RFL Steels Stakes (Listed Race) – Naas

Naas

15:50

RFL Steels Stakes (Listed Race)

Date 2024-10-12

Distance 5f205y

Class Class 1

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €23,600

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	My Mate Alfie Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	138	b	316311	113	115	100	13d	—	—	+16	45.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Has been in excellent form at the Curragh, faces key rematch with Big Gossey and Torivega
6 (6)	Torivega Bay J:W J Lee T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:W J Lee T:Ms Sheila Lavery	133	t	304323	103	116	93	13d	—	—	+5	28.1	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Third behind My Mate Alfie and Big Gossey 13 days ago, should be involved again
2 (2)	Big Gossey Grey J:Gary Carroll T:Charles O'Brien	J:Gary Carroll T:Charles O'Brien	133	—	614592	107	118	100	13d	—	—	+12	24.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Second to My Mate Alfie last time, 7lb turnaround in his favour, deserves a stakes win
9 (3)	Ojw Legacy Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	128	—	217346	92	106	94	6d	—	—	+6	17.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fairly consistent form in Listed races over 7f but not one of the stronger contenders
4 (9)	Tango Flare Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Patrick T Foley	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Patrick T Foley	133	tv	413003	100	109	92	27d	—	—	+13	20.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Long-priced third behind My Mate Alfie and Torivega in a handicap last time, looks held
3 (5)	Shandy Bay J:J M Sheridan T:J A Stack	J:J M Sheridan T:J A Stack	133	—	076106	99	107	85	7d	—	—	+13	18.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won Group 3 Ballyogan Stakes over C&D in August, raced too keenly at the Curragh last week
5 (4)	Thunderbear Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack W Davison	J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack W Davison	133	p	060872	98	111	104	7d	—	—	+13	18.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Appreciated the drop in class when second at the Curragh last week, more on his plate now
7 (1)	Twilight Jet Bay J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Leigh Roche T:M D O'Callaghan	133	tp	928889	99	113	91	41d	—	—	+11	14.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Second over 5f at this venue in May, well below that standard since, hard to fancy
NR (7)	Expressova Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	04-154	76	97	89	21d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Won a 7f handicap at Gowran in April, 76-rated filly is likely to be out of her depth here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
My Mate Alfie	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Torivega	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	3/1
Big Gossey	5/1	5/1	11/2	6/1	5/1
Ojw Legacy	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Tango Flare	10/1	9/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Shandy	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Thunderbear	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Twilight Jet	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Mate Alfie

45.1

OR: 15.8 Form: 20.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Torivega

28.1

OR: 13.3 Form: 8 Odds: 6.9

3/1

3rd

Big Gossey

24.9

OR: 14.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Tango Flare

20.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Shandy

18.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Thunderbear

18.6

OR: 12 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ojw Legacy

17.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Twilight Jet

14.2

OR: 12.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1

25/1

Expressova

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
My Mate Alfie	113	115	100
Big Gossey	107	118	100
Torivega	103	116	93
Tango Flare	100	109	92
Shandy	99	107	85
Twilight Jet	99	113	91
Thunderbear	98	111	104
Ojw Legacy	92	106	94
Expressova	76	97	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ojw Legacy	6d ago	Quick return
Shandy	7d ago	Quick return
Thunderbear	7d ago	Quick return
My Mate Alfie	13d ago	Quick return
Torivega	13d ago	Quick return
Big Gossey	13d ago	Quick return
Expressova	21d ago	Fit
Tango Flare	27d ago	Fit
Twilight Jet	41d ago	Fit