Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Bands B, C & D) (GBB) (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

16:55

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Naturally Grey J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	128	—	7	-	76	-	133d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Met trouble when seventh on her Lingfield debut in May; worth monitoring in market
7 (5)	Velvet Whisper Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Stable has its fair share of 2yo winners first time out and well worth a market check
5 (8)	Mandana Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Hector Crouch T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	126	—	3232	73	85	66	12d	—	—	-1	23.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Placed in all four starts, including when second at Chelmsford 12 days ago; respected
9 (4)	Shining River Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	124	—	034	-	85	-	34d	—	—	-11	7.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Just behind Mandana at Haydock in August; half-sister to triple Tapeta winner; shortlisted
3 (3)	Miss Hathaway Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	128	—	232304	75	84	-	22d	—	—	+2	12.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
In the frame in seven of her eight starts on turf; player on the pick of her summer form
6 (9)	Penn Avenue Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Nice pedigree; stable had a 25-1 winning newcomer at Kempton last month
8 (1)	Hock Eye The Noo Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	124	—	35	-	79	59	13d	—	—	-1	3.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Close third on Lingfield debut, but disappointing last time; needs a resurgence
2 (6)	Bosphorus Rose Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Stable had a well-backed newcomer go in at Wolverhampton last Saturday; market revealing
NR (7)	Bear Facts Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	128	—	7	-	76	49	24d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Showed up for a long way before fading on debut; may last longer this time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Naturally	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	10/3
Velvet Whisper	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Mandana	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	10/3
Shining River	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	10/3
Miss Hathaway	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Penn Avenue	12/1	11/1	11/1	9/1	10/1
Hock Eye The Noo	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Bosphorus Rose	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mandana

23.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 7.3

4/1

2nd

Miss Hathaway

12.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.1

9/1

3rd

Shining River

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Naturally

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Velvet Whisper

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Hock Eye The Noo

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

25/1

Penn Avenue

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Bosphorus Rose

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Bear Facts

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miss Hathaway	75	84	—
Mandana	73	85	66
Naturally	—	76	—
Velvet Whisper	—	—	—
Shining River	—	85	—
Penn Avenue	—	—	—
Hock Eye The Noo	—	79	59
Bosphorus Rose	—	—	—
Bear Facts	—	76	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mandana	12d ago	Quick return
Hock Eye The Noo	13d ago	Quick return
Miss Hathaway	22d ago	Fit
Bear Facts	24d ago	Fit
Shining River	34d ago	Fit
Naturally	133d ago	Long break
Velvet Whisper	—	—
Penn Avenue	—	—
Bosphorus Rose	—	—