attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

17:15

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap

Date 2024-10-08

Distance 6f210y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Bobby Dassler Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	130	h	00-680	50	66	20	73d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Check betting on stable debut but he struggled on his last two starts in the summer
3 (3)	James Park Woods Bay J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	132	—	334218	52	64	53	7d	—	—	-3	16.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Poor strike-rate and soundly beaten last time, but won over C&D two starts ago
1 (5)	Kondratiev Wave Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	135	p	221313	55	68	57	47d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+5	21.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Two wins here this year and in good form on AW the last twice; solid claims
8 (4)	Roman Spring Brown J:Gina Mangan T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Gina Mangan T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	126	t	584629	46	65	52	22d	—	—	-4	6.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Well beaten in share of second two starts ago; down the field since; now 0-20
6 (7)	Muy Muy Guapo Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	126	p	550543	46	71	59	21d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-25 but in pretty good form here the last twice and might not be far away
2 (9)	Blue Collar Lad Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Daniel Steele	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Daniel Steele	135	p	645521	55	68	35	19d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+9	16.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has done very well since joining new yard and he's firmly in calculations
7 (6)	Run Cmc Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Patrick Chamings	J:Charles Bishop T:Patrick Chamings	126	v	-97440	46	65	56	76d	—	—	-6	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Couple of fair runs this summer but tailed off last time and long losing run continues
5 (1)	Heer's Sadie Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Julia Feilden	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Julia Feilden	127	—	275535	47	71	44	21d	—	—	-1	3.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Mixed fortunes here in recent months but this three-time C&D winner is not discounted
9 (8)	Lucky Question Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	126	b	406557	46	60	22	60d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Made the frame on Dundalk AW early this year but unable to get competitive this summer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bobby Dassler	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	10/3
James Park Woods	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Kondratiev Wave	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1
Roman Spring	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Muy Muy Guapo	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	8/1
Blue Collar Lad	12/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Run Cmc	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Heer's Sadie	16/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Lucky Question	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kondratiev Wave

21.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Blue Collar Lad

16.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

James Park Woods

16.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Roman Spring

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Bobby Dassler

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Muy Muy Guapo

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Heer's Sadie

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Run Cmc

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Lucky Question

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kondratiev Wave	55	68	57
Blue Collar Lad	55	68	35
James Park Woods	52	64	53
Bobby Dassler	50	66	20
Heer's Sadie	47	71	44
Roman Spring	46	65	52
Muy Muy Guapo	46	71	59
Run Cmc	46	65	56
Lucky Question	46	60	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
James Park Woods	7d ago	Quick return
Blue Collar Lad	19d ago	Fit
Muy Muy Guapo	21d ago	Fit
Heer's Sadie	21d ago	Fit
Roman Spring	22d ago	Fit
Kondratiev Wave	47d ago	Fresh
Lucky Question	60d ago	Fresh
Bobby Dassler	73d ago	Fresh
Run Cmc	76d ago	Fresh