Golf And Gallop Package Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-10-17

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Chiringita Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	128	—	43	-	90	77	22d	—	—	-33	22.4	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Promising third at Kempton (6f) latest; the obvious danger to Shamrock Breeze
1 (1)	Shamrock Breeze Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Stephen Thorne	J:Tom Marquand T:Stephen Thorne	135	—	133255	-	98	72	27d	—	—	-12	10.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Useful 5f form, including placing at Listed level; tough to beat if seeing out 6f
5 (6)	Fluorescence Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Makes some paper appeal but it's likely a useful effort will be needed on this debut
11 (11)	Thecoffeepoddotco Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	128	p	443555	66	81	-	36d	—	0W/1P 1 run	0	6.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Fair form at start of career but recent efforts disappointing, including in cheekpieces
10 (4)	Mseka Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
130,000euros yearling in good hands but has a high standard to aim at; wears a hood
4 (7)	Flashy Dark Angel Grey J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	559	69	77	-	29d	—	—	+3	5.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Showed ability on second of three turf starts but others preferred now switching to AW
8 (5)	Lady Diesel Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Tom Ward	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tom Ward	128	—	86	-	59	18	27d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has hinted at ability but likely more one for handicaps after this
9 (8)	Marvelously Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Amy Murphy	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Amy Murphy	128	—	65	-	70	58	22d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Modest form both runs, finishing over 6l behind reopposing Chiringita at Kempton latterly
6 (10)	Hot Breath Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Half-sister to a Group 2 winner; betting should guide for in-form stable
2 (2)	Baby Rover Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Katie Scott	J:Oisin Orr T:Katie Scott	128	—	99	-	46	-	36d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Big prices and down the field in two outings on turf; outsider again
NR (9)	Justcallmetreva Bay J:TBC T:James Evans	J: T:James Evans	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Likely outsider on debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Chiringita	4/7	4/7	4/7
Shamrock Breeze	3/1	11/4	11/4
Fluorescence	7/1	7/1	7/1
Thecoffeepoddotco	14/1	11/1	12/1
Mseka	33/1	33/1	33/1
Flashy Dark Angel	50/1	40/1	40/1
Lady Diesel	66/1	50/1	50/1
Marvelously	66/1	66/1	66/1
Hot Breath	66/1	66/1	66/1
Baby Rover	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chiringita

22.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 19.4

4/7

2nd

Shamrock Breeze

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Thecoffeepoddotco

6.6

OR: 4 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Flashy Dark Angel

5.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Fluorescence

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Mseka

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Lady Diesel

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Marvelously

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Hot Breath

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Baby Rover

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Justcallmetreva

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flashy Dark Angel	69	77	—
Thecoffeepoddotco	66	81	—
Chiringita	—	90	77
Shamrock Breeze	—	98	72
Fluorescence	—	—	—
Mseka	—	—	—
Lady Diesel	—	59	18
Marvelously	—	70	58
Hot Breath	—	—	—
Baby Rover	—	46	—
Justcallmetreva	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chiringita	22d ago	Fit
Marvelously	22d ago	Fit
Shamrock Breeze	27d ago	Fit
Lady Diesel	27d ago	Fit
Flashy Dark Angel	29d ago	Fit
Thecoffeepoddotco	36d ago	Fit
Baby Rover	36d ago	Fit
Fluorescence	—	—
Mseka	—	—
Hot Breath	—	—
Justcallmetreva	—	—