Bet At Your Best With Betfair Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:15

Bet At Your Best With Betfair Handicap

Date 2024-10-17

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:John O'Shea	J:Rossa Ryan T:John O'Shea	136	p	502436	56	69	59	10d	—	—	-9	10.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Generally consistent on AW; unlucky second under Rossa Ryan on sole C&D attempt; solid
1 (8)	Yoshimi Grey J:David Probert T:Michael Herrington	J:David Probert T:Michael Herrington	137	—	664095	57	70	-	67d	—	—	-11	7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not solid on 2024 form but is attractively treated back on AW; won over C&D two years ago
7 (9)	Profitman Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:B F Brookhouse	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:B F Brookhouse	133	t	304742	55	71	59	19d	—	—	-8	12	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two attempts over C&D have resulted in a win in April and neck second on latest outing
8 (7)	Wrath Of Hector Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	130	—	685183	50	67	62	19d	—	—	-1	11.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Recent 6f form is respectable; shapes as if this return to 7f will suit; likely player
4 (2)	Mount Mogan Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Laura Mongan	J:Robert Havlin T:Laura Mongan	135	p	683574	55	66	55	43d	—	—	-6	5.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Campaigned mostly at Lingfield in last two years; on last winning mark
10 (5)	Zachary Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Johnston	J:Marco Ghiani T:Charlie Johnston	125	—	744590	47	66	47	15d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two sprint wins here last autumn; regressive results since upped to 7f
5 (3)	Bear To Dream Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	134	—	341497	54	63	52	10d	—	—	0	5.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Below par returned to 7f last time; still has a better strike-rate over 6f
9 (4)	Sea The Buckthorn Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard T:Mark Usher	127	h	448000	47	69	57	10d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has lost his form since July and needs to rebound
6 (1)	This Time Maybe Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	133	h	7-9850	55	66	43	15d	—	—	0	1.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
3yo maiden who has weak claims on 2024 form for new yard; hood added
11 (11)	Zelma Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	124	tb	475046	46	66	41	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Modest 3yo maiden but last two efforts suggest this return to 7f may help
3 (10)	El Montejean Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Ben Lund	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Ben Lund	135	h	586509	55	67	45	17d	—	—	+1	1.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Poor form for current stable, latterly back on AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Stella Hogan	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Yoshimi	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Profitman	10/3	7/2	10/3	3/1	3/1
Wrath Of Hector	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Mount Mogan	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2	15/2
Zachary	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Bear To Dream	20/1	16/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Sea The Buckthorn	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
This Time Maybe	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Zelma	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1
El Montejean	150/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Profitman

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Wrath Of Hector

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Stella Hogan

10.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Yoshimi

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Bear To Dream

5.6

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Mount Mogan

5.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Zachary

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

This Time Maybe

1.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

El Montejean

1.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Sea The Buckthorn

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Zelma

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Yoshimi	57	70	—
Stella Hogan	56	69	59
Profitman	55	71	59
Mount Mogan	55	66	55
This Time Maybe	55	66	43
El Montejean	55	67	45
Bear To Dream	54	63	52
Wrath Of Hector	50	67	62
Zachary	47	66	47
Sea The Buckthorn	47	69	57
Zelma	46	66	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stella Hogan	10d ago	Quick return
Bear To Dream	10d ago	Quick return
Sea The Buckthorn	10d ago	Quick return
Zachary	15d ago	Fit
This Time Maybe	15d ago	Fit
El Montejean	17d ago	Fit
Profitman	19d ago	Fit
Wrath Of Hector	19d ago	Fit
Zelma	28d ago	Fit
Mount Mogan	43d ago	Fit
Yoshimi	67d ago	Fresh