William Hill Top Price Guarantee Autumn Handicap

York

13:30

Date 2024-10-11

Distance 7f192y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £15,462

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
15 (10)	Thunder Roar Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:Cam Hardie T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	120	—	239824	83	110	104	7d	—	—	+4	15.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has been running well and this is his sort of race on ground he likes
3 (2)	Naxos Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Boughey	134	t	1-7763	97	108	80	16d	—	—	+10	22.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
222 days off prior to his rallying third at Goodwood; gets in here off the same mark
6 (13)	Theoryofeverything Grey J:Hollie Doyle T:David O'Meara	J:Hollie Doyle T:David O'Meara	131	t	051010	94	110	99	13d	—	—	+13	24.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won two of his last four but the Cambridgeshire proved too tough off this mark
13 (5)	Look Back Smiling Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	J:Joanna Mason T:Gemma Tutty	124	—	942047	87	110	92	13d	—	—	+2	14.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Habitual slow-starter and after another he did well to be seventh in the Cambridgeshire
4 (4)	Hafeet Alain Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	133	—	8-1944	96	108	82	16d	—	—	+4	14.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Last year's winner; returns in fair form and being back in a bigger field will help
5 (14)	Padishakh Brown J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	132	t	-60742	95	113	99	20d	—	—	+9	19.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Useful in France; improved run last time and today's softer ground should be preferable
1 (9)	Blue For You Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	v	400100	98	114	85	50d	—	—	+10	19.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Goes well here and takes a welcome drop in class after two tough assignments
11 (1)	Navagio Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	125	tp	305853	88	110	103	13d	—	—	+7	14.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Good last run and 8lb lower than when third on stable debut in the Lincoln in March
14 (12)	Zealot Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	120	v	733332	83	109	105	16d	—	—	+13	20.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
All eight wins have been on the AW and he's been coming up short in weaker handicaps
12 (15)	Empirestateofmind Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	124	b	83-080	87	108	95	13d	—	—	+6	10.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
It's been a light season and he finished in the bottom half in the Cambridgeshire
8 (11)	Rhythm Master Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Geoffrey Harker	128	p	5-0447	91	111	93	27d	—	—	+8	11.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Only 2l away at Thirsk two starts ago and races either side of that haven't gone to plan
2 (3)	La Trinidad Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	134	—	517100	97	111	98	13d	—	—	+16	19.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Better than ever this campaign but form has just dipped the last twice
7 (6)	Box To Box Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	130	—	222070	93	108	96	34d	—	—	+11	14	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Finished well down the field in his last three races and saves his best form for Chester
16 (8)	Barley Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	118	p	242728	81	109	96	22d	—	—	+11	13.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Consistent but whether he's quite up to bagging a Class 2 handicap is questionable
9 (7)	Alzahir Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jennie Candlish	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jennie Candlish	126	t	400544	89	112	93	50d	—	—	+8	10.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Dual winner for the Gosdens but went 0-8 for David O'Meara; now with another new yard
10 (16)	Catch The Paddy Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	125	—	002000	88	111	41	50d	—	—	+10	11.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Just one good run this year and soft ground looks a further blow to his chances

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Thunder Roar	6/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	6/1
Naxos	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Theoryofeverything	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Look Back Smiling	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Hafeet Alain	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Padishakh	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Blue For You	8/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Navagio	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Zealot	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Empirestateofmind	18/1	18/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Rhythm Master	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
La Trinidad	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	22/1
Box To Box	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Barley	40/1	40/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Alzahir	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	33/1
Catch The Paddy	150/1	100/1	66/1	66/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Theoryofeverything

24.3

OR: 11 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Naxos

22.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Zealot

20.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Blue For You

19.7

OR: 12 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

La Trinidad

19.6

OR: 11.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Padishakh

19.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Thunder Roar

15.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Hafeet Alain

14.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Navagio

14.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Look Back Smiling

14.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Box To Box

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Barley

13.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Catch The Paddy

11.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Rhythm Master

11.2

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Empirestateofmind

10.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Alzahir

10.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blue For You	98	114	85
Naxos	97	108	80
La Trinidad	97	111	98
Hafeet Alain	96	108	82
Padishakh	95	113	99
Theoryofeverything	94	110	99
Box To Box	93	108	96
Rhythm Master	91	111	93
Alzahir	89	112	93
Navagio	88	110	103
Catch The Paddy	88	111	41
Look Back Smiling	87	110	92
Empirestateofmind	87	108	95
Thunder Roar	83	110	104
Zealot	83	109	105
Barley	81	109	96

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thunder Roar	7d ago	Quick return
Theoryofeverything	13d ago	Quick return
Look Back Smiling	13d ago	Quick return
Navagio	13d ago	Quick return
Empirestateofmind	13d ago	Quick return
La Trinidad	13d ago	Quick return
Naxos	16d ago	Fit
Hafeet Alain	16d ago	Fit
Zealot	16d ago	Fit
Padishakh	20d ago	Fit
Barley	22d ago	Fit
Rhythm Master	27d ago	Fit
Box To Box	34d ago	Fit
Blue For You	50d ago	Fresh
Alzahir	50d ago	Fresh
Catch The Paddy	50d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Naxos	Front Runner
Padishakh	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 16 runners classified.