Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:10

Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap

Date 2024-10-03

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (4)	Triple Force Bay J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	127	—	065352	57	81	69	7d	—	—	-15	18.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Clear second behind major improver at Southwell latest; 3lb well in and he's a big player
4 (6)	Love Warrior Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	131	p	864425	61	77	58	16d	—	—	-5	11	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-10 and he didn't fire when favourite over C&D latest; needs to step up again
7 (11)	Game Management Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	129	p	658518	59	77	56	13d	—	—	+1	12.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won over C&D on penultimate run and he's only 3lb higher today; not ruled out back on AW
1 (7)	Etretat Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	214642	65	78	66	9d	—	—	+3	13.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Record of 1-19 but his win was on Tapeta and he went close on turf last week; respected
2 (2)	Walson's Law Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	135	—	546	65	70	44	34d	—	—	-7	8.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Handicap newcomer and he needs watching in the market on this step up to 1m
8 (3)	Due Consideration Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	128	h	074232	58	78	-	23d	—	—	+5	14	3.00/1	12/1 8%
In-form 3yo who is versatile trip-wise and should go well again back at 1m
12 (10)	Chillout Charlie Brown J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	116	—	797653	46	74	48	9d	—	—	0	4.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
0-10 but was placed off reduced mark here last time and looks worth a try at this new trip
11 (8)	Oceanic Wonder Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	124	p	332167	54	73	-	9d	—	—	+5	9.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won at Redcar in August but she's flopped in both subsequent runs and is untried on AW
6 (12)	Made All Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	129	—	003670	59	76	44	9d	—	—	+1	3.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Close third at Ripon in May but has been disappointing since and was beaten 26l last week
3 (1)	Seahorse Syd Brown J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	J:Harry Russell T:Ollie Pears	131	b	754819	61	74	36	34d	—	—	+8	10.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Clearcut win at Carlisle in August but he was last at Thirsk next time; risks attached
10 (5)	Mambha Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	127	p	228429	57	74	45	34d	—	—	+4	7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Nine-race maiden who was only ninth at Southwell latest and others are more convincing
5 (9)	Desert Raider Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ian McInnes	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ian McInnes	130	p	364750	60	76	60	38d	—	—	+1	3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
On a workable mark but has a mixed record for current yard and was tailed off last time

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Triple Force	6/4	7/4	6/4
Love Warrior	11/2	9/2	9/2
Game Management	7/1	13/2	7/1
Etretat	7/1	7/1	7/1
Walson's Law	13/2	7/1	13/2
Due Consideration	12/1	8/1	11/1
Chillout Charlie	20/1	18/1	18/1
Oceanic Wonder	25/1	25/1	25/1
Made All	40/1	33/1	33/1
Seahorse Syd	50/1	40/1	33/1
Mambha	40/1	33/1	33/1
Desert Raider	100/1	50/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Triple Force

18.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Due Consideration

OR: 2 Form: 9.6 Odds: 2.4

12/1

3rd

Etretat

13.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Game Management

12.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Love Warrior

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.7

11/2

Seahorse Syd

10.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Oceanic Wonder

9.2

OR: 1 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Walson's Law

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

7/1

Mambha

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Chillout Charlie

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Made All

3.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Desert Raider

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Etretat	65	78	66
Walson's Law	65	70	44
Love Warrior	61	77	58
Seahorse Syd	61	74	36
Desert Raider	60	76	60
Game Management	59	77	56
Made All	59	76	44
Due Consideration	58	78	—
Triple Force	57	81	69
Mambha	57	74	45
Oceanic Wonder	54	73	—
Chillout Charlie	46	74	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Triple Force	7d ago	Quick return
Etretat	9d ago	Quick return
Chillout Charlie	9d ago	Quick return
Oceanic Wonder	9d ago	Quick return
Made All	9d ago	Quick return
Game Management	13d ago	Quick return
Love Warrior	16d ago	Fit
Due Consideration	23d ago	Fit
Walson's Law	34d ago	Fit
Seahorse Syd	34d ago	Fit
Mambha	34d ago	Fit
Desert Raider	38d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.