Blog.Rhino.Bet For Daily Racing Insight Handicap Hurdle

Exeter

16:08

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 2m161y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Penna Rossa Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Keiran Burke	J:Tom Bellamy T:Keiran Burke	150	tp	/P-308	82	96	65	81d	—	—	-3	12.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Out of form in early part of this season but makes stable debut from a very good mark
6	Star Of Affinity Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	155	t	0F43-P	87	103	80	154d	—	—	-1	13.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Kept on for modest third here in April but absent since poor run the following month
3	Jo's Rainbow Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	160	t	07344	93	100	83	24d	—	—	+4	15.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-5 over hurdles but shaped well when fourth in her first two handicaps (2m/2m4f)
9	Stage Show Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Adam Wedge T:Alexandra Dunn	150	—	7864	83	99	90	20d	—	—	+1	11.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fair Flat racer when on song and ran well when fourth on recent handicap hurdle debut
11	Bluebella Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Tom Lacey	J:Robert Dunne T:Tom Lacey	148	t	5-P604	80	104	91	29d	—	—	+1	10	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Took good step back in right direction when fourth last month; player if ground stays good
1	Pak Army Chestnut J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	168	tp	6-3354	100	103	101	20d	—	—	+8	14.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Placed twice over hurdles since emphatic Flat win in May; holds each-way claims again
7	Mr Zee Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Michael Blake	J:Harry Cobden T:Michael Blake	151	p	06U2-4	83	102	89	—	—	—	+3	10.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
This summer's Flat form is underwhelming but Harry Cobden is booked for this hurdle return
12	Escobedo Bay J:Lily Jones(7) T:Oliver Signy	J:Lily Jones(7) T:Oliver Signy	148	p	158-94	80	102	62	18d	—	—	+3	9.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well beaten on last two outings; needs to have been perked up by latest stable switch
15	Miss Marette Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	147	—	4-P505	79	104	56	43d	—	—	+3	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
C&D winner last October but seems to have lost her way this year
14	Far Away West Brown J:Harry Reed T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Harry Reed T:Daisy Hitchins	147	t	832004	79	101	90	33d	—	—	+5	11	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ran well in selling handicap last month but this season's record is rather mixed
17	Deal Em High Chestnut J:James Best T:Debra Hamer	J:James Best T:Debra Hamer	142	tp	PP-783	74	94	75	34d	—	—	+3	7.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
66-1 third in today's headgear combination last month; now needs to build on that effort
2	Baikal Bay J:Joe Anderson(3) T:Grace Harris	J:Joe Anderson(3) T:Grace Harris	161	tp	1P-683	93	99	68	—	—	—	+8	11.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Placed off 2lb higher for Adam West in July; ground excuse on recent stable debut (Flat)
5	Kintaro Bay J:Mr Martin McIntyre(7) T:David Pipe	J:Mr Martin McIntyre(7) T:David Pipe	158	b	83295	91	100	74	29d	—	—	+11	14.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Placed in two novice hurdles in June but safely held in first two handicaps
4	African Lady Bay J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	158	b	05648P	91	101	80	24d	—	—	+8	11	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Showed promise in Irish maiden hurdles but safely held in both handicaps for new stable
16	Too Sharp Bay J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Daisy Hitchins	145	t	94/P76	77	96	33	16d	—	—	+5	7.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran better than bare form suggests on recent handicap debut but still needs to improve
13	Sindri Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	147	h	768-	80	95	70	169d	—	—	+6	7.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Makes stable/handicap hurdle debut from a lowly mark but significant improvement is needed
8	Stray Bullet Grey J:Gearoid Harney(7) T:David Pipe	J:Gearoid Harney(7) T:David Pipe	151	p	P8P-	84	-	-	—	—	—	+7	8.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Struggled in three juvenile hurdles last autumn; off since heavy Flat defeat in February
18	Boudica Warrior Bay J:David Noonan T:Joe Tickle	J:David Noonan T:Joe Tickle	142	p	P-66P7	74	97	73	20d	—	—	+5	6.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Has not shown a great deal over hurdles or on the Flat since joining current stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Penna Rossa	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Star Of Affinity	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Jo's Rainbow	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Stage Show	8/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Bluebella	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	17/2
Pak Army	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Mr Zee	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Escobedo	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Miss Marette	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Far Away West	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Deal Em High	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Baikal	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	25/1
Kintaro	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
African Lady	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Too Sharp	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Sindri	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Stray Bullet	100/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Boudica Warrior	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jo's Rainbow

15.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Kintaro

14.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1

22/1

3rd

Pak Army

14.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Star Of Affinity

13.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Penna Rossa

12.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Baikal

11.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Stage Show

11.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Far Away West

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

African Lady

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Mr Zee

10.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Bluebella

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Escobedo

9.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Miss Marette

8.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Stray Bullet

8.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Sindri

7.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Too Sharp

7.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Deal Em High

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Boudica Warrior

6.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pak Army	100	103	101
Jo's Rainbow	93	100	83
Baikal	93	99	68
Kintaro	91	100	74
African Lady	91	101	80
Star Of Affinity	87	103	80
Stray Bullet	84	—	—
Stage Show	83	99	90
Mr Zee	83	102	89
Penna Rossa	82	96	65
Bluebella	80	104	91
Escobedo	80	102	62
Sindri	80	95	70
Miss Marette	79	104	56
Far Away West	79	101	90
Too Sharp	77	96	33
Deal Em High	74	94	75
Boudica Warrior	74	97	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Too Sharp	16d ago	Fit
Escobedo	18d ago	Fit
Stage Show	20d ago	Fit
Pak Army	20d ago	Fit
Boudica Warrior	20d ago	Fit
Jo's Rainbow	24d ago	Fit
African Lady	24d ago	Fit
Bluebella	29d ago	Fit
Kintaro	29d ago	Fit
Far Away West	33d ago	Fit
Deal Em High	34d ago	Fit
Miss Marette	43d ago	Fit
Penna Rossa	81d ago	Fresh
Star Of Affinity	154d ago	Long break
Sindri	169d ago	Long break
Mr Zee	—	—
Baikal	—	—
Stray Bullet	—	—