Get Raceday Ready App EBF "Confined" Novice Stakes (Run No More Than Twice) (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-10-07

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 27.36s (slow by 1.36s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sea Baaeed (GB) Rob Hornby · Richard Hughes	12/1	Won
2nd	Sky Advocate (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	4/7F	0.3
3rd	Via Con Me (USA) Ross Coakley · Simon & Ed Crisford	25/1	4.25
4th	Initial Blue (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	11/2	1
5th	Fort Campbell (USA) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	25/1	1
6th	Noble Phoenix (IRE) David Probert · Andrew Balding	18/1	.75
7th	Play Me (GB) Jason Watson · George Boughey	12/1	2.25
8th	Riyadh Gem (IRE) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	10/1	4.25
9th	Cools Gold (GB) Harrison Shaw · Adrian Paul Keatley	250/1	2.5
10th	Synergism (GER) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	125/1	1
11th	Demesne Boy (IRE) Taylor Fisher · J S Moore	250/1	4
12th	Althaneyah (IRE) George Wood · Harry Eustace	22/1	3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (10)	Sky Advocate Grey J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	133	—	34	-	95	-	22d	—	—	-33	21.1	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Has made the frame in Salisbury novice event and Curragh sales race; sets the standard
5 (7)	Initial Blue Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-7	2.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
200,000gns yearling; by Blue Point; major yard; this debutant has good credentials
8 (9)	Riyadh Gem Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
150,000euros (breeze-up) 2yo; by Oasis Dream and from a smart family; interesting
9 (11)	Sea Baaeed Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Richard Hughes	J:Rob Hornby T:Richard Hughes	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
£160,000 yearling; Sea The Stars half-brother to an AW winner; respected debutant
6 (5)	Noble Phoenix Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	—	35	-	75	-	23d	—	—	-5	4.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Soft ground was a plausible excuse last time; remains open to improvement
12 (1)	Via Con Me Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	t	6	-	56	13	39d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Modest sixth at Chelmsford; now goes in tongue-tie
4 (6)	Fort Campbell Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
$210,000 yearling; by War Front and related to US winners; interesting newcomer
7 (4)	Play Me Bay J:Jason Watson T:George Boughey	J:Jason Watson T:George Boughey	133	—	30	-	76	15	17d	—	—	-1	3.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Placed at Thirsk but suffered a heavy defeat at Kempton; mixed messages
1 (8)	Althaneyah Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	133	—	8	-	61	-	19d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
22-1, emptied quickly in the closing stages at Yarmouth
11 (2)	Synergism Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
36,000euros yearling; by Soldier Hollow; less interesting than the other newcomers
2 (12)	Cools Gold Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Harrison Shaw T:Adrian Paul Keatley	133	—	9	-	45	-	54d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Last of nine at Beverley; gelded since
3 (3)	Demesne Boy Chestnut J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:J S Moore	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:J S Moore	133	—	8	-	50	-	28d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Always behind at Brighton

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sky Advocate	8/13	4/6	8/13	8/13	8/13
Initial Blue	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Riyadh Gem	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Sea Baaeed	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Noble Phoenix	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Via Con Me	10/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Fort Campbell	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Play Me	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Althaneyah	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Synergism	66/1	125/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Cools Gold	300/1	200/1	250/1	150/1	200/1
Demesne Boy	200/1	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sky Advocate

21.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 19

4/6

2nd

Noble Phoenix

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

11/1

3rd

Play Me

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Initial Blue

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Riyadh Gem

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Sea Baaeed

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Via Con Me

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Fort Campbell

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Althaneyah

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Synergism

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Cools Gold

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Demesne Boy

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sky Advocate	—	95	—
Initial Blue	—	—	—
Riyadh Gem	—	—	—
Sea Baaeed	—	—	—
Noble Phoenix	—	75	—
Via Con Me	—	56	13
Fort Campbell	—	—	—
Play Me	—	76	15
Althaneyah	—	61	—
Synergism	—	—	—
Cools Gold	—	45	—
Demesne Boy	—	50	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Play Me	17d ago	Fit
Althaneyah	19d ago	Fit
Sky Advocate	22d ago	Fit
Noble Phoenix	23d ago	Fit
Demesne Boy	28d ago	Fit
Via Con Me	39d ago	Fit
Cools Gold	54d ago	Fresh
Initial Blue	—	—
Riyadh Gem	—	—
Sea Baaeed	—	—
Fort Campbell	—	—
Synergism	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.