Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:45

Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap

Date 2024-10-11

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (13)	Kitaab Bay J:Jason Watson T:Philip Kirby	J:Jason Watson T:Philip Kirby	132	—	223751	62	85	74	7d	—	—	-1	21.6	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Unpenalised for 6f win (up 6lb in future); has gone close over 7f; big player
12 (6)	Havana Touch Grey J:Rob Hornby T:John Butler	J:Rob Hornby T:John Butler	133	—	1-5242	65	79	71	21d	—	—	-2	16	1.25/1	5/1 17%
7f Polytrack winner; in good form here on his last three starts over 7f and 1m; player.
6 (2)	Midnight's Dream Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	137	—	2-638	69	76	-	25d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	-2	12.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Beaten favourite on handicap debut; early days and should not be written off.
3 (4)	Arctician Grey J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Dow	140	h	504006	70	82	68	16d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner when 4lb higher in June; below par since and no major signs of revival latest.
5 (9)	King Of Ithaca Bay J:Hayley Turner T:James Tate	J:Hayley Turner T:James Tate	138	—	796413	68	80	64	38d	—	—	+8	17.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
C&D winner; in good form at Southwell last two starts; big player back on this track
8 (8)	Jazzy Angel Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Harry Eustace	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Harry Eustace	136	—	2-1652	68	78	60	20d	—	—	+1	10.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual winner at around 1m; career-best effort (7f, Tapeta) latest; up 1lb; contender.
14 (3)	Stacey Racey Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	126	—	162651	58	77	68	25d	—	—	+9	15.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not fully exposed after narrow C&D win latest; likely to be involved off 2lb higher
7 (14)	Havanarama Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Hugo Palmer	137	t	326460	69	82	69	20d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
C&D winner; trip may have stretched him latest; handy mark if bouncing back.
4 (10)	Capote's Dream Brown J:Edward Greatrex T:Tom Ward	J:Edward Greatrex T:Tom Ward	140	tb	873294	70	81	-	16d	—	—	+6	9.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Best form this year has been on turf so he has it to prove back here on return to 7f
9 (12)	Safari Dream Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	136	—	484420	66	75	-	10d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+6	8.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-2 on AW and has to prove he acts on Polytrack and sees out this step up in trip.
10 (11)	Aljezur Bay J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Luke Dace	135	p	083670	67	75	49	9d	—	—	+4	5.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Close third over C&D when 3lb higher in August; below that level since; bit to prove.
2 (1)	Royal Parade Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	140	t	428040	70	82	72	22d	—	—	+5	6.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
0-8 on AW; inconsistent this season and has changed hands since finishing last on latest.
1 (5)	Dynamic Talent Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:Darryll Holland	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Darryll Holland	142	tb	331480	72	78	63	25d	—	—	+8	9.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
C&D winner; off the boil either side of a break and has a bit to prove from this mark.
11 (7)	Beauzon Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ian Williams	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ian Williams	133	h	577609	63	78	62	13d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+2	3.6	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Below par lately so needs a big upturn in fortunes and has plenty to prove over this trip.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kitaab	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	11/4
Havana Touch	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1
Midnight's Dream	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2
Arctician	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
King Of Ithaca	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Jazzy Angel	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	13/2
Stacey Racey	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	10/1
Havanarama	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Capote's Dream	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Safari Dream	50/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Aljezur	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Royal Parade	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	40/1
Dynamic Talent	100/1	66/1	80/1	50/1	66/1
Beauzon	125/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kitaab

21.6

OR: 3 Form: 11.9 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

King Of Ithaca

17.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Havana Touch

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Stacey Racey

15.4

OR: 2 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Midnight's Dream

12.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Jazzy Angel

10.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Dynamic Talent

9.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Capote's Dream

9.3

OR: 5 Form: 3.4 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Arctician

8.3

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Safari Dream

8.2

OR: 4 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Havanarama

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Royal Parade

6.5

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Aljezur

5.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Beauzon

3.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dynamic Talent	72	78	63
Arctician	70	82	68
Capote's Dream	70	81	—
Royal Parade	70	82	72
Midnight's Dream	69	76	—
Havanarama	69	82	69
King Of Ithaca	68	80	64
Jazzy Angel	68	78	60
Aljezur	67	75	49
Safari Dream	66	75	—
Havana Touch	65	79	71
Beauzon	63	78	62
Kitaab	62	85	74
Stacey Racey	58	77	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kitaab	7d ago	Quick return
Aljezur	9d ago	Quick return
Safari Dream	10d ago	Quick return
Beauzon	13d ago	Quick return
Arctician	16d ago	Fit
Capote's Dream	16d ago	Fit
Jazzy Angel	20d ago	Fit
Havanarama	20d ago	Fit
Havana Touch	21d ago	Fit
Royal Parade	22d ago	Fit
Midnight's Dream	25d ago	Fit
Stacey Racey	25d ago	Fit
Dynamic Talent	25d ago	Fit
King Of Ithaca	38d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.