Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-09-30

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 1m 27.49s (slow by 1.49s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kristal Klear (IRE) Jonny Peate · Stella Barclay	6/5F	Won
2nd	Buttercross Flyer (IRE) Joey Haynes · Scott Dixon	14/1	3.75
3rd	Dumfries (GB) Luke Morris · Ruth Carr	11/1	1
4th	No Saint (GB) Billy Loughnane · Sam England	10/1	.75
5th	Souffionne (IRE) Tom Marquand · Hugo Palmer	13/2	.75
6th	Dynamite Katie (IRE) Finley Marsh · Grace Harris	22/1	0.1
7th	Darbucks (IRE) David Probert · Christopher Kellett	18/1	1.25
8th	Galel (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · John Butler	25/1	1
9th	El Montejean (GB) Mikkel Mortensen · Ben Lund	150/1	.75
10th	Nights Over Egypt (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Jennie Candlish	7/1	2.25
11th	Top Button (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	14/1	1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Kristal Klear Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Stella Barclay	J:Jonny Peate T:Stella Barclay	138	—	306612	60	73	56	24d	—	—	-11	26.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Ran well last twice, winning over 7f on AW before good 2nd on turf (form sound); chance
3 (3)	Souffionne Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Hugo Palmer	J:Tom Marquand T:Hugo Palmer	138	t	856700	60	69	46	18d	—	—	-5	5.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won 7f AW novice in November; disappointing since (last of 11 last time); plenty to prove
1 (10)	Nights Over Egypt Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jennie Candlish	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jennie Candlish	141	p	490031	63	67	48	7d	—	—	+7	18.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Both wins at 6f but plenty of sound efforts over 7f; could go well despite wide draw
6 (4)	Dumfries Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	135	b	850608	57	69	50	13d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won 1m AW maiden last season; disappointing for new yard this term; blinkers now tried
9 (11)	No Saint Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Sam England	J:Billy Loughnane T:Sam England	132	—	897670	54	73	21	18d	—	—	-5	3.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ex-Michael Bell; good AW second on stable debut in December; disappointing since
10 (12)	Top Button Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	130	t	252164D	52	69	62	11d	—	—	0	6.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner off 3lb lower in June; decent efforts since, notably last time; interesting
11 (5)	Candy Warhol Bay J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Scott Dixon	129	tp	297005	51	65	71	29d	—	—	-4	2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
0-22; twice runner-up over C&D earlier this season; rather lost his way since
7 (8)	Darbucks Chestnut J:David Probert T:Christopher Kellett	J:David Probert T:Christopher Kellett	134	—	229550	56	68	-	26d	—	—	-1	3.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Last win was at Wetherby in June 2022; in fair form early this term, not so good recently
5 (6)	Buttercross Flyer Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	136	—	385374	61	67	40	7d	—	—	+1	5.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won 7f AW nursery last term; sold 6,000gns in July; good run on stable debut; interesting
8 (9)	Galel Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	134	—	69-07	59	65	48	9d	—	—	-1	3.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Ex-Irish; modest form in maidens; sound run on stable/h'cap debut (slowly away); chance
12 (1)	Dynamite Katie Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Grace Harris	J:Finley Marsh T:Grace Harris	124	h	5722P8	46	69	-	28d	—	—	+1	3.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
1m AW winner in Ireland; two fair efforts for this yard in July; ran poorly last time
4 (7)	El Montejean Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Ben Lund	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Ben Lund	137	h	758650	59	69	31	7d	—	—	+2	2.4	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Fair form for Mark Walford last term; mainly disappointing for this yard; plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kristal Klear	11/8	11/8	5/4	6/5	11/8
Souffionne	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	9/1
Nights Over Egypt	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Dumfries	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
No Saint	15/2	17/2	9/1	10/1	15/2
Top Button	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Candy Warhol	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Darbucks	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Buttercross Flyer	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Galel	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	18/1
Dynamite Katie	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
El Montejean	200/1	150/1	150/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kristal Klear

26.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 12 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Nights Over Egypt

18.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Top Button

6.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Souffionne

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Buttercross Flyer

5.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Dynamite Katie

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Dumfries

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Darbucks

3.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.2

18/1

No Saint

3.5

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Galel

3.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

El Montejean

2.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Candy Warhol

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nights Over Egypt	63	67	48
Buttercross Flyer	61	67	40
Kristal Klear	60	73	56
Souffionne	60	69	46
Galel	59	65	48
El Montejean	59	69	31
Dumfries	57	69	50
Darbucks	56	68	—
No Saint	54	73	21
Top Button	52	69	62
Candy Warhol	51	65	71
Dynamite Katie	46	69	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nights Over Egypt	7d ago	Quick return
Buttercross Flyer	7d ago	Quick return
El Montejean	7d ago	Quick return
Galel	9d ago	Quick return
Top Button	11d ago	Quick return
Dumfries	13d ago	Quick return
Souffionne	18d ago	Fit
No Saint	18d ago	Fit
Kristal Klear	24d ago	Fit
Darbucks	26d ago	Fit
Dynamite Katie	28d ago	Fit
Candy Warhol	29d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.