Fitzdares Telephone Betting Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Wincanton

4:03

Date 2024-10-17

Distance 2m5f82y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Hillsin b J:James Turner(7) T:Alan Jones	J:James Turner(7) T:Alan Jones	164	—	1-1122	106	111	101	50d	—	—	+9	26	4/1 20%
Ran as well as ever when second at Worcester latest (2m7.5f, good); solid case once more.
5	Diplomatie ch J:Miss Victoria Malzard(5) T:Harry Derham	J:Miss Victoria Malzard(5) T:Harry Derham	164	—	211133	106	114	91	14d	—	—	+15	34.8	10/3 23%
Fast-finishing third on stable debut after running wide; player if seeing out new trip.
3	Thirtyfour Thirty b J:Tom Cannon T:Anthony Charlton	J:Tom Cannon T:Anthony Charlton	165	p	66-225	107	111	80	127d	—	—	+4	18.3	9/2 18%
Did the basics better again since headgear added; this is easier than April's C&D Class 3.
9	Danzini br J:Adam Wedge T:Keiran Burke	J:Adam Wedge T:Keiran Burke	143	t	36-193	85	109	68	23d	—	—	0	12.4	11/2 15%
Better than bare form latest; still on career-high mark; shortest trip since spring 2022.
2	Mistral Milly ch J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	167	—	4432-P	109	109	95	161d	—	—	+7	17.6	17/2 11%
Fine with this trip at Hereford in April; yet to convince half as much on good ground.
1	Thank You Ma'am ch J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	169	—	2220P-	111	107	87	180d	—	—	+14	20.7	12/1 8%
Likely to prove effective at this sort of trip, if perhaps eased another pound or two.
7	No Way Pedro b J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	158	—	139501	100	111	94	23d	—	—	+18	25	12/1 8%
Worcester (3m) and Fontwell (3m2f) scorer already this season; back on a career-high mark.
8	Emanate b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	147	p	7-4327	89	109	101	—	—	—	+6	11.4	16/1 6%
Closely matched with Hillsin on June's clash at Worcester, but less compelling elsewhere.
6	Climate Precedent ch J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	159	—	35-130	103	110	88	61d	—	—	+10	14.6	25/1 4%
Cashed in on a career-low mark in June (2m, good); more needed to defy current mark.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Hillsin	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Diplomatie	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Thirtyfour Thirty	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Danzini	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mistral Milly	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	13/2
Thank You Ma'am	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
No Way Pedro	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	10/1
Emanate	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Climate Precedent	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Diplomatie

34.8

OR: 14 Form: 15.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Hillsin

OR: 14 Form: 7 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

No Way Pedro

OR: 12.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Thank You Ma'am

20.7

OR: 15.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Thirtyfour Thirty

18.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Mistral Milly

17.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Climate Precedent

14.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Danzini

12.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Emanate

11.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thank You Ma'am Top Rated	111	107	87
Mistral Milly	109	109	95
Thirtyfour Thirty	107	111	80
Hillsin	106	111	101
Diplomatie	106	114	91
Climate Precedent	103	110	88
No Way Pedro	100	111	94
Emanate	89	109	101
Danzini	85	109	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Diplomatie	14d ago	Fit
Danzini	23d ago	Fit
No Way Pedro	23d ago	Fit
Hillsin	50d ago	Fresh
Climate Precedent	61d ago	Fresh
Thirtyfour Thirty	127d ago	Long break
Mistral Milly	161d ago	Long break
Thank You Ma'am	180d ago	Long break
Emanate	—	—