Betfair Plays Different Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:20

Betfair Plays Different Handicap

Date 2024-10-12

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Early Morning Dew Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Jim & Suzi Best	136	b	-85212	66	79	59	13d	—	—	+5	24.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Good record in headgear, including a C&D win, and has to go on the shortlist
7 (1)	Measured Moments Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	133	—	063625	63	76	48	32d	—	—	-2	11.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Capable at this level but is odds-on to pull hard and has had issues at the stalls of late
9 (7)	Queen's Company Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	133	—	537423	63	75	36	9d	—	—	+2	13.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Recent C&D third extended a consistent run of form; should go well again
4 (5)	Fillyfudge Bay J:George Wood T:Amy Murphy	J:George Wood T:Amy Murphy	135	v	184143	65	76	39	32d	—	—	+3	15.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
7lb higher than for her C&D win in February; needs to bounce back from a lesser effort
5 (3)	Glimmer Of Light Bay J:Callum Hutchinson T:Ed Walker	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Ed Walker	134	—	583-8	64	73	-	123d	—	—	-2	5.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
One run this year; not written off but seeing some support behind her would be preferable
10 (12)	Awtaad Prince Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	132	t	339043	62	77	58	23d	—	—	0	9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Can get warm before races and often pulls hard; needs to settle better from a wide stall
1 (4)	Hill Station Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Richard Kingscote T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	137	t	154255	67	76	67	65d	—	—	0	9.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has undergone wind surgery; question is whether an easy 1m2f will provide enough of a test
6 (6)	Mc'ted Bay J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	133	p	849411	63	77	57	23d	—	—	+14	22.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Reapplied cheekpieces have helped and he goes well here; fair chance of the hat-trick
12 (14)	Nasim Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Mark Pattinson	J:Jason Watson T:Mark Pattinson	127	—	427763	57	78	64	26d	—	—	+1	7.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Pretty consistent profile round here and will be happier back down from 1m4f; possible
3 (13)	Arenas Del Tiempo b/br J:Luke Morris T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Luke Morris T:Jim & Suzi Best	136	—	630-27	66	77	59	12d	—	—	+1	5.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Said to have stopped quickly last time and Early Morning Dew may be her yard's best chance
11 (9)	Curtiz Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	185772	58	75	53	145d	—	—	+3	8.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Not as good or consistent as he was and most wins have come after a recent outing
15 (10)	Milvus Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Denis Coakley	J:Laura Pearson T:Denis Coakley	116	—	544336	46	71	65	11d	—	—	+1	4.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Still to convince on stamina and is a longstanding, regressive maiden in any case
13 (15)	Star Of St James Bay J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	127	—	221146	57	77	48	14d	—	—	+8	11.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Front-runner; went hard enough over C&D last time but stall 15 can only be an off-putter
8 (11)	Pledge Of Honour Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Dean Ivory	J:Liam Keniry T:Dean Ivory	133	p	-54199	63	75	-	54d	—	—	+7	8.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Popped up at Windsor in July but has struggled since and others make greater appeal
NR (2)	Sunset In Paris Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:J R Jenkins	J:Paddy Bradley T:J R Jenkins	123	—	444151	53	74	52	44d	—	—	—	15.8	—	—
Will find this tougher, having been forced out of 0-50 company, but needs considering

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Early Morning Dew	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Measured Moments	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Queen's Company	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Fillyfudge	17/2	8/1	9/1	15/2	9/1
Glimmer Of Light	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Awtaad Prince	12/1	10/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Hill Station	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Mc'ted	8/1	17/2	8/1	10/1	17/2
Nasim	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Arenas Del Tiempo	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Curtiz	18/1	16/1	18/1	20/1	12/1
Milvus	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Star Of St James	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Pledge Of Honour	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Early Morning Dew

24.2

OR: 4 Form: 14.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Mc'ted

22.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 17 Odds: 2.5

10/1

3rd

Sunset In Paris

15.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 15 Odds: 0

—

Fillyfudge

15.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 8 Odds: 3.3

9/1

Queen's Company

13.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Measured Moments

11.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 4

5/1

Star Of St James

11.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 9 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Hill Station

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Awtaad Prince

OR: 3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Pledge Of Honour

8.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Curtiz

8.6

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Nasim

7.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 4 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Glimmer Of Light

5.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Arenas Del Tiempo

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Milvus

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hill Station	67	76	67
Early Morning Dew	66	79	59
Arenas Del Tiempo	66	77	59
Fillyfudge	65	76	39
Glimmer Of Light	64	73	—
Measured Moments	63	76	48
Queen's Company	63	75	36
Mc'ted	63	77	57
Pledge Of Honour	63	75	—
Awtaad Prince	62	77	58
Curtiz	58	75	53
Nasim	57	78	64
Star Of St James	57	77	48
Sunset In Paris	53	74	52
Milvus	46	71	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Queen's Company	9d ago	Quick return
Milvus	11d ago	Quick return
Arenas Del Tiempo	12d ago	Quick return
Early Morning Dew	13d ago	Quick return
Star Of St James	14d ago	Fit
Awtaad Prince	23d ago	Fit
Mc'ted	23d ago	Fit
Nasim	26d ago	Fit
Measured Moments	32d ago	Fit
Fillyfudge	32d ago	Fit
Sunset In Paris	44d ago	Fit
Pledge Of Honour	54d ago	Fresh
Hill Station	65d ago	Fresh
Glimmer Of Light	123d ago	Long break
Curtiz	145d ago	Long break