attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

15:15

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap

Date 2024-10-17

Distance 7f216y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,606

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (11)	Marsh Benham Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:George Baker	J:Jason Watson T:George Baker	136	p	333916	68	80	63	2d	—	—	-1	18.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Easy win over C&D last week but well held under penalty at Leicester on Tuesday
1 (12)	Ardbraccan Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	140	tp	257224	72	78	72	8d	—	—	0	16.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Generally consistent since her soft-ground win in May; not ruled out dropped back in grade
4 (6)	Escape Act Bay J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	136	—	876144	71	79	51	18d	—	—	-2	15.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Still unexposed in handicaps and has possibilities on this drop back in grade
11 (5)	On Song Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	131	p	361725	66	77	70	28d	—	—	+3	13.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
His two best runs have come at this track including on soft; dangerous back up in trip
3 (2)	Optiva Star Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	137	h	303066	69	83	61	35d	—	—	0	8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Triple course winner who is a dangerous mark but he needs to raise his game
10 (8)	Darvel Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Patrick Chamings	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Patrick Chamings	134	b	9-1374	66	81	66	37d	—	—	-2	6.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won this on soft in 2022; on workable mark and he could be a big factor back at this track
2 (9)	Beau Gars Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	137	—	338710	69	76	44	32d	—	—	+7	14.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won back from a break at Ffos Las in August but he flopped over C&D last month
9 (4)	The Smiling Wolf Chestnut J:Edward Greatrex T:John Butler	J:Edward Greatrex T:John Butler	134	p	2-4907	69	74	43	64d	—	—	+6	9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Out of sorts this season and has plenty to prove for new yard; first-time cheekpieces
5 (1)	Miggy Magic Grey J:Hayley Turner T:Gay Kelleway	J:Hayley Turner T:Gay Kelleway	136	—	725-60	71	72	26	6d	—	—	+3	6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Still lightly raced but he struggled on soft at York last week and is untried at this trip
8 (10)	Sixfiveseven Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	J:Josephine Gordon T:Keiran Burke	135	tb	32/50	67	68	57	15d	—	—	+2	5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Placed twice in France but has struggled in four runs in Britain; plenty to prove
12 (3)	Ocean Odyssey Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary & Josh Moore	124	—	0-7809	59	73	-	15d	—	—	+1	2.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Regressive maiden who has struggled in his three handicaps; lots to prove
NR (7)	Profit And Loss Bay J:TBC T:George Baker	J: T:George Baker	135	t	212143	67	73	-	39d	—	—	—	15.8	—	—
In good form in Jersey since June but he's untried at this trip and others are preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Marsh Benham	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Ardbraccan	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Escape Act	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
On Song	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Optiva Star	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Darvel	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Beau Gars	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
The Smiling Wolf	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Miggy Magic	40/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Sixfiveseven	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Ocean Odyssey	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marsh Benham

18.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Ardbraccan

16.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 6 Odds: 4.7

4/1

3rd

Profit And Loss

15.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Escape Act

15.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Beau Gars

14.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.9

11/1

On Song

13.4

OR: 4 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.9

7/1

The Smiling Wolf

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Optiva Star

OR: 4.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Darvel

6.5

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Miggy Magic

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Sixfiveseven

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ocean Odyssey

2.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ardbraccan	72	78	72
Escape Act	71	79	51
Miggy Magic	71	72	26
Optiva Star	69	83	61
Beau Gars	69	76	44
The Smiling Wolf	69	74	43
Marsh Benham	68	80	63
Sixfiveseven	67	68	57
Profit And Loss	67	73	—
On Song	66	77	70
Darvel	66	81	66
Ocean Odyssey	59	73	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marsh Benham	2d ago	Quick return
Miggy Magic	6d ago	Quick return
Ardbraccan	8d ago	Quick return
Sixfiveseven	15d ago	Fit
Ocean Odyssey	15d ago	Fit
Escape Act	18d ago	Fit
On Song	28d ago	Fit
Beau Gars	32d ago	Fit
Optiva Star	35d ago	Fit
Darvel	37d ago	Fit
Profit And Loss	39d ago	Fit
The Smiling Wolf	64d ago	Fresh