Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:00

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 1m6f21y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (2)	Across Earth Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Marco Botti	J:Tom Marquand T:Marco Botti	130	—	203319	80	88	60	33d	—	—	+2	23.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Won over this trip on turf; in the frame in all four AW starts; chance if settling better
8 (9)	Galactic Charm Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	J:Hector Crouch T:Michael Bell	130	v	353173	80	88	50	21d	—	—	+4	21.6	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Latest Yarmouth third has been boosted; placed in all three starts on AW; should go well
2 (4)	Cool Party Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	142	p	124-14	85	89	40	19d	—	—	-4	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Made all over C&D in April; a player if again left alone in front
5 (6)	Howth Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	139	ht	140584	82	88	87	24d	—	—	+1	10.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
2lb lower than for his win over this trip at Wolverhampton in March; one for the shortlist
4 (5)	Diamond Bay Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	139	p	298038	82	88	75	19d	—	—	+3	12.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
5lb lower than when successful over this trip at Wolverhampton just over a year ago
3 (1)	Wahraan Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Jamie Osborne	J:Richard Kingscote T:Jamie Osborne	140	h	132436	83	86	75	21d	—	—	+6	15	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Slow breaks have become a habit and remains 3lb above his last winning mark
7 (8)	Knights Affair Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	136	—	221415	79	90	-	26d	—	—	+13	20.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has won two of his last four starts on turf; ran well over C&D in only previous go on AW
1 (7)	Solent Gateway Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	144	vp	208920	87	89	60	42d	—	—	+10	13.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Inconsistent and hasn't finished within 19l of the winner in last four starts on the AW
6 (3)	Lunar Power Chestnut J:Charlie Maggs(7) T:Donald McCain	J:Charlie Maggs(7) T:Donald McCain	137	b	2/8-75	80	86	65	24d	—	—	+8	10.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Not shone in nine starts under both codes for this yard; others make greater appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Across Earth	3/1	11/4	11/4	3/1	11/4
Galactic Charm	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	10/3
Cool Party	7/2	7/2	7/2	9/2	7/2
Howth	7/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	13/2
Diamond Bay	8/1	15/2	15/2	17/2	8/1
Wahraan	11/1	11/1	11/1	17/2	11/1
Knights Affair	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Solent Gateway	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
Lunar Power	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Across Earth

23.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 9.4 Odds: 6.5

3/1

2nd

Galactic Charm

21.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.9 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Knights Affair

20.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 11 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Wahraan

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.2 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Cool Party

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Solent Gateway

13.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Diamond Bay

12.8

OR: 8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Howth

10.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Lunar Power

10.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Solent Gateway	87	89	60
Cool Party	85	89	40
Wahraan	83	86	75
Howth	82	88	87
Diamond Bay	82	88	75
Across Earth	80	88	60
Galactic Charm	80	88	50
Lunar Power	80	86	65
Knights Affair	79	90	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cool Party	19d ago	Fit
Diamond Bay	19d ago	Fit
Galactic Charm	21d ago	Fit
Wahraan	21d ago	Fit
Howth	24d ago	Fit
Lunar Power	24d ago	Fit
Knights Affair	26d ago	Fit
Across Earth	33d ago	Fit
Solent Gateway	42d ago	Fit