Northumbria Leisure For Juke Boxes Apprentice Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Northumbria Leisure For Juke Boxes Apprentice Handicap

Date 2024-10-18

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (4)	Barleybrown Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Ruth Carr	J:Aidan Keeley T:Ruth Carr	137	—	014491	60	69	56	24d	—	—	+2	19.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Three C&D wins for Ruth Carr this year; well on top latest and a 5lb rise is fair enough
10 (9)	Triple Force Bay J:Oisin McSweeney T:Craig Lidster	J:Oisin McSweeney T:Craig Lidster	133	—	653523	59	70	61	15d	—	—	-3	14.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-10 but placed in three of his last four starts; can get it wrong at the start; claims
2 (2)	Arantes Nascimento Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	141	h	1-8478	67	70	40	19d	—	—	+3	14.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
7f win here as a 2yo; only run to form once this year; drops in class this evening
4 (6)	Mr Jetman Bay J:Sam Feilden(5) T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam Feilden(5) T:Grant Tuer	138	—	-32344	61	71	-	8d	—	—	-1	9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Infrequent winner but he's yet to run a poor race this year; should be involved again
9 (10)	Love Warrior Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	134	v	644255	60	71	53	15d	—	—	-2	7.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ran well when 2nd on his stable debut last month; not quite so good since; new headgear
3 (7)	Crown's Lady Grey J:Matthew Lloyd Slater(7) T:Craig Lidster	J:Matthew Lloyd Slater(7) T:Craig Lidster	139	—	149140	65	72	64	33d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Two wins this summer and she may have found the ground too slow the last twice; considered
6 (1)	Edvard Grieg Bay J:Fred Daly(7) T:Dylan Cunha	J:Fred Daly(7) T:Dylan Cunha	138	—	-47520	64	70	-	24d	—	—	+2	8.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Promising stable debut in August but took a backward step at Beverley latest; AW debut
11 (11)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	123	—	507455	46	76	53	3d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Five-time C&D winner; only midfield in a weaker race here on Tuesday but can't discount
5 (5)	Redondo Bay J:Aiden Brookes T:Daragh Bourke	J:Aiden Brookes T:Daragh Bourke	138	—	128314	64	68	35	137d	—	—	+9	14.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two wins for new yard this year, including C&D; can go well fresh; betting should guide
1 (8)	Pallas Lord Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Donald Whillans	J:Jonny Peate T:Donald Whillans	143	—	142129	66	70	55	14d	—	—	+10	15.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
5 course wins early in the year; sharper for recent return but others look better treated
8 (3)	Habitual Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	135	—	040	61	63	27	82d	—	—	0	3.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Needs to step up on this summer's three qualifying runs but that's not out of the question

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Barleybrown	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Triple Force	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Arantes Nascimento	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mr Jetman	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Love Warrior	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Crown's Lady	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Edvard Grieg	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Pop Favorite	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Redondo	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Pallas Lord	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Habitual	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Barleybrown

19.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 12 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Pallas Lord

15.6

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

20/1

3rd

Triple Force

14.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 7.4 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Arantes Nascimento

14.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Redondo

14.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Crown's Lady

11.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Mr Jetman

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Edvard Grieg

8.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Love Warrior

7.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Habitual

3.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Pop Favorite

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Arantes Nascimento	67	70	40
Pallas Lord	66	70	55
Crown's Lady	65	72	64
Edvard Grieg	64	70	—
Redondo	64	68	35
Mr Jetman	61	71	—
Habitual	61	63	27
Barleybrown	60	69	56
Love Warrior	60	71	53
Triple Force	59	70	61
Pop Favorite	46	76	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pop Favorite	3d ago	Quick return
Mr Jetman	8d ago	Quick return
Pallas Lord	14d ago	Fit
Triple Force	15d ago	Fit
Love Warrior	15d ago	Fit
Arantes Nascimento	19d ago	Fit
Barleybrown	24d ago	Fit
Edvard Grieg	24d ago	Fit
Crown's Lady	33d ago	Fit
Habitual	82d ago	Fresh
Redondo	137d ago	Long break