William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap (Div II) – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

19:15

William Hill Top Price Guarantee Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-10-18

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (13)	Mags Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Ronan Whelan T:Kieran P Cotter	140	—	565622	65	75	55	14d	—	—	-8	21.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Entitled to go well but 4lb higher than last handicap start and wide draw to overcome
8 (15)	Jalo Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:T G McCourt	J:James Ryan(3) T:T G McCourt	125	tp	979685	48	74	58	45d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Won a 6f maiden claimer here last year; creeping down the weights but wide draw a concern
9 (14)	Adam's Boy Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Michael J Browne	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Michael J Browne	124	b	708053	47	70	36	21d	—	—	-7	7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
3rd here over 6f in race where conditions didn't suit; good chance back up in trip
6 (7)	Rumbled Again Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	133	—	745350	56	66	41	13d	—	—	-5	6.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Didn't stay 1m at the Curragh latest so the drop back in trip will be a help at least
5 (6)	Feature This Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	133	tp	005753	56	72	62	16d	—	—	-1	6.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Now 5lb below last winning AW mark but she might find this too sharp
7 (17)	Aisling Oscar Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:Craig O'Neill	J:Danny Sheehy T:Craig O'Neill	129	p	905087	54	68	49	21d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	3.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Short of room when seventh here over 1m last month; wide draw makes life very tough
3 (1)	Mary Bagot Bay J:W J Lee T:M Halford & T Collins	J:W J Lee T:M Halford & T Collins	136	—	221750	61	74	55	21d	—	—	+3	8.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Only 2lb higher than when winning here over 1m in March; good draw and Billy Lee booked
11 (2)	Jackie Brown Bay J:Ben Coen T:Mrs C O'Leary	J:Ben Coen T:Mrs C O'Leary	124	t	095052	47	55	43	9d	—	—	0	6.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Good 2nd latest; fairly treated back on the AW but this trip could stretch her stamina
10 (9)	Clarinbridge Bay J:Shane Foley T:Leanne Breen	J:Shane Foley T:Leanne Breen	124	p	390683	47	71	-	15d	—	—	-1	4.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Best form at this trip but 0-18 on the AW; difficult to fancy for win purposes
1 (5)	Dabana Grey J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	140	t	002990	63	71	-	9d	—	—	+2	6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Sole victory here last year in 1m maiden; return to AW needs to spark a revival
13 (3)	Saoirses Lulaby Bay J:Chris Hayes T:P J F Murphy	J:Chris Hayes T:P J F Murphy	124	t	303-00	47	69	-	210d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Failed to beat a runner home in two outings in March; can only be watched after an absence
4 (12)	What A Squeeze Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Gearoid O'Loughlin	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Gearoid O'Loughlin	134	ht	0-9090	59	72	-	24d	—	—	+1	2.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Threatened for Jessica Harrington but hasn't had a sniff in four outings for current yard
14 (4)	Pass The Sugar Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:J F O'Shea	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:J F O'Shea	122	b	000000	47	68	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Beaten out of sight in all six career starts to date, including a pair of turf handicaps
NR (16)	Pulse Of Shanghai Bay J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:G A Kingston	J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:G A Kingston	124	tb	80-700	47	70	-	16d	—	—	—	0	—	—
C&D winner but last victory was here in 2021; well treated but couldn't be confident
R15 (8)	Task Ahead Chestnut J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	137	—	976	62	66	-	57d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Ran well last time at Leopardstown; monitor the market on AW and handicap debut; reserve
NR (10)	Marble Angel Bay J:TBC T:A Oliver	J: T:A Oliver	140	—	000110	63	66	54	21d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Turned over at short odds in 1m hat-trick bid last month but met some trouble; reserve
NR (11)	Altimara Bay J:TBC T:Ross O'Sullivan	J: T:Ross O'Sullivan	140	—	40-094	65	67	49	14d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Ran on well late when fourth in C&D maiden (Mags second) a fortnight ago; player; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mags	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Jalo	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2
Adam's Boy	7/1	15/2	7/1	13/2	15/2
Rumbled Again	10/1	10/1	9/1	8/1	9/1
Feature This	9/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	10/1
Aisling Oscar	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Mary Bagot	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Jackie Brown	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Clarinbridge	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Dabana	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Saoirses Lulaby	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
What A Squeeze	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Pass The Sugar	150/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mags

21.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Marble Angel

15.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 12 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Mary Bagot

8.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 4 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Adam's Boy

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

15/2

Jackie Brown

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Feature This

6.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Rumbled Again

6.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Dabana

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Jalo

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Clarinbridge

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Altimara

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Aisling Oscar

3.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Task Ahead

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

What A Squeeze

2.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Saoirses Lulaby

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Pass The Sugar

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Pulse Of Shanghai

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mags	65	75	55
Altimara	65	67	49
Dabana	63	71	—
Marble Angel	63	66	54
Task Ahead	62	66	—
Mary Bagot	61	74	55
What A Squeeze	59	72	—
Rumbled Again	56	66	41
Feature This	56	72	62
Aisling Oscar	54	68	49
Jalo	48	74	58
Adam's Boy	47	70	36
Jackie Brown	47	55	43
Clarinbridge	47	71	—
Saoirses Lulaby	47	69	—
Pass The Sugar	47	68	—
Pulse Of Shanghai	47	70	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jackie Brown	9d ago	Quick return
Dabana	9d ago	Quick return
Rumbled Again	13d ago	Quick return
Mags	14d ago	Fit
Altimara	14d ago	Fit
Clarinbridge	15d ago	Fit
Feature This	16d ago	Fit
Pulse Of Shanghai	16d ago	Fit
Adam's Boy	21d ago	Fit
Aisling Oscar	21d ago	Fit
Mary Bagot	21d ago	Fit
Marble Angel	21d ago	Fit
What A Squeeze	24d ago	Fit
Pass The Sugar	25d ago	Fit
Jalo	45d ago	Fit
Task Ahead	57d ago	Fresh
Saoirses Lulaby	210d ago	Long break