Follow Us On Social Media Handicap Chase – Cork

Cork

4:55

Date 2024-10-13

Distance 3m

Class

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €8,555

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5	Noble Birth b J:Daniel King T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Daniel King T:Gavin Cromwell	165	—	910-27	120	126	80	34d	—	—	+3	23.7	7/2 22%
Second in one of his chases and could be a lively one on debut for Gavin Cromwell
12	Hand Over Fist b J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	152	p	P-781F	107	122	80	23d	—	—	+2	19.5	4/1 20%
Kilbeggan winner; chance off this 8lb higher mark when capsizing late on at Downpatrick
6	Bella Bliss b J:Alex Harvey(5) T:John C McConnell	J:Alex Harvey(5) T:John C McConnell	164	tp	224522	119	129	117	13d	—	—	+15	31.8	4/1 20%
Only 1lb higher than for latest gallant second in a 2m5f handicap chase at Roscommon
10	Toofareastiswest ch J:Phillip Enright T:A M O'Grady	J:Phillip Enright T:A M O'Grady	160	t	5218-3	115	124	118	34d	—	—	+12	22.1	11/1 8%
Third on his return from a break at Galway when outpaced over that sharp 2m6f
13	Just Three b J:Danny Gilligan T:Paul John Gilligan	J:Danny Gilligan T:Paul John Gilligan	147	tp	5U34P9	102	128	115	16d	—	—	+5	16.1	7/1 13%
Tack issues when backed at Galway and testing ground found him out the last time
3	Paidi's Passion b J:Kevin Sexton T:Paul W Flynn	J:Kevin Sexton T:Paul W Flynn	166	p	-156P4	121	127	103	13d	—	—	+13	20.9	11/1 8%
Not impossibly treated by any means if rediscovering some spark in the new cheekpieces
1	Hascoeur Clermont gr J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	168	—	P-520P	123	126	65	51d	—	—	+14	20	16/1 6%
Has to rebound from two below-par runs but that's feasible; still only a 7yo
11	Avec Espoir ch J:G B Noonan(5) T:V T O'Brien	J:G B Noonan(5) T:V T O'Brien	154	—	-71B14	109	125	44	15d	—	—	+19	26.9	16/1 6%
Testing ground an excuse last time but his current mark is a cause for concern
2	I A Connect b J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	166	p	15-356	121	126	78	21d	—	—	+14	19.4	20/1 5%
Not in the best of form and he's unraced beyond 2m4f, so there are stamina issues
8	King Ferdinand b J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	163	t	-0619U	118	121	44	15d	—	—	+17	21.9	25/1 4%
Ran poorly after his Killarney win (9lb lower) and then departed early at Listowel
7	History Of Fashion b J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:P A Fahy	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:P A Fahy	163	p	2P85P-	118	129	99	162d	—	—	+15	17.8	33/1 3%
Poor strike-rate but has been contesting stronger races this year
4	Clonmeen ch J:Simon Torrens T:William P Murphy	J:Simon Torrens T:William P Murphy	165	t	1139P-	120	126	90	162d	—	—	+21	23.1	50/1 2%
Dual winner on slow ground late last year but has rather lost his way
NR	Potters Party b J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	163	tp	F417-8	118	126	54	154d	—	—	—	17	—
Beginners' winner but needs to step up on what he's shown in two handicaps

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Noble Birth	7/2	7/2	10/3	3/1	7/2
Hand Over Fist	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Bella Bliss	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Toofareastiswest	17/2	17/2	8/1	10/1	11/1
Just Three	13/2	7/1	7/1	6/1	13/2
Paidi's Passion	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Hascoeur Clermont	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Avec Espoir	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
I A Connect	16/1	20/1	18/1	14/1	12/1
King Ferdinand	22/1	25/1	22/1	18/1	14/1
History Of Fashion	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	25/1
Clonmeen	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bella Bliss

31.8

OR: 17.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Avec Espoir

26.9

OR: 14.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

16/1

3rd

Noble Birth

23.7

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Clonmeen

23.1

OR: 17.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Toofareastiswest

22.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

11/1

King Ferdinand

21.9

OR: 17 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Paidi's Passion

20.9

OR: 17.8 Form: 1 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Hascoeur Clermont

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Hand Over Fist

19.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

I A Connect

19.4

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

History Of Fashion

17.8

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Potters Party

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Just Three

16.1

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hascoeur Clermont Top Rated	123	126	65
Paidi's Passion	121	127	103
I A Connect	121	126	78
Noble Birth	120	126	80
Clonmeen	120	126	90
Bella Bliss	119	129	117
King Ferdinand	118	121	44
History Of Fashion	118	129	99
Potters Party	118	126	54
Toofareastiswest	115	124	118
Avec Espoir	109	125	44
Hand Over Fist	107	122	80
Just Three	102	128	115

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bella Bliss	13d ago	Quick return
Paidi's Passion	13d ago	Quick return
Avec Espoir	15d ago	Fit
King Ferdinand	15d ago	Fit
Just Three	16d ago	Fit
I A Connect	21d ago	Fit
Hand Over Fist	23d ago	Fit
Noble Birth	34d ago	Fit
Toofareastiswest	34d ago	Fit
Hascoeur Clermont	51d ago	Fresh
Potters Party	154d ago	Long break
History Of Fashion	162d ago	Long break
Clonmeen	162d ago	Long break