BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) – Ascot

Ascot

14:25

BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2024-10-05

Distance 1m3f211y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £48,204

Winning Time 2m 37.86s (slow by 8.16s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Al Qareem (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	11/10F	Won
2nd	Al Aasy (IRE) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	3/1	2
3rd	Layfayette (IRE) David Egan · Noel Meade	33/1	.5
4th	God's Window (GB) Saffie Osborne · John & Thady Gosden	17/2	5
5th	Gather Ye Rosebuds (GB) Jamie Spencer · Jack Channon	25/1	4.5
6th	Salt Bay (GER) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	4/1	2.25
7th	Peking Opera (IRE) Tom Queally · Gary & Josh Moore	150/1	27

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Al Qareem Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	132	—	452521	109	123	116	21d	—	—	+4	42.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Won this race last year and is very reliable, including on soft and heavy going
1 (4)	Al Aasy Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	135	—	25-211	113	123	106	49d	—	—	-4	24.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Two Gr 3 wins on fast ground in August; his latest race on soft (a novice win) was in 2020
6 (8)	Salt Bay Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	132	—	7-3624	109	120	97	84d	—	—	+6	18.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Possible ground excuse last time; seems to need ground softer than good, and acts on heavy
8 (5)	God's Window Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Saffie Osborne T:John & Thady Gosden	126	p	145023	105	115	93	28d	—	—	+13	22.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Running-on third in Group 3 at Kempton (1m4f, AW debut) latest; worth a second look
7 (2)	Gather Ye Rosebuds Chestnut J:Jamie Spencer T:Jack Channon	J:Jamie Spencer T:Jack Channon	129	—	4-5178	102	118	73	23d	—	—	+10	14	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Disappointing last two starts; return to softer may offer hope but she needs a new high
4 (1)	Layfayette Brown J:David Egan T:Noel Meade	J:David Egan T:Noel Meade	132	b	1340-0	107	120	107	21d	—	—	+12	15	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Arguably has more to prove over this far on testing ground; may need a career best
5 (3)	Peking Opera Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	132	—	473-05	99	111	61	147d	—	—	+12	12.5	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Won hurdles debut in February but his three races since have not gone well; off since May
NR (6)	Hamish Bay J:TBC T:William Haggas	J: T:William Haggas	135	—	1-1245	115	126	97	28d	—	—	—	23.3	—	—
Last two starts saw his first disappointing displays in ages; big chance if back to form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Al Qareem	5/4	5/4	5/4	11/10	11/8
Al Aasy	9/4	9/4	2/1	2/1	2/1
Salt Bay	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
God's Window	8/1	15/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Gather Ye Rosebuds	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Layfayette	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Peking Opera	125/1	125/1	125/1	80/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Al Qareem

42.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 15 Odds: 12.5

11/8

2nd

Al Aasy

24.6

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Hamish

23.3

OR: 16.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

God's Window

22.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Salt Bay

18.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Layfayette

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Gather Ye Rosebuds

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Peking Opera

12.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hamish	115	126	97
Al Aasy	113	123	106
Al Qareem	109	123	116
Salt Bay	109	120	97
Layfayette	107	120	107
God's Window	105	115	93
Gather Ye Rosebuds	102	118	73
Peking Opera	99	111	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Al Qareem	21d ago	Fit
Layfayette	21d ago	Fit
Gather Ye Rosebuds	23d ago	Fit
God's Window	28d ago	Fit
Hamish	28d ago	Fit
Al Aasy	49d ago	Fresh
Salt Bay	84d ago	Fresh
Peking Opera	147d ago	Long break