Andy Buxton Handicap – Leicester

Leicester

15:23

Andy Buxton Handicap

Date 2024-10-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (1)	Sounds Of Spring Grey J:Rossa Ryan T:John Butler	J:Rossa Ryan T:John Butler	127	tb	007712	57	83	63	27d	—	—	-3	21	0.63/1	5/2 29%
In good form on soft, having won at Ffos Las and finished 2nd at Carlisle; interesting
6 (4)	Papabella Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	133	—	-05131	63	82	62	28d	—	—	+8	25.6	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has won two of last three races, latest over C&D on soft; up 6lb; has a chance
14 (8)	Shark Two One Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	124	b	445563	54	80	69	22d	—	—	-3	6.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two wins over 7f in 2023; fair placed efforts this term; acts on soft; others appeal more
3 (13)	Silent Flame Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	J:Oisin Murphy T:Rod Millman	136	b	413210	66	77	68	23d	—	—	+10	18.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two wins over 6f on good to soft this term; lost action when tailed off latest; a possible
11 (5)	La La Lucrative Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	128	h	225385	59	81	66	19d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-10; best run when 2nd at Catterick in May (6f, soft); not done as well since; fair mark
4 (3)	Showhound Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	136	p	967736	67	78	61	15d	—	—	+1	8.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fair juvenile; third at Chester in headgear two runs back but not as good last time
1 (9)	Believe You Me Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Heather Main	J:Trevor Whelan T:Heather Main	139	—	421180	69	78	62	43d	—	—	+10	15.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Two 7f wins in July; went up 10lb for 2nd success; not done as well since; first run at 6f
2 (6)	Impressor Bay J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	J:Sam James T:Phillip Makin	139	p	524229	69	78	69	16d	—	—	+7	13.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Suited by 6f on soft/heavy; below-par latest but in fair form before that; each-way chance
5 (7)	Belsito Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	134	p	321805	64	79	70	16d	—	—	+4	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Carlisle winner in June; not fared quite as well since (excuses last time); could go well
9 (12)	Willingly Chestnut J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Mark Usher	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Mark Usher	130	tv	342657	60	81	65	26d	—	—	0	5.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Exposed sprinter; dual C&D winner; soft ground suits; quite interesting in new headgear
10 (14)	Dancing Sapphire Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	129	—	453	60	75	35	22d	—	—	+3	6.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Some promise in a turf maiden and two AW novices; handicap debut; first run on soft
7 (10)	Spirit Of Breeze Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Gary & Josh Moore	132	t	421-05	62	79	61	25d	—	—	+1	3.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
C&D win on soft in July 2023; off 401 days after; below-par over 5f this term; chance
13 (2)	Bomb Squad Grey J:Jason Hart T:John Mackie	J:Jason Hart T:John Mackie	127	p	14427-	57	79	61	286d	—	—	+5	8.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Winner over 6f on soft, but last three wins on AW; off since December; may need the run
NR (11)	Idle Assembly Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Brian Meehan	J:Harry Davies T:Brian Meehan	131	—	54-0	62	68	-	111d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Some promise in novice/maiden company; below-par on soft last time; handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sounds Of Spring	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Papabella	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Shark Two One	8/1	8/1	17/2	17/2	15/2
Silent Flame	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	17/2
La La Lucrative	9/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Showhound	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Believe You Me	14/1	12/1	12/1	16/1	14/1
Impressor	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Belsito	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Willingly	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Dancing Sapphire	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Spirit Of Breeze	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Bomb Squad	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Papabella

25.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Sounds Of Spring

OR: 1.8 Form: 12 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Silent Flame

18.8

OR: 4 Form: 12.4 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Believe You Me

15.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Impressor

13.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Belsito

8.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Showhound

8.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Bomb Squad

8.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

La La Lucrative

7.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Shark Two One

6.7

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Dancing Sapphire

6.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Willingly

5.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Spirit Of Breeze

3.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Idle Assembly

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Believe You Me	69	78	62
Impressor	69	78	69
Showhound	67	78	61
Silent Flame	66	77	68
Belsito	64	79	70
Papabella	63	82	62
Spirit Of Breeze	62	79	61
Idle Assembly	62	68	—
Willingly	60	81	65
Dancing Sapphire	60	75	35
La La Lucrative	59	81	66
Sounds Of Spring	57	83	63
Bomb Squad	57	79	61
Shark Two One	54	80	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Showhound	15d ago	Fit
Impressor	16d ago	Fit
Belsito	16d ago	Fit
La La Lucrative	19d ago	Fit
Shark Two One	22d ago	Fit
Dancing Sapphire	22d ago	Fit
Silent Flame	23d ago	Fit
Spirit Of Breeze	25d ago	Fit
Willingly	26d ago	Fit
Sounds Of Spring	27d ago	Fit
Papabella	28d ago	Fit
Believe You Me	43d ago	Fit
Idle Assembly	111d ago	Long break
Bomb Squad	286d ago	Long break