Kestrel Valley Novices' Handicap Chase – Hereford

Hereford

15:30

Kestrel Valley Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2024-10-14

Distance 3m1f44y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,285

Winning Time 6m 26.60s (slow by 13.60s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mistymal (IRE) Alan Johns · Tim Vaughan	15/8F	Won
2nd	Selectivelistening (IRE) Jack Andrews · T Ellis	9/2	3.25
3rd	Radharc Na Slaine (IRE) Conor Ring · David Rees	14/1	1.25
4th	No Promises (IRE) Ben Poste · Steph Cameron	9/1	16

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Annie Wicks (GB) Adam Wedge · Evan Williams	14/1
P.U.	Fox Wallace (IRE) James Best · Ella Pickard	40/1
P.U.	If I Say (IRE) Lilly Pinchin · Charlie Longsdon	15/2
P.U.	Invictus Allen (FR) Nick Scholfield · Christian Williams	100/30

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Mistymal Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	158	—	60254-	81	-	-	205d	—	—	-9	18.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Placed on only one of six hurdling starts but may fare better now chasing
2	Invictus Allen Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	165	tp	47-613	88	98	87	36d	—	—	-4	15.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Battled well for Uttoxeter win in July and last month's third was perfectly respectable
3	Selectivelistening Bay J:Mr Jack Andrews(3) T:T Ellis	J:Mr Jack Andrews(3) T:T Ellis	162	t	75542P	85	-	-	20d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-6 over hurdles but ran well two starts ago; could have a say if he takes to fences
7	If I Say Bay J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	148	b	P-7645	71	98	-	36d	—	—	-4	8.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ren well to a point over hurdles last month but it's over two year since her only win
5	No Promises Bay J:Ben Poste T:Steph Cameron	J:Ben Poste T:Steph Cameron	150	tp	/P6034	73	96	32	10d	—	—	+1	10.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Belied 50-1 odds when placed at Stratford in August and enters calculations here
1	Annie Wicks Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	168	—	731-2P	91	92	70	125d	—	—	+5	12.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Absent since pulled up in June but a leading contender if judged on two runs prior to that
6	Radharc Na Slaine Bay J:Conor Ring T:David Rees	J:Conor Ring T:David Rees	148	t	-U42FP	71	95	71	20d	—	—	+1	7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Posted some good efforts at Newton Abbot this summer but was pulled up on latest outing
8	Fox Wallace Bay J:James Best T:Ella Pickard	J:James Best T:Ella Pickard	142	h	8009-P	65	-	-	85d	—	—	+1	4.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Pulled up when 33-1 for handicap hurdle debut in July; now makes her chasing debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mistymal	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	11/4
Invictus Allen	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2
Selectivelistening	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1	7/1
If I Say	11/2	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
No Promises	10/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	7/1
Annie Wicks	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	9/1
Radharc Na Slaine	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Fox Wallace	20/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mistymal

18.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 8.4

11/4

2nd

Invictus Allen

15.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Selectivelistening

14.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 2 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Annie Wicks

12.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

No Promises

10.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.8 Odds: 2.7

10/1

If I Say

8.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Radharc Na Slaine

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Fox Wallace

4.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Annie Wicks	91	92	70
Invictus Allen	88	98	87
Selectivelistening	85	—	—
Mistymal	81	—	—
No Promises	73	96	32
If I Say	71	98	—
Radharc Na Slaine	71	95	71
Fox Wallace	65	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
No Promises	10d ago	Quick return
Selectivelistening	20d ago	Fit
Radharc Na Slaine	20d ago	Fit
Invictus Allen	36d ago	Fit
If I Say	36d ago	Fit
Fox Wallace	85d ago	Fresh
Annie Wicks	125d ago	Long break
Mistymal	205d ago	Long break