backed there though
5 (9)	Prince Of Joy Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	133	—	7	-	42	-	34d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Dropped right away on his Goodwood debut; can do better but needs to
13 (13)	Appleblossomwhite Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
16,000euros breeze-up 2yo; half-sister to a minor 6f-1m winner; likely best watched
3 (5)	My Boy Harry Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:Darryll Holland	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Darryll Holland	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Some appeal on paper but yard not renowned for winning 2yo newcomers
2 (7)	Chester Arms Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	133	—	7	-	-	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.4	62.50/1	250/1 0%
22-1 and offered little short-term promise at Lingfield (6f, AW) this month
8 (4)	Something Splendid Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Darragh Keenan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	—	-	32	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
66-1 when tailed off at Leicester (7f, soft) on this month's debut
9 (11)	Addenda Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	128	p	00	-	15	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Beaten around 30l in a couple of 7f fillies' events; can't be recommended
1 (1)	Captain Brett Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:David Simcock	J:Georgia Dobie T:David Simcock	133	—	00	-	40	20	9d	—	—	0	0.2	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Poor form in two runs over a mile this summer; one for handicaps over further next year
NR (14)	Summer Evening Bay J:Shariq Mohd(7) T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Shariq Mohd(7) T:Sylvester Kirk	126	—	6	-	63	43	32d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Debut effort not without hope but still best watched from the outside stall

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Shamador	10/11	5/6	10/11	4/5	10/11
Metro Dubai	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Mandana	11/2	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Bint Mohaather	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Pickering Castle	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
The Thames Lady	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Prince Of Joy	150/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Appleblossomwhite	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	125/1
My Boy Harry	150/1	80/1	100/1	66/1	100/1
Chester Arms	250/1	125/1	150/1	80/1	125/1
Something Splendid	100/1	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1
Addenda	500/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1
Captain Brett	500/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Metro Dubai

22.1

OR: 6 Form: 8.1 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Shamador

20.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 15.4

10/11

3rd

Mandana

18.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 8 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Bint Mohaather

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Pickering Castle

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

The Thames Lady

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Appleblossomwhite

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Chester Arms

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

250/1

My Boy Harry

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Prince Of Joy

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Something Splendid

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Addenda

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Captain Brett

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Summer Evening

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Metro Dubai	74	81	67
Mandana	73	85	—
Shamador	—	86	43
Bint Mohaather	—	—	—
Pickering Castle	—	64	31
The Thames Lady	—	44	36
Prince Of Joy	—	42	—
Appleblossomwhite	—	—	—
My Boy Harry	—	—	—
Chester Arms	—	—	—
Something Splendid	—	32	—
Addenda	—	15	—
Captain Brett	—	40	20
Summer Evening	—	63	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Metro Dubai	7d ago	Quick return
Captain Brett	9d ago	Quick return
Shamador	18d ago	Fit
The Thames Lady	18d ago	Fit
Something Splendid	18d ago	Fit
Addenda	18d ago	Fit
Chester Arms	23d ago	Fit
Summer Evening	32d ago	Fit
Mandana	34d ago	Fit
Prince Of Joy	34d ago	Fit
Pickering Castle	47d ago	Fresh
Bint Mohaather	—	—
Appleblossomwhite	—	—
My Boy Harry	—	—