Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

20:30

Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Handicap

Date 2024-10-11

Distance 1m4f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	Natural Ruler Bay J:Colin Keane T:J P Murtagh	J:Colin Keane T:J P Murtagh	135	p	262413	81	80	65	14d	—	—	-4	29.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Respectable run here last month; cheekpieces on and will appreciate return to this trip
5 (3)	Miss Paloma Bay J:W J Lee T:Henry De Bromhead	J:W J Lee T:Henry De Bromhead	133	—	16-162	73	82	50	21d	—	—	-8	11.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Recent C&D second; 2lb higher but should be thereabouts with Billy Lee taking over
13 (16)	Tiding Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	125	—	739	71	88	65	20d	—	—	-2	11	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Superbly-bred colt unexposed on handicap/AW debut over what could be his optimum trip
7 (13)	Altesse Blanche Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:A Oliver	J:Ronan Whelan T:A Oliver	132	—	046	78	82	39	12d	—	—	-2	10.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Lightly raced 3yo a likely improver now upped in trip for handicap debut
2 (6)	Bright N Shine Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Terence O'Brien	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Terence O'Brien	135	t	2-0912	75	78	30	20d	—	—	+3	12.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Back to form of late; handicapper has had his say but still respected
9 (1)	Pearl Jewel Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Chris Timmons	J:Gary Carroll T:Chris Timmons	130	—	0-4542	76	81	45	21d	—	—	+2	8.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Holds Altesse Blanche on recent run here but may not prove as strong a stayer
8 (11)	Proleek Prince Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:M M Rice	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:M M Rice	132	h	-86315	72	82	-	9d	—	—	+11	15.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Best form at 1m; back up in trip here with hood tried
12 (14)	Trethorn Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	126	p	6700	72	79	-	24d	—	—	+3	6.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Poor handicap debut behind Proleek Prince at Punchestown and upped in trip for AW debut
4 (12)	Eastmore Brown J:Seamie Heffernan T:C Byrnes	J:Seamie Heffernan T:C Byrnes	134	t	332-	74	84	-	—	—	—	+12	15.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Back from hurdling relatively unexposed on the Flat entering handicaps
1 (9)	Timourid Bay J:Daniel King(3) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Daniel King(3) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	140	tp	157048	80	83	-	18d	—	—	+6	8.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Yet to convince over this far; remains opposable despite drop in grade
14 (15)	Street Mentor Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	122	t	2607	68	79	44	20d	—	—	+5	6.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Initial promise hasn't materialised; trip could be a problem on handicap debut
11 (7)	Warrior Lion Chestnut J:Gavin Ryan T:Anthony McCann	J:Gavin Ryan T:Anthony McCann	128	tp	5/7-00	68	79	-	52d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Down the field in 7f Flat handicaps at Galway and Roscommon; big step up in trip here
10 (5)	Slowdownbarney Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	130	—	5550	76	78	-	—	—	—	+6	6.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Ex Gavin Cromwell; showed some ability but opening mark appears high enough
6 (10)	Morph Speed Bay J:Patrick McGettigan(10) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Patrick McGettigan(10) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	133	tp	0-0080	73	78	-	45d	—	—	+5	5.9	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Previous C&D winner on long losing run and remains of limited appeal despite reduced mark
NR (4)	Noble Crusade Bay J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	128	—	110900	68	85	66	18d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Dual C&D winner early in year; not so good on turf but will relish return to AW; reserve
NR (2)	Explorers Way Chestnut J:TBC T:Patrick Martin	J: T:Patrick Martin	123	—	312355	63	86	54	21d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
AW winner in Britain over shorter but this trip tends to stretch him; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Natural Ruler	11/8	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8
Miss Paloma	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Tiding	5/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Altesse Blanche	15/2	13/2	7/1	15/2	8/1
Bright N Shine	11/1	17/2	9/1	10/1	10/1
Pearl Jewel	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Proleek Prince	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
Trethorn	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Eastmore	33/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Timourid	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Street Mentor	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Warrior Lion	100/1	50/1	66/1	80/1	66/1
Slowdownbarney	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	100/1
Morph Speed	150/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Natural Ruler

29.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Eastmore

15.4

OR: 6 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

3rd

Proleek Prince

15.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Bright N Shine

12.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Miss Paloma

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Tiding

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Altesse Blanche

10.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Explorers Way

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Pearl Jewel

8.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Timourid

8.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Slowdownbarney

6.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Noble Crusade

6.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Trethorn

6.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Street Mentor

6.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Morph Speed

5.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Warrior Lion

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Natural Ruler	81	80	65
Timourid	80	83	—
Altesse Blanche	78	82	39
Pearl Jewel	76	81	45
Slowdownbarney	76	78	—
Bright N Shine	75	78	30
Eastmore	74	84	—
Miss Paloma	73	82	50
Morph Speed	73	78	—
Proleek Prince	72	82	—
Trethorn	72	79	—
Tiding	71	88	65
Street Mentor	68	79	44
Warrior Lion	68	79	—
Noble Crusade	68	85	66
Explorers Way	63	86	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Proleek Prince	9d ago	Quick return
Altesse Blanche	12d ago	Quick return
Natural Ruler	14d ago	Fit
Timourid	18d ago	Fit
Noble Crusade	18d ago	Fit
Tiding	20d ago	Fit
Bright N Shine	20d ago	Fit
Street Mentor	20d ago	Fit
Miss Paloma	21d ago	Fit
Pearl Jewel	21d ago	Fit
Explorers Way	21d ago	Fit
Trethorn	24d ago	Fit
Morph Speed	45d ago	Fit
Warrior Lion	52d ago	Fresh
Eastmore	—	—
Slowdownbarney	—	—